How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 10/22 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Torino 0 Roma 1 -0.2 -1.5 +0.4 -0.6 Udinese 2 Juventus 6 -0.3 Napoli 0 Internazionale 0 +0.1 Lazio 3 Cagliari 0 -0.2 Sampdoria 5 Crotone 0 -0.1 Benevento 0 Fiorentina 3 -0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Fiorentina vs Torino -0.1-0.0+0.1 -0.5-0.2+0.8 +0.5-0.0-0.5 -0.6-0.1+0.8 Genoa vs Napoli +0.1+0.0-0.1 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Juventus vs SPAL -0.1+0.1+0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Internazionale vs Sampdoria -0.1+0.0+0.0 Bologna vs Lazio +0.1+0.0-0.1 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Roma vs Crotone -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Atalanta vs Hellas Verona -0.1-0.0+0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 10/29 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Torino vs Cagliari +0.1-0.0-0.1 +0.6-0.3-0.6 -0.5+0.1+0.8 +0.6-0.2-0.7 Napoli vs Sassuolo -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Hellas Verona vs Internazionale +0.1+0.1-0.1 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Milan vs Juventus +0.1+0.0-0.1 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Benevento vs Lazio +0.1+0.1-0.1 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Roma vs Bologna -0.1+0.0+0.1 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Sampdoria vs Roma +0.0+0.0-0.1 Crotone vs Fiorentina +0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well Torino finishes out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title UEFA CL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 88 -100 Yes Yes 100 No 39,787 * 87 23 - 5 - 1 95.7 % Yes 96 4 No 23 * 86 23 - 4 - 2 Yes Yes 100 No 54 * 85 22 - 6 - 1 98.9 Yes 99 1 No 94 * 84 22 - 5 - 2 99.1 Yes 99 1 No 228 * 83 22 - 4 - 3 94.9 Yes 95 5 No 491 * 82 21 - 6 - 2 90.6 Yes 91 9 0 No 918 * 81 21 - 5 - 3 87.1 Yes 87 12 0 No 1,749 * 80 21 - 4 - 4 82.1 Yes 82 17 1 No 3,410 * 79 20 - 6 - 3 75.1 99.9 % 75 23 2 0 No 6,195 * 78 20 - 5 - 4 67.8 99.9 68 28 4 0 No 11,403 * 77 19 - 7 - 3 60.3 99.7 60 34 6 0 0 No 20,276 * 76 19 - 6 - 4 50.3 99.2 50 40 9 1 0 No 34,734 * 75 19 - 5 - 5 40.2 98.1 40 44 14 2 0 No 57,732 * 74 18 - 7 - 4 31.2 96.3 31 45 20 3 0 0 No 95,251 * 73 18 - 6 - 5 22.2 92.7 22 43 27 7 1 0 No 152,357 * 72 17 - 8 - 4 15.1 87.4 15 39 33 11 2 0 0 No 237,543 * 71 17 - 7 - 5 9.5 79.4 10 33 37 17 3 0 0 No 362,245 * 70 17 - 6 - 6 5.3 68.8 5 25 38 24 6 1 0 No 539,812 * 69 16 - 8 - 5 2.8 56.3 3 17 36 31 11 2 0 0 No 789,409 * 68 16 - 7 - 6 1.3 42.8 1 11 31 35 18 4 0 0 No 1,126,033 * 67 15 - 9 - 5 0.5 29.9 1 6 23 37 25 7 1 0 0 No 1,570,172 * 66 15 - 8 - 6 0.2 18.9 0 3 16 34 32 13 2 0 0 No 2,150,482 * 65 15 - 7 - 7 0.1 10.7 0 1 9 28 37 20 4 0 0 0 No 2,875,101 * 64 14 - 9 - 6 0.0 5.3 0 0 5 20 37 28 8 1 0 0 No 3,768,367 * 63 14 - 8 - 7 0.0 2.3 0 0 2 13 33 35 15 2 0 0 0 No 4,837,884 * 62 14 - 7 - 8 0.0 0.9 0 0 1 7 26 38 23 5 0 0 0 No 6,082,142 * 61 13 - 9 - 7 0.0 0.3 0 0 0 3 17 37 31 10 1 0 0 0 No 7,481,122 * 60 13 - 8 - 8 0.0 0.1 0 0 0 1 10 31 36 17 3 0 0 0 No 9,018,980 * 59 12 - 10 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 0 5 23 38 25 7 1 0 0 No 10,644,285 * 58 12 - 9 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 2 15 35 32 13 2 0 0 No 12,301,321 * 57 12 - 8 - 9 No 0.0 0 0 1 8 28 36 21 6 1 0 0 No 13,940,918 * 56 11 - 10 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 4 19 35 29 11 2 0 0 0 No 15,446,427 * 55 11 - 9 - 9 No No 0 0 2 12 30 34 18 4 0 0 0 No 16,763,041 * 54 11 - 8 - 10 No No 0 0 1 6 22 35 26 9 1 0 0 No 17,827,017 * 53 10 - 10 - 9 No No 0 0 0 3 14 32 33 15 3 0 0 0 No 18,543,368 * 52 10 - 9 - 10 No No 0 0 1 8 25 35 24 7 1 0 0 No 18,893,788 * 51 10 - 8 - 11 No No 0 0 0 4 16 33 31 13 2 0 0 0 No 18,826,046 * 50 9 - 10 - 10 No No 0 0 0 1 9 27 36 21 5 0 0 0 No 18,366,788 * 49 9 - 9 - 11 No No 0 0 0 4 19 36 30 10 1 0 0 0 No 17,517,950 * 48 8 - 11 - 10 No No 0 0 0 2 11 30 36 17 4 0 0 0 No 16,347,098 * 47 8 - 10 - 11 No No 0 0 1 5 21 37 26 8 1 0 0 0 0.0 % 14,901,650 * 46 8 - 9 - 12 No No 0 0 0 2 13 33 33 15 3 0 0 0 0.0 13,284,116 * 45 7 - 11 - 11 No No 0 0 1 6 24 36 24 7 1 0 0 0 0.0 11,562,341 * 44 7 - 10 - 12 No No 0 0 0 3 15 33 31 14 3 0 0 0 0.0 9,827,718 * 43 7 - 9 - 13 No No 0 0 1 8 25 34 23 7 1 0 0 0.1 8,159,710 * 42 6 - 11 - 12 No No 0 0 0 4 16 32 30 14 3 0 0 0 0.3 6,601,273 * 41 6 - 10 - 13 No No 0 0 1 9 25 34 22 7 1 0 0 1.2 5,208,013 * 40 6 - 9 - 14 No No 0 0 0 4 16 31 30 14 3 0 0 3.4 3,995,362 * 39 5 - 11 - 13 No No 0 0 2 9 25 34 23 7 1 0 8.1 2,994,278 * 38 5 - 10 - 14 No No 0 0 0 4 17 32 30 14 2 0 16.3 2,179,509 * 37 5 - 9 - 15 No No 0 0 2 9 26 35 22 6 0 28.3 1,541,385 * 36 4 - 11 - 14 No No 0 0 1 4 18 34 31 11 1 43.2 1,061,134 * 35 4 - 10 - 15 No No 0 0 0 2 10 29 37 19 2 59.0 706,883 * 34 4 - 9 - 16 No No 0 0 1 5 21 39 29 5 73.0 455,983 * 33 4 - 8 - 17 No No 0 0 2 13 36 38 10 84.2 284,160 * 32 3 - 10 - 16 No No 0 0 1 8 30 45 16 91.5 171,513 * 31 3 - 9 - 17 No No 0 0 4 22 49 25 96.0 99,627 * 30 3 - 8 - 18 No No 0 2 15 49 34 98.3 55,670 * 29 2 - 10 - 17 No No 0 0 1 9 46 44 99.3 29,999 * 28 2 - 9 - 18 No No 0 6 40 54 99.8 15,318 * 27 2 - 8 - 19 No No 0 3 34 63 99.9 7,477 * 26 2 - 7 - 20 No No 1 27 72 Yes 3,533 * 25 1 - 9 - 19 No No 1 19 80 Yes 1,519 * 24 1 - 8 - 20 No No 0 18 82 Yes 667 * 23 1 - 7 - 21 No No 14 86 Yes 260 * 22 1 - 6 - 22 No No 5 95 Yes 80 * 21 0 - 8 - 21 No No 12 88 Yes 26 * 18 -20 No No 100 Yes 19 * 13 0 - 0 - 29 No No 0 100 Yes 39,776 Total: 0.1 % 1.2 % 0 0 1 2 3 6 8 11 12 13 12 11 8 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 1.0 % 319,871,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship