Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances

Beat Rays 8-7, playoff odds up 4.9 to 57.1%
20-17   .541

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Indians 8 Rays 7 +3.3
+0.3
+0.3
Angels 5 White Sox 3 +0.5
+0.1
Mariners 6 Athletics 5 -0.1
Blue Jays 6 Braves 10 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Indians vs Rays+3.3-3.3
+0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3
Twins vs Rockies-0.6+0.6
-0.1+0.1
Angels vs White Sox+0.4-0.4
+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Phillies-0.2+0.2
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.2-0.2
Tigers vs Orioles-0.2+0.2
Mariners vs Athletics-0.1+0.2
Blue Jays vs Braves-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
113-145In100145,540*
11292-33In1000761
11191-34In10001,882
11090-35In10004,607
10989-36In100010,708
10888-37In99123,548
10787-38In991049,887
10686-39In98200102,651
10585-40In97300202,142
10484-41In95500385,665
10383-42In92800707,726
10282-43In8811001,256,489
10181-44In8416102,152,641
10080-45In7821103,561,812
9979-46In71272005,697,295
9878-47In62344008,802,000
9777-48In534060013,148,475
9676-49100.0%43461010018,982,458
9575-50100.034501510026,524,390
9474-51100.0255122200035,847,134
9373-52100.0174930400046,881,500
9272-53100.01044396000059,338,911
9171-5499.9637488100072,686,166
9070-5599.832755113000086,225,926
8969-5699.1118591461000098,994,043
8868-5797.101159151230000110,072,058
8767-5892.205551417710000118,555,594
8666-5982.3024811221440000123,646,288
8565-6066.6013862122920000124,916,961
8464-6147.300283162719610000122,231,184
8363-6228.900191924281540000115,839,565
8262-6315.3011041629261120000106,386,651
8161-647.3060172231228100094,596,122
8060-653.203002112731196100081,496,644
7959-661.301000416303015400067,990,992
7858-670.50000162033271120054,959,802
7757-680.10000021026342261043,018,123
7656-690.0000003153132153032,616,220
7555-700.000000162236278123,942,126
7454-710.000000212313617317,032,960
7353-720.0000015213828611,723,211
7252-730.0000002133538137,800,107
7151-74Out000162744225,039,565
7050-75Out00031845333,143,524
6949-76Out0011142461,899,036
6848-77Out000636571,109,501
6747-78Out0032968626,234
6646-79Out022277341,775
6545-80Out011584180,186
6444-81Out00118992,765
6343-82Out079345,783
6242-83Out049621,667
6141-84Out039710,136
6040-85Out2984,455
5939-86Out1991,934
5838-87Out199773
5737-88Out199332
20-56Out100145,229*
Total:57.1%411295888765432101,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Indians finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeAstrosYankeesOriolesTwinsRangersRed SoxWhite SoxTigersRaysMarinersAngelsBlue JaysRoyalsAthletics
107-14510.1%Yes
10686-3910.11000
10585-4010.2100000
10484-4110.21000000000
10383-4210.11000000000000
10282-4310.11000000000000000
10181-4410.1100000000000000
10080-4510.010000000000000000
9979-4610.010000000000000000
9878-479.910000000000000000
9777-489.910000000000000000
9676-499.89900000000000000
9575-509.79900000000000000
9474-519.69800100000000000
9373-529.59600101000000000
9272-539.49401101100000000
9171-549.29001211110110000
9070-558.98502312111111000
8969-568.67913513211211000
8868-578.17113613311221000
8767-587.46114824321321100
8666-596.45014824321321100
8565-605.13913714311221100
8464-613.62802512211211000
8363-622.31901301100110000
8262-631.31100100000000000
8161-640.6600000000000000
8060-650.3300000000000000
7959-660.1100000000000000
7858-670.0000000000000000
7757-680.000000000000000
7656-690.00000000000
7555-700.00000
72-740.00
20-71No
Total:4.9%44.10.41.63.30.61.71.40.60.61.10.90.50.30.10.1
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Indians 8 Rays 7 -0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Indians vs Rays-0.5+0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
113-145100
11292-331000
11191-341000
11090-35991
10989-369910
10888-379820
10787-389730
10686-399640
10585-4093700
10484-41891000
10383-42841510
10282-437721200
10181-4469274000
10080-4559347100
9979-464740121000
9878-473642183000
9777-4825422571000
9676-491637321330000
9575-509293521610000
9474-514193328123000000
9373-522112632217100000
9272-531517302815410000
9171-5402922302411300000
9070-55003122529208200000
8969-560015152728176110000
8868-5700016172827153300000
8767-580000271829251062000000
8666-590000282130211151000000
8565-60000002102530131262000000
8464-6100000313311118157200000
8363-620001524515211793100000
8262-63000011428172319114100000
8161-640007028172422135100000
8060-6500030027162424167200000
7959-6600100015142225189310000
7858-670000000141121252111410000
7757-68000000131019252213510000
7656-6900000013818252414610000
7555-700000002717252416620000
7454-71000000271625251662000
7353-7200000027172625166100
7252-730000002818272514510
7151-740000292029241230
7050-750000131124312281
6949-76000015152931163
6848-77000282235267
6747-780000314323614
6646-790017264224
6545-800003184335
6444-8101114048
6343-820163360
6242-830032770
6141-84022078
6040-8511386
5939-860892
5838-870793
5737-88496
5636-89298
5535-90298
20-54100
Total:1345667881044544433322111100000