How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
SPAL vs Fiorentina+0.0NoNo
+0.0No-0.0
-8.3-0.2+4.5
+0.7-0.0-0.4
Hellas Verona vs Bologna+1.6-0.1-0.9
Benevento vs Sassuolo-0.8-0.6+1.2
Crotone vs Genoa-0.5-0.3+0.8
Udinese vs Cagliari-0.4*-0.1+0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chievo vs SPALNoNo+0.0
NoNo+0.0
+5.6+0.5-7.8
-0.5-0.1+0.7
Genoa vs Roma+1.9+0.2-0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Juventus vs Crotone-0.4+0.1+1.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Cagliari vs Internazionale+0.8+0.1-0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Sassuolo vs Hellas Verona+0.4-0.7+0.2
Atalanta vs Benevento-0.3*+0.0+0.7
Bologna vs Sampdoria+0.2*+0.0-0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Udinese vs Napoli+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the SPAL finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8726-0-093.2%Yes9370No814
7019-4-3No25.0%255025No4*
6918-6-2NoNo7129No7
6818-5-3NoNo4060No5
6718-4-4No9.192341189No22*
6617-6-3No1.9210334610No52*
6517-5-4NoNo9303823No64*
6416-7-3NoNo2048275No92*
6316-6-4NoNo21050326No234*
6216-5-5NoNo194337100No404*
6115-7-4NoNo0635451310No690*
6015-6-5NoNo0326482030No1,235*
5915-5-6NoNo1164728600No2,019*
5814-7-5NoNo01040361210No3,362*
5714-6-6NoNo053241173000No5,350*
5613-8-5NoNo3234026710No8,204*
5513-7-6NoNo0115363313200No12,618*
5413-6-7NoNo082937205000No18,785*
5312-8-6NoNo0420362810200No27,281*
5212-7-7NoNo0212303418400No39,057*
5112-6-8NoNo0162235269100No53,944*
5011-8-7NoNo0314303317400No72,739*
4911-7-8NoNo0172334258100No96,137*
4810-9-7NoNo003143132163000No124,645*
4710-8-8NoNo00172335258100No157,124*
4610-7-9NoNo00314313315300No194,190*
459-9-8NoNo001724362461000.0%233,077*
449-8-9NoNo003153432132000.0274,251*
439-7-10NoNo00182637225000.0313,387*
428-9-9NoNo0003173631111000.1351,269*
418-8-10NoNo00193037194000.2383,576*
408-7-11NoNo0042138288100.8409,311*
397-9-10NoNo00212333615202.3422,316*
387-8-11NoNo0062539235005.5427,597*
377-7-12NoNo003173732101011.2421,154*
366-9-11NoNo0193138182020.2404,846*
356-8-12NoNo0052340275032.1377,447*
346-7-13NoNo00214373510046.1341,643*
335-9-12NoNo018314118160.4300,916*
325-8-13NoNo004224427373.4258,713*
315-7-14NoNo02154237583.6213,141*
304-9-13NoNo01836451090.8171,017*
294-8-14NoNo00428521595.5132,112*
284-7-15NoNo0220552398.0100,006*
273-9-14NoNo0113543299.272,477*
263-8-15NoNo008504299.749,930*
253-7-16NoNo04435299.933,673*
242-9-15NoNo023761100.021,413*
232-8-16NoNo012970100.013,230*
222-7-17NoNo02278Yes7,787*
212-6-18NoNo01585Yes4,309*
201-8-17NoNo01189Yes2,200*
191-7-18NoNo694Yes1,048*
181-6-19NoNo595Yes504*
171-5-20NoNo595Yes181*
160-7-19NoNo199Yes89*
9-15NoNo100Yes862*
Total:0.0%0.0%000000011235811141615139324.1%6,562,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship