How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/31100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
AC Milan 3 Parma 1 No
+0.8
-0.1
Chievo 1 Napoli 2 -0.2
Cesena 2 Lazio 1 +0.2
-0.1
Roma 1 Empoli 1 +0.1
Atalanta 2 Cagliari 1 +0.1
Palermo 2 Verona 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/7100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Parma vs Chievo+0.0NoNo
-1.3+0.5+1.0
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Fiorentina vs Atalanta-0.1+0.0+0.1
Cagliari vs Roma+0.3+0.0-0.1
Verona vs Torino+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Empoli vs Cesena+0.1-0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Parma finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
6117-0-0No8.8%09393813200No309,670
5615-1-1NoNo100No1
5514-3-0NoNo100No1
5414-2-1NoNo33112233No9
5314-1-2NoNo21253817No24*
5213-3-1NoNo1618272918No99*
5113-2-2NoNo029223226810No247*
5012-4-1NoNo141428321731No686*
4912-3-2NoNo0052134281020No1,671*
4812-2-3NoNo0210263521510No4,367*
4711-4-2NoNo0041633311320No10,260*
4611-3-3NoNo017243724600No24,083*
4511-2-4NoNo002143335132000.0%52,922*
4410-4-3NoNo00162440246100.0112,248*
4310-3-4NoNo002133634132000.1231,724*
429-5-3NoNo00062639235000.5457,655*
419-4-4NoNo002163633122001.7867,973*
409-3-5NoNo00182838215004.91,609,398*
398-5-4NoNo003173731111011.62,848,700*
388-4-5NoNo0192938193022.74,885,515*
378-3-6NoNo0041939308037.88,113,328*
367-5-5NoNo00111333915154.812,960,000*
357-4-6NoNo005244325370.920,032,359*
347-3-7NoNo002154136783.529,951,487*
336-5-6NoNo001834461291.943,077,259*
326-4-7NoNo000325512196.659,947,205*
315-6-6NoNo00116523198.880,535,883*
305-5-7NoNo0009484299.6104,033,377*
295-4-8NoNo005415499.9129,709,074*
284-6-7NoNo0023365100.075,021,807
5-3-9NoNo0023365100.080,731,613*
274-5-8NoNo0012574100.0179,460,139*
264-4-9NoNo001882100.0121,116,289
3-7-7NoNo001882100.077,769,920*
253-6-8NoNo001288100.0101,646,600
4-3-10NoNo001288100.0109,794,539*
243-5-9NoNo00892100.0132,640,244
4-2-11NoNo0892Yes82,070,934*
233-4-10NoNo0495Yes129,579,078
2-7-8NoNo0595Yes79,015,168*
223-3-11NoNo0298Yes91,905,699
2-6-9NoNo0397Yes101,306,981*
212-5-10NoNo0199Yes169,527,699*
202-4-11NoNo0199Yes140,969,706*
192-3-12NoNo00100Yes110,591,958*
181-5-11NoNo0100Yes80,952,561*
171-4-12NoNo0100Yes55,151,401*
161-3-13NoNo0100Yes34,714,696*
150-5-12NoNo0100Yes19,702,575*
10-14NoNo100Yes16,569,968*
Total:No0.0%00000000000000014167898.4%2,490,016,800

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship