How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 9/18 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Crotone 1 Palermo 1 -0.1 -0.3 +1.2 -0.2 Internazionale 2 Juventus 1 +0.4 Sassuolo 2 Genoa 0 +0.1 +0.6 Napoli 3 Bologna 1 -0.1 -0.2 Fiorentina 1 Roma 0 +0.3 Lazio 3 Pescara 0 +0.1 Sampdoria 0 Milan 2 +0.4 Torino 0 Empoli 0 -0.2 Cagliari 3 Atalanta 0 +0.3 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Palermo vs Juventus +0.3-0.1-0.1 +1.1-0.2-0.6 -9.1+0.7+5.9 +1.0-0.1-0.6 Atalanta vs Palermo -0.1-0.1+0.2 -0.6-0.2+0.9 +7.3+1.2-9.2 -0.7-0.2+1.0 Genoa vs Napoli +0.2-0.0-0.1 Napoli vs Chievo -0.1*-0.0+0.1 Juventus vs Cagliari -0.1+0.0+0.0 -0.3-0.1+0.4 Roma vs Crotone -0.1+0.0+0.0 -0.5-0.1+0.8 Milan vs Lazio +0.2-0.1-0.1 Chievo vs Sassuolo -0.2-0.1+0.3 Udinese vs Fiorentina +0.3-0.1-0.2 Empoli vs Internazionale +0.5-0.1-0.3 Pescara vs Torino +0.2-0.1-0.0 Bologna vs Sampdoria +0.2-0.1-0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 9/25 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Lazio vs Empoli -0.4-0.1+0.6 Pescara vs Chievo +0.4-0.1-0.3 Torino vs Roma +0.3-0.1-0.2 Genoa vs Pescara -0.2-0.1+0.4 Udinese vs Lazio +0.3-0.1-0.2 Fiorentina vs Milan -0.1-0.1+0.2 Internazionale vs Bologna -0.2-0.1+0.3 Cagliari vs Sampdoria +0.1-0.1*-0.0 Sassuolo vs Udinese +0.1-0.1+0.1 Crotone vs Atalanta +0.3-0.3+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Palermo finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title UEFA CL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 79 -104 Yes Yes 100 No 29,244 * 78 23 - 7 - 4 98.9 % Yes 99 1 No 269 * 77 23 - 6 - 5 99.8 Yes 100 0 No 491 * 76 22 - 8 - 4 97.8 Yes 98 2 No 981 * 75 22 - 7 - 5 97.7 Yes 98 2 No 1,676 * 74 22 - 6 - 6 96.1 Yes 96 4 0 No 2,957 * 73 21 - 8 - 5 93.9 Yes 94 6 0 No 5,062 * 72 21 - 7 - 6 91.3 Yes 91 9 0 No 8,797 * 71 20 - 9 - 5 87.7 100.0 % 88 12 0 0 No 14,390 * 70 20 - 8 - 6 82.9 100.0 83 16 1 0 No 23,049 * 69 20 - 7 - 7 77.5 99.9 77 21 2 0 No 36,528 * 68 19 - 9 - 6 69.5 99.8 69 27 3 0 0 No 57,878 * 67 19 - 8 - 7 60.8 99.5 61 33 6 0 0 No 88,903 * 66 18 - 10 - 6 51.1 98.8 51 38 9 1 0 0 No 133,292 * 65 18 - 9 - 7 40.5 97.4 41 42 15 2 0 0 No 196,428 * 64 18 - 8 - 8 29.8 94.4 30 43 22 5 1 0 0 No 285,872 * 63 17 - 10 - 7 20.2 88.8 20 40 28 9 2 0 0 0 No 409,071 * 62 17 - 9 - 8 12.3 79.5 12 34 34 16 4 1 0 0 0 No 573,277 * 61 17 - 8 - 9 6.5 66.2 6 25 35 24 8 2 0 0 0 No 789,020 * 60 16 - 10 - 8 2.9 49.5 3 16 31 30 15 4 1 0 0 0 No 1,068,777 * 59 16 - 9 - 9 1.0 31.8 1 8 23 32 24 10 2 0 0 0 0 No 1,422,091 * 58 15 - 11 - 8 0.3 16.8 0 3 13 27 29 18 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 No 1,862,859 * 57 15 - 10 - 9 0.1 6.9 0 1 6 18 29 27 14 5 1 0 0 0 0 No 2,394,111 * 56 15 - 9 - 10 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 8 21 29 24 12 4 1 0 0 0 No 3,025,067 * 55 14 - 11 - 9 0.0 0.4 0 0 0 3 11 23 29 22 10 3 0 0 0 0 No 3,754,457 * 54 14 - 10 - 10 No 0.0 0 0 1 4 12 24 28 20 9 2 0 0 0 0 0 No 4,582,337 * 53 14 - 9 - 11 No 0.0 0 0 0 1 4 13 25 28 19 8 2 0 0 0 0 No 5,490,567 * 52 13 - 11 - 10 No 0.0 0 0 0 1 5 14 25 28 18 7 2 0 0 0 0 No 6,476,800 * 51 13 - 10 - 11 No No 0 0 0 1 5 14 25 27 18 7 2 0 0 0 0 0.0 % 7,500,308 * 50 13 - 9 - 12 No No 0 0 0 1 5 15 26 27 17 7 1 0 0 0 0 0.0 8,537,769 * 49 12 - 11 - 11 No No 0 0 0 0 1 6 16 26 27 17 6 1 0 0 0 0.0 9,542,279 * 48 12 - 10 - 12 No No 0 0 0 1 6 17 27 27 15 5 1 0 0 0 0.1 10,490,036 * 47 11 - 12 - 11 No No 0 0 0 0 2 7 18 28 26 14 4 1 0 0 0.7 11,313,036 * 46 11 - 11 - 12 No No 0 0 0 0 2 9 21 29 24 11 3 0 0 3.1 11,983,298 * 45 11 - 10 - 13 No No 0 0 0 0 3 11 24 30 22 8 1 0 9.7 12,469,785 * 44 10 - 12 - 12 No No 0 0 0 0 1 4 15 28 30 17 5 0 22.1 12,734,744 * 43 10 - 11 - 13 No No 0 0 0 0 1 7 20 32 27 11 2 39.3 12,763,676 * 42 10 - 10 - 14 No No 0 0 0 0 3 12 28 34 20 4 57.8 12,563,567 * 41 9 - 12 - 13 No No 0 0 0 1 6 20 35 30 9 73.9 12,137,294 * 40 9 - 11 - 14 No No 0 0 0 2 12 31 38 16 85.6 11,487,970 * 39 9 - 10 - 15 No No 0 0 0 1 6 25 43 26 92.8 10,669,218 * 38 8 - 12 - 14 No No 0 0 0 3 17 43 36 96.8 9,712,356 * 37 8 - 11 - 15 No No 0 0 0 1 11 40 48 98.7 8,659,758 * 36 8 - 10 - 16 No No 0 0 0 0 6 34 59 99.5 7,567,193 * 35 7 - 12 - 15 No No 0 0 0 4 28 68 99.8 6,476,775 * 34 7 - 11 - 16 No No 0 0 2 22 76 99.9 5,417,437 * 33 7 - 10 - 17 No No 0 0 1 16 83 100.0 4,433,496 * 32 6 - 12 - 16 No No 0 0 12 88 100.0 3,550,452 * 31 6 - 11 - 17 No No 0 0 8 92 100.0 2,773,738 * 30 6 - 10 - 18 No No 0 0 5 95 100.0 2,118,630 * 29 5 - 12 - 17 No No 0 0 4 96 100.0 1,580,140 * 28 5 - 11 - 18 No No 0 2 98 Yes 1,145,293 * 27 5 - 10 - 19 No No 0 1 99 Yes 811,781 * 26 4 - 12 - 18 No No 0 1 99 Yes 559,022 * 25 4 - 11 - 19 No No 1 99 Yes 374,000 * 24 4 - 10 - 20 No No 0 100 Yes 243,542 * 23 4 - 9 - 21 No No 0 0 100 Yes 153,058 * 22 3 - 11 - 20 No No 0 100 Yes 93,729 * 21 3 - 10 - 21 No No 0 100 Yes 55,120 * 20 3 - 9 - 22 No No 0 100 Yes 31,460 * 19 2 - 11 - 21 No No 0 100 Yes 16,988 * 18 2 - 10 - 22 No No 0 100 Yes 8,987 * 16 -17 No No 100 Yes 6,837 * 15 1 - 10 - 23 No No 0 100 Yes 1,040 * 2 -14 No No 100 Yes 29,617 * Total: 0.3 % 1.6 % 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 8 9 11 14 19 43.3 % 232,747,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship