How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 10/22 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed SPAL 0 Sassuolo 1 -10.5 +0.7 Udinese 2 Juventus 6 -0.4 +0.0 Lazio 3 Cagliari 0 -0.8 +0.0 Sampdoria 5 Crotone 0 -0.9 +0.0 Chievo 3 Hellas Verona 2 -0.8 +0.0 Benevento 0 Fiorentina 3 -0.5 Atalanta 1 Bologna 0 +0.1 Milan 0 Genoa 0 -0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Sassuolo vs Udinese -8.7+0.3+6.1 +0.8-0.1-0.5 Roma vs Crotone -0.7+0.1+1.6 +0.0-0.0-0.1 Juventus vs SPAL -0.7+0.1+1.4 +0.0-0.0-0.1 Bologna vs Lazio +0.1*+0.0-0.0 Genoa vs Napoli +0.9+0.1-0.4 -0.1-0.0+0.0 Atalanta vs Hellas Verona -0.7-0.0+1.3 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Cagliari vs Benevento +0.6-0.5-0.2 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 10/29 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Napoli vs Sassuolo -0.0-0.0+0.1 -0.0-0.0+0.1 +3.7-1.0-9.1 -0.3+0.1+0.8 Hellas Verona vs Internazionale +1.5+0.1-0.6 -0.1-0.0+0.0 Benevento vs Lazio +1.1+0.1-0.4 -0.1-0.0+0.0 Milan vs Juventus +0.1*+0.0-0.0 Roma vs Bologna -0.0*+0.0+0.1 Crotone vs Fiorentina +1.5+0.0-0.8 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Torino vs Cagliari -0.8-0.1+1.3 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Udinese vs Atalanta +0.6-0.0-0.4 SPAL vs Genoa +0.5-0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Sassuolo finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title UEFA CL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 95 29 - 0 - 0 100.0 % Yes 100 0 No 39,776 80 22 - 6 - 1 Yes Yes 100 No 1 79 22 - 5 - 2 50.0 Yes 50 50 No 2 77 22 - 3 - 4 No Yes 83 17 No 6 * 76 21 - 5 - 3 52.9 Yes 53 35 12 No 17 * 75 20 - 7 - 2 47.1 Yes 47 41 12 No 17 * 74 20 - 6 - 3 50.0 96.0 % 50 36 10 4 No 50 * 73 20 - 5 - 4 28.2 94.2 28 43 23 5 1 No 103 * 72 19 - 7 - 3 21.1 93.2 21 48 24 7 No 190 * 71 19 - 6 - 4 14.3 85.2 14 37 34 12 3 0 No 426 * 70 19 - 5 - 5 6.8 74.5 7 27 41 20 5 1 No 803 * 69 18 - 7 - 4 4.4 65.1 4 23 38 26 8 1 No 1,560 * 68 18 - 6 - 5 2.0 52.0 2 15 35 33 13 2 0 No 3,047 * 67 17 - 8 - 4 1.1 36.3 1 9 27 38 21 5 0 No 5,418 * 66 17 - 7 - 5 0.4 24.8 0 5 20 36 29 9 1 0 No 9,643 * 65 17 - 6 - 6 0.1 14.9 0 2 13 32 35 15 3 0 No 16,853 * 64 16 - 8 - 5 0.0 7.5 0 1 7 25 37 24 6 1 0 No 29,112 * 63 16 - 7 - 6 0.0 3.7 0 0 3 16 35 32 11 2 0 0 No 48,675 * 62 16 - 6 - 7 No 1.4 0 1 10 30 36 19 4 0 0 No 79,595 * 61 15 - 8 - 6 No 0.5 0 0 5 21 37 27 8 1 0 0 No 127,477 * 60 15 - 7 - 7 No 0.1 0 0 2 13 33 34 15 3 0 0 No 199,542 * 59 14 - 9 - 6 No 0.0 0 1 7 25 36 23 7 1 0 0 No 306,533 * 58 14 - 8 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 3 16 34 31 13 3 0 0 0 No 461,218 * 57 14 - 7 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 1 9 27 35 21 6 1 0 0 No 678,097 * 56 13 - 9 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 0 4 19 34 28 12 2 0 0 No 978,860 * 55 13 - 8 - 8 No No 0 0 2 11 28 33 20 6 1 0 0 No 1,384,977 * 54 13 - 7 - 9 No No 0 0 1 5 20 33 27 11 2 0 0 0 No 1,915,684 * 53 12 - 9 - 8 No No 0 0 2 12 28 33 19 5 1 0 0 No 2,597,722 * 52 12 - 8 - 9 No No 0 0 1 6 20 33 27 11 2 0 0 No 3,451,888 * 51 11 - 10 - 8 No No 0 0 0 3 12 28 33 19 5 0 0 0 No 4,491,086 * 50 11 - 9 - 9 No No 0 0 0 1 6 21 34 27 10 1 0 0 No 5,718,744 * 49 11 - 8 - 10 No No 0 0 0 3 13 30 34 17 4 0 0 0 No 7,129,921 * 48 10 - 10 - 9 No No 0 0 1 6 22 36 26 8 1 0 0 No 8,718,109 * 47 10 - 9 - 10 No No 0 0 0 3 14 32 34 15 3 0 0 0 0.0 % 10,418,344 * 46 10 - 8 - 11 No No 0 0 0 1 7 24 37 24 6 1 0 0 0.0 12,201,209 * 45 9 - 10 - 10 No No 0 0 0 3 15 35 32 13 2 0 0 0 0.0 13,970,109 * 44 9 - 9 - 11 No No 0 0 0 1 8 27 36 21 5 1 0 0 0.0 15,660,038 * 43 9 - 8 - 12 No No 0 0 0 4 18 35 29 11 2 0 0 0 0.1 17,170,651 * 42 8 - 10 - 11 No No 0 0 0 1 11 29 35 19 5 0 0 0 0.5 18,406,465 * 41 8 - 9 - 12 No No 0 0 0 5 21 35 27 10 2 0 0 1.6 19,278,712 * 40 8 - 8 - 13 No No 0 0 2 13 31 33 17 4 0 0 4.1 19,750,896 * 39 7 - 10 - 12 No No 0 0 1 7 23 35 25 8 1 0 9.1 19,745,428 * 38 7 - 9 - 13 No No 0 0 0 3 15 32 32 15 3 0 17.4 19,274,781 * 37 7 - 8 - 14 No No 0 0 1 8 25 36 23 6 0 29.1 18,379,323 * 36 6 - 10 - 13 No No 0 0 0 4 18 35 31 11 1 43.3 17,076,357 * 35 6 - 9 - 14 No No 0 0 2 10 30 37 19 2 58.3 15,459,570 * 34 6 - 8 - 15 No No 0 0 1 5 22 39 28 5 71.9 13,628,927 * 33 5 - 10 - 14 No No 0 0 0 2 15 37 37 9 82.8 11,707,662 * 32 5 - 9 - 15 No No 0 0 1 8 31 44 15 90.5 9,766,296 * 31 5 - 8 - 16 No No 0 0 0 4 24 48 23 95.3 7,923,301 * 30 4 - 10 - 15 No No 0 0 0 2 17 48 33 97.9 6,236,543 * 29 4 - 9 - 16 No No 0 0 1 10 45 43 99.1 4,755,274 * 28 4 - 8 - 17 No No 0 0 0 6 40 54 99.7 3,514,381 * 27 3 - 10 - 16 No No 0 0 0 3 33 63 99.9 2,508,963 * 26 3 - 9 - 17 No No 0 0 2 26 72 100.0 1,729,599 * 25 3 - 8 - 18 No No 0 1 20 79 100.0 1,146,413 * 24 2 - 10 - 17 No No 0 0 14 85 100.0 731,225 * 23 2 - 9 - 18 No No 0 0 10 90 100.0 446,976 * 22 2 - 8 - 19 No No 0 7 93 Yes 259,956 * 21 2 - 7 - 20 No No 0 4 96 Yes 144,247 * 20 1 - 9 - 19 No No 0 3 97 Yes 76,297 * 19 1 - 8 - 20 No No 2 98 Yes 38,042 * 18 1 - 7 - 21 No No 1 99 Yes 17,648 * 17 1 - 6 - 22 No No 1 99 Yes 7,761 * 16 0 - 8 - 21 No No 0 100 Yes 3,101 * 15 0 - 7 - 22 No No 0 100 Yes 1,115 * 8 -14 No No 100 Yes 40,278 * Total: 0.0 % 0.0 % 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 9 11 13 13 13 12 10 5 26.7 % 319,871,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship