How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Lithuania 0 Scotland 3 *Out
No
-2.4
Malta 0 England 4 Out
+0.0
Slovakia 1 Slovenia 0 +0.0
Israel 0 Macedonia 1 -0.2
Finland 1 Iceland 0 -0.1
Cyprus 3 Bosnia-Herzegov 2 -0.1
Luxembourg 1 Belarus 0 +0.1
Norway 2 Azerbaijan 0 -0.1
Greece 0 Estonia 0 -0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lithuania finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inDirectChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffsqualify123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354Count
112-0-0OutNo61317100013,618,911
91-1-0OutNo211273320610064,443,156
81-0-1OutNo0151730291430166,168,875
70-2-0OutNo00212323516333,834,398
60-1-1OutNo05224230000000138,564,563
50-0-2OutNo01128411100000124,792,537
Total:OutNo2259131313162700000000541,422,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs