How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/23100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus 3 Siena 0 No
+9.6
-0.5
Bologna 2 Fiorentina 1 +1.6
-0.1
Lazio 2 Pescara 0 -1.5
+0.1
Atalanta 2 Roma 3 -1.0
+0.0
Palermo 0 Genoa 0 -0.8
Cagliari 4 Torino 3 +0.6
Parma 1 Catania 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/2100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Siena vs Atalanta+0.0*NoNo
-13.6+3.3+10.8
+0.7-0.2-0.5
Roma vs Genoa-1.8-0.3+2.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Pescara vs Udinese+1.7-0.4-1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Torino vs Palermo-0.9-0.4+1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fiorentina vs Chievo-0.9-0.1+1.0
Bologna vs Cagliari+0.6-0.1-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Siena finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
-890-4-8NoNo0100Yes451,073
-900-3-9NoNo0100Yes242,565
-910-2-10NoNo0100Yes88,999
-93--92NoNo100Yes84,679*
-1000-12-0NoNo73955Yes218
-1010-11-1NoNo033067100.0%2,951
-1020-10-2NoNo012079100.018,666
-1030-9-3NoNo01287Yes76,747
-1040-8-4NoNo0793Yes208,986
-1050-7-5NoNo0397Yes403,936
-1060-6-6NoNo0199Yes571,838
-1070-5-7NoNo0199Yes595,211
-11412-0-0No0.0%019283620500No65,168
-11611-1-0NoNo016243725710No19,392
-11711-0-1NoNo021131361630No23,782
-11810-2-0NoNo004203829810No88,906
-11910-1-1NoNo0019293818400No213,765
-1209-3-0NoNo00317383010200No371,783*
-1219-2-1NoNo0172837216100No882,754
-1229-1-2NoNo002153332153000No1,520,638*
-1238-3-1NoNo0006223526920000.02,616,487*
-1248-2-2NoNo0015141811300014647.67,576,420*
-1257-4-1NoNo00031123241230002424.39,002,984*
-1267-3-2NoNo00151830251020088.410,595,082*
-1277-2-3NoNo001823342371022.910,808,034*
-1286-4-2NoNo0003133034173003.719,064,163*
-1296-3-3NoNo00004183530101011.421,955,668*
-1306-2-4NoNo000182638224026.918,540,359
-1315-4-3NoNo000315373410145.134,222,517*
-1325-3-4NoNo0016274221366.032,407,156*
-1335-2-5NoNo0002154133882.622,257,088
-1344-4-4NoNo001835421591.640,535,777*
-1354-3-5NoNo000324472696.932,144,007*
-1364-2-6NoNo00114453999.118,549,536*
-1373-4-5NoNo008405199.731,700,479*
-1383-3-6NoNo004326499.921,589,361*
-1393-2-7NoNo022376100.011,428,391*
-1402-4-6NoNo011683100.017,859,290*
-1412-3-7NoNo001090100.012,608,031*
-1421-5-6NoNo00694100.08,141,479*
-1432-1-9NoNo001410127200026364.31,666,807*
-1442-0-10NoNo199Yes130,126
-1456-6-0NoNo001722342691000.1572,508
-1466-5-1NoNo0021026342161000.64,164,552
-1475-7-0NoNo003153332142002.3405,199
-1485-6-1NoNo00152136288108.83,438,054
-1495-5-2NoNo000192938203022.912,698,300*
-1504-7-1NoNo00031839317139.22,026,549
-1514-6-2NoNo0018304218261.78,667,330*
-1524-5-3NoNo0002184330679.821,662,951*
-1533-7-2NoNo0011039391289.74,068,251*
-1543-6-3NoNo00427462296.111,680,550*
-1553-5-4NoNo00117463698.822,075,159*
-1562-7-3NoNo0010424799.64,049,961
-1572-6-4NoNo005346199.98,586,477
-1582-5-5NoNo0022474100.012,499,580
Total:No0.0%000000000123581219242769.4%507,926,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship