"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Carpi 1 Palermo 1 No
No
-1.5
-0.0
Roma 3 Frosinone 1 -0.3
Atalanta 1 Sassuolo 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Palermo vs Milan+0.0NoNo
+0.0NoNo
-4.7+0.3+4.0
+0.7-0.1-0.5
Fiorentina vs Carpi-0.9+0.5+3.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Udinese vs Lazio+1.0-0.1-0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Empoli vs Udinese-0.4+0.2+1.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Frosinone vs Bologna+0.7-0.2-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Genoa vs Fiorentina+0.3*+0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Juventus vs Genoa-0.1+0.1+0.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sampdoria vs Torino+0.1*-0.0-0.2
Hellas Verona vs Atalanta+0.1+0.0-0.1
Torino vs Hellas Verona-0.0+0.0+0.1
Internazionale vs Chievo+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/7100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sassuolo vs PalermoNoNo+0.0
NoNo+0.0
+2.2-1.1-5.4
-0.3+0.1+1.0
Napoli vs Carpi-0.7+0.6+3.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Frosinone vs Juventus+1.4+0.1-0.4
Milan vs Udinese-0.4+0.2+1.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Genoa vs Lazio+0.3-0.1-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Roma vs Sampdoria-0.1+0.1+0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Hellas Verona vs Internazionale+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Atalanta vs Empoli+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bologna vs Fiorentina+0.1*-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Torino vs Chievo+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Palermo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
7316-0-09.9%54.2%10443970No1,014
6613-2-1NoNo5050No4
6513-1-2NoNo2080No5*
6412-3-1NoNo14144824No21*
6312-2-2NoNo2840446No50*
6211-4-1NoNo63348122No126*
6111-3-2NoNo42748192No301*
6011-2-3NoNo115483060No613*
5910-4-2NoNo0941371210No1,329*
5810-3-3NoNo0329422140No2,845*
579-5-2NoNo011840311010No5,408*
569-4-3NoNo010313818300No9,961*
559-3-4NoNo04203729910No17,875*
548-5-3NoNo0111313617300No30,975*
538-4-4NoNo052037289100No50,677*
528-3-5NoNo0110293519400No79,254*
517-5-4NoNo00418352911200No119,560*
507-4-5NoNo0192635216100No173,795*
496-6-4NoNo00315323114300No240,110*
486-5-5NoNo00172335259100No319,130*
476-4-6NoNo00212293418500No407,754*
465-6-5NoNo015183429112000.0%270,150
6-3-7NoNo004183430122000.0227,594*
455-5-6NoNo00192636226000.0582,644*
445-4-7NoNo00315333313200.0357,041
4-7-5NoNo00315343313200.0295,857*
434-6-6NoNo0017253824500.1459,277*
5-3-8NoNo00172438255000.1240,066
424-5-7NoNo00214363611000.5446,766
3-8-5NoNo00214363611000.5268,515*
414-4-8NoNo0017274321201.6370,655
3-7-6NoNo0017274321201.6328,186*
403-6-7NoNo002174333404.1363,907
4-3-9NoNo002174333404.1284,956*
393-5-8NoNo001937449009.0574,266*
383-4-9NoNo0042752161016.8257,247
2-7-7NoNo0042752161016.5223,758*
372-6-8NoNo0011854252027.1382,829*
362-5-9NoNo001050364040.0284,717*
352-4-10NoNo0542468053.5199,901*
341-6-9NoNo02315314066.8130,873*
331-5-10NoNo01215522178.778,136*
321-4-11NoNo0135233287.243,824*
311-3-12NoNo074444593.122,122*
300-5-11NoNo0335531097.19,964*
290-4-12NoNo122611698.83,848*
280-3-13NoNo015582699.71,284*
270-2-14NoNo75043Yes301
260-1-15NoNo25147Yes49
250-0-16NoNo13069Yes1,020
Total:0.0%0.0%0000000113469131620187108.8%8,170,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship