Cleveland Indians Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 33.3%
0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs Angels+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Cleveland-2.4+3.1
-0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.4

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
108-162In1008,691*
107107-55In10001,128
106106-56In100002,109
105105-57In1003,913
104104-58In100007,148
103103-59In1000012,736
102102-60In1000022,023
101101-61In991037,316
100100-62In99100061,347
9999-63In98200097,997
9898-64In973010152,181
9797-65In954010231,814
9696-66100.0%9270200342,791
9595-67100.087100300494,622
9494-68100.0811404000694,233
9393-69100.0722016000952,750
9292-70100.061262100001,275,541
9191-71100.0493341410001,658,481
9090-7299.93537719200002,107,104
8989-7399.7223712244000002,607,755
8888-7499.0123317299100003,146,336
8787-7596.65252130163000003,705,316
8686-7690.221523262481000004,255,468
8585-7776.5072118301851000004,761,936
8484-7854.9031792628143000005,197,401
8383-7930.901113162925113000005,536,300
8282-8013.30071620302410200005,749,529
8181-814.803018223123920005,815,531
8080-821.6010029233122920005,742,179
7979-830.60100021125312181005,537,245
7878-840.20000003122731196105,198,273
7777-850.1000001415303016404,757,458
7676-860.0000000161933281124,254,068
7575-870.00000002926362253,706,273
7474-880.00000004163534123,149,693
7373-890.0000000182742222,609,261
7272-90Out000031843352,106,437
7171-91Out000011140491,659,321
7070-92Out0000633611,272,784
6969-93Out00032572954,577
6868-94Out00011881695,794
6767-95Out0011287494,128
6666-96Out000892343,053
6565-97Out000595230,895
6464-98Out0397152,435
6363-99Out029898,090
6262-100Out019960,932
6161-101Out019937,061
6060-102Out010022,217
5959-103Out010012,570
5858-104Out01007,231
5757-105Out01003,958
5656-106Out01002,136
0-55Out1009,754*
Total:33.3%77777777777777792,057,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeTorontoDetroitOaklandBaltimoreHoustonSeattleTampa BayTexasKansas CityWhite SoxYankeesBostonMinnesotaAngels
108-16214.0%Yes
107107-5513.61000
106106-5613.51000
105105-5713.6Yes
104104-5812.71000000
103103-5913.9100000
102102-6014.210000000000000
101101-6114.010000000000000000
100100-6213.710000000000000000
9999-6313.810000000000000000
9898-6413.89900000000000000
9797-6513.79900000000000000
9696-6613.69800000000000000
9595-6713.59700000000000000
9494-6813.49600000000000000
9393-6913.19301000000110010
9292-7012.89011111111111111
9191-7112.48511111111111111
9090-7211.87912111111221121
8989-7311.17123222222332232
8888-7410.26223222222332232
8787-759.15134333333443343
8686-767.84034333333443343
8585-776.12934333333443343
8484-784.22023233232332233
8383-792.41211111111111111
8282-801.1700000000000000
8181-810.5300000000000000
8080-820.2100000000000000
7979-830.1100000000000000
7878-840.0000000000000000
7777-850.0000000000000000
7676-860.000000000000000
7575-870.0000000
73-740.00
0-72No
Total:3.3%20.00.91.10.90.90.90.90.90.91.11.10.90.91.10.9
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Cleveland+0.6-0.8

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 10 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110-162100
109109-531000
108108-54100
107107-551000
106106-561000
105105-571000
104104-581000
103103-59991
102102-60991
101101-619820
100100-629730
9999-6395500
9898-6492800
9797-658712100
9696-66811820000
9595-67722530000
9494-686032710000
9393-694638132000000
9292-703240216100000
9191-711836291231000000
9090-729263222920000000
8989-73314272818720000000
8888-741516262617720010000
8787-7501615242517820300000
8686-760014122124188282000000
8585-7700013917231871661000000
8484-780000151320151916720000000
8383-79000013101712211911510000000
8282-8000000310311202217931000000
8181-81000040271522221683100000
8080-820000200138162222157310000
7979-83000100001410182321146200000
7878-8400000000251220232012510000
7777-85000000012715222317831000
7676-8600000001411202421124100
7575-87000000013918252415610
7474-880000000271726261651
7373-89000000027182827143
7272-9000000292232269
7171-9100001312293618
7070-92000016214131
6969-9300002133846
6868-940000173260
6767-95000032571
6666-960021881
6565-970011287
6464-9800892
6363-9900595
6262-1000397
6161-1010298
6060-1020199
5959-103199
5858-1040100
5757-1050100
5656-1060100
0-55100
Total:333333333333333333333333333333