Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Red Sox 5-4, playoff odds up 2.2 to 92.6%
69-54   .561

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Twins 9 Angels 5 -0.5
Mariners 1 Royals 3 -0.5
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Indians 0 Padres 1 -3.7
-0.5
-0.3
Mariners 3 Royals 7 -0.5
-0.1
Twins 5 Angels 4 -0.5
Cubs 5 Rays 6 -0.3
Tigers 5 Giants 3 -0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10839-0In1000664,012
105-107In100149*
10435-4In10001,235
10334-5In10008,314
10233-6In99147,399
10132-7In982226,804
10031-8In96400902,605
9930-9In937003,104,503
9829-10In8713009,297,307
9728-11In79210024,485,897
9627-12In67320057,075,031
9526-13In544510118,472,113
9425-14In405740219,928,955
9324-15In2665900366,448,364
9223-16In15671800549,543,766
9122-17100.0%76132000743,366,143
9021-18100.0348481000908,382,182
8920-19100.01336330001,003,979,159
8819-2099.901974610001,003,985,867
8718-2199.409761051000908,494,307
8617-2296.5037011123000743,355,888
8516-2385.70156920122000549,550,751
8415-2462.403942025112000366,490,947
8314-2533.40221102826102000219,946,313
8213-2612.901003163227102000118,493,305
8112-273.940041834281010057,094,653
8011-280.910005203628910024,475,510
7910-290.2000162338266009,298,922
789-300.000018284020303,099,802
778-310.000021337371110902,337
767-32Out00322452730225,937
756-33Out01936459048,300
745-34Out0221522318,517
734-35Out011493641,271
723-36Out4404511133
712-37Out10702010
690-39Out033166664,012
Total:92.6%629494532110000008,012,070,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosRed SoxYankeesTwinsAngelsMarinersRoyalsRangersOriolesRaysBlue JaysTigersAthleticsWhite Sox
101-10812.5%Yes
10031-812.510000
9930-912.510000000
9829-1012.51000000000
9728-1112.5100000000000
9627-1212.510000000000000
9526-1312.5100000000000000
9425-1412.5100000000000000
9324-1512.51000000000000000
9223-1612.51000000000000000
9122-1712.51000000000000000
9021-1812.49900000000000000
8920-1912.39700101000000000
8819-2012.09301301101000000
8718-2111.58502502211000000
8617-2210.67302914312100000
8516-238.957031115412100000
8415-246.339031013312100000
8314-253.52201501101000000
8213-261.41000100000000000
8112-270.5400000000000000
8011-280.11000000000000
7910-290.0000
77-780.00
69-76No
Total:11.0%83.80.00.93.40.21.41.20.30.70.30.10.10.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Indians 0 Padres 1 +0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10839-050500
10738-1100
10637-21388
10536-31882
10435-411890
10334-56940
10233-63961
10132-719630
10031-809460
9930-90891100
9829-100801910
9728-1106730300
9627-1205142700
9526-130355015100
9425-1402050272000
9324-1501042408000
9223-16042848182000
9122-1701144432810000
9021-18005314119400000
8920-190011537331220000
8819-20005223626920000
8718-210018243424811000
8617-2200292433236300000
8516-230002823322010410000
8415-2400017223216146100000
8314-2500016261123209300000
8213-2600011231324241561000
8112-2700403102127211030000
8011-280100161626261661000
7910-2900001311232821920000
789-3000000281928251341000
778-31000015162728165100
767-320014132630197100
756-330003112531217100
745-3400210243222810
734-3539253322710
723-3611424302651
712-37101040201010
690-3900042044283
Total:0391618151297422111000000000000000