How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Crotone 0 Internazionale 2 -0.8
-0.7
Roma 3 Hellas Verona 0 -0.1
-0.3
Fiorentina 2 Bologna 1 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Lazio vs Napoli-3.9-1.1+4.8
-7.2-1.6+8.5
+0.4*+0.0-0.4
-0.7-0.1+0.8
Napoli vs Benevento+3.8-1.5-3.8
+6.8-2.5-7.1
-0.4+0.0+0.6
+0.7-0.2-0.8
Bologna vs Internazionale+1.0+0.5-1.0
+0.7+0.4-0.8
Sassuolo vs Juventus+0.6+0.2-0.6
+0.8+0.3-0.8
Juventus vs Fiorentina-0.5+0.2+0.4
-0.5+0.4+0.2
Genoa vs Lazio+0.4+0.1-0.4
+0.6+0.3-0.6
Udinese vs Torino+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.4+0.3-0.6
Hellas Verona vs Sampdoria+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.6+0.3-0.6
Benevento vs Roma+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.5+0.2-0.6
Torino vs Sampdoria-0.2+0.3*+0.0
-0.3+0.4*-0.1
Milan vs Udinese-0.2+0.1*+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.2
Milan vs SPAL-0.1+0.1*+0.1
-0.3+0.2*+0.1
Atalanta vs Crotone-0.2*+0.1+0.1
Genoa vs Chievo*+0.1+0.1-0.2
SPAL vs Cagliari-0.2+0.2*+0.1
Cagliari vs Sassuolo-0.1+0.1*+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
SPAL vs Napoli-3.7-1.4+4.0
-7.1-2.1+7.4
+0.5+0.0-0.4
-0.8-0.2+0.7
Internazionale vs Genoa-1.0+0.4+1.0
-0.7+0.3+0.8
Hellas Verona vs Lazio+0.4+0.1-0.4
+0.7+0.3-0.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Juventus vs Torino-0.3+0.3*+0.0
-0.3+0.4*-0.1
Roma vs Udinese-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.3+0.2
Sampdoria vs Milan-0.2+0.2*+0.1
-0.3+0.3*+0.0
Fiorentina vs Atalanta-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Napoli finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-114YesYes100No1,664*
8623-8-499.7%Yes1000No646*
8523-7-599.9Yes1000No1,049*
8422-9-499.8Yes1000No1,634*
8322-8-599.6Yes1000No2,490*
8222-7-699.4Yes9910No3,608*
8121-9-599.3Yes991No5,589*
8021-8-698.6Yes991No7,890*
7920-10-598.1Yes9820No11,451*
7820-9-697.3Yes9730No15,957*
7720-8-796.0Yes9640No21,990*
7619-10-694.1Yes9460No29,935*
7519-9-791.6100.0%92800No39,208*
7418-11-688.4100.0881100No51,066*
7318-10-784.5100.0841510No65,346*
7218-9-879.4100.0791910No82,260*
7117-11-773.099.97325200No101,630*
7017-10-865.699.86630400No122,626*
6917-9-957.299.55735710No146,668*
6816-11-847.998.8484011100No171,208*
6716-10-938.497.5384316200No198,124*
6615-12-829.094.82944225000No223,659*
6515-11-920.290.22042288100No249,155*
6415-10-1013.282.913363414300No271,958*
6314-12-97.772.282836216100No293,721*
6214-11-103.958.64203528112000No310,303*
6114-10-111.743.02122932185100No322,062*
6013-12-100.627.816213226113000No329,635*
5913-11-110.215.4031327311961000No329,590*
5813-10-120.07.00161930271341000No325,113*
5712-12-110.02.50021024302292000No316,106*
5612-11-120.00.600141427291761000No301,233*
5511-13-110.00.100017182926144100No282,386*
5411-12-12No0.000292229231130000No258,798*
5311-11-13No0.000031224292082000No233,222*
5210-13-12NoNo0014142628187100No206,121*
5110-12-13NoNo0016172827155100No179,067*
5010-11-14NoNo00027192925134100No152,855*
499-13-13NoNo002921292311300No128,341*
489-12-14NoNo01311242921920000.0%105,360*
479-11-15NoNo00141426281871000.285,146*
468-13-14NoNo00161728271551000.867,032*
458-12-15NoNo0028213025123003.151,922*
448-11-16NoNo003112530217108.739,266*
437-13-15NoNo015163029154019.729,451*
427-12-16NoNo00292332249134.521,013*
417-11-17NoNo001414303217352.115,020*
406-13-16NoNo017223527769.010,532*
396-12-17NoNo0031533351381.47,276*
386-11-18NoNo01928412089.64,734*
375-13-17NoNo00520443094.53,171*
365-12-18NoNo0214424197.41,972*
355-11-19NoNo18365599.31,222*
344-13-18NoNo14316499.5745*
334-12-19NoNo22771Yes444*
324-11-20NoNo21583Yes252*
314-10-21NoNo11585Yes117*
303-12-20NoNo1387Yes82*
293-11-21NoNo1090Yes39*
9-28NoNo100Yes800*
Total:14.3%39.2%1413121098765433221110000.8%6,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship