How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sampdoria 2 Benevento 1 +2.1
+4.9
-4.7
+1.2
Sassuolo 0 Genoa 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Lazio 0 SPAL 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Bologna 1 Torino 1 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Atalanta 0 Roma 1 -0.1
Internazionale 3 Fiorentina 0 -0.1
Crotone 0 Milan 3 -0.1
Juventus 3 Cagliari 0 -0.1
Udinese 1 Chievo 2 -0.1
Hellas Verona 1 Napoli 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fiorentina vs Sampdoria-2.2-0.8+2.6
-4.8-1.5+5.7
+3.1+0.5-3.2
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Milan vs Cagliari-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Napoli vs Atalanta-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Genoa vs Juventus*+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.2
Chievo vs Lazio-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Roma vs Internazionale-0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
SPAL vs Udinese-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Torino vs Sassuolo*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
Benevento vs Bologna*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Crotone vs Hellas Verona-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Sampdoria finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
84-114YesYes100No22,729*
8324-8-599.9%Yes1000No4,066*
8224-7-699.9Yes1000No6,603*
8123-9-599.9Yes1000No10,751*
8023-8-699.8Yes1000No17,288*
7922-10-599.7Yes1000No26,756*
7822-9-699.5Yes1000No40,685*
7722-8-799.3Yes9910No61,010*
7621-10-698.9Yes9910No89,060*
7521-9-798.3Yes9820No129,807*
7420-11-697.3Yes9730No184,761*
7320-10-795.9100.0%96400No258,869*
7220-9-894.1100.094600No356,995*
7119-11-791.4100.0918000No483,106*
7019-10-887.6100.0881200No641,495*
6919-9-982.8100.08316100No841,542*
6818-11-876.499.97622200No1,084,349*
6718-10-968.799.86927400No1,375,701*
6617-12-859.499.459337100No1,717,913*
6517-11-949.198.6493911100No2,110,762*
6417-10-1038.096.738421730000No2,551,717*
6316-12-927.392.927422361000No3,028,851*
6216-11-1017.886.11838301120000No3,550,540*
6116-10-1110.275.21031341851000No4,087,747*
6015-12-105.160.152134261130000No4,630,616*
5915-11-112.042.2212283119710000No5,164,535*
5815-10-120.624.8161930271441000No5,669,581*
5714-12-110.111.602102330231030000No6,121,512*
5614-11-120.04.000313252919820000No6,500,686*
5513-13-110.00.9001515262717720000No6,797,245*
5413-12-120.00.10001616272616610000No6,988,744*
5313-11-130.00.000001717272615510000No7,074,034*
5212-13-12No0.00002718272515510000No7,031,368*
5112-12-13No0.0000027182725145100000.0%6,874,994*
5012-11-14NoNo000027182725145100000.06,614,833*
4911-13-13NoNo00002718272514510000.06,250,635*
4811-12-14NoNo00002819282513410000.15,812,326*
4711-11-15NoNo00000282028241231000.65,306,561*
4610-13-14NoNo0000310222923103002.84,762,104*
4510-12-15NoNo00013122430218109.34,196,815*
4410-11-16NoNo00015152829175021.83,636,810*
439-13-15NoNo0001720322711239.53,092,057*
429-12-16NoNo000311273420458.52,578,093*
419-11-17NoNo000151935301074.82,107,158*
408-13-16NoNo00021130391886.41,695,746*
398-12-17NoNo001623422893.41,332,498*
388-11-18NoNo000316423997.11,028,819*
377-13-17NoNo00110385198.9777,822*
367-12-18NoNo006326299.6574,714*
357-11-19NoNo003257299.9417,383*
346-13-18NoNo0011980100.0296,318*
336-12-19NoNo011486100.0204,761*
326-11-20NoNo00990100.0138,600*
315-13-19NoNo00694100.092,284*
305-12-20NoNo0496Yes59,146*
295-11-21NoNo0397Yes37,313*
284-13-20NoNo0298Yes22,632*
274-12-21NoNo199Yes13,566*
264-11-22NoNo199Yes7,769*
254-10-23NoNo0100Yes4,419*
243-12-22NoNo0100Yes2,392*
233-11-23NoNo0100Yes1,278*
3-22NoNo100Yes18,250*
Total:7.3%20.7%777666665555544443328.8%136,619,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship