"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Empoli vs Napoli-0.5-0.1+1.1
-1.1-0.2+2.3
+4.1-0.6-7.3
-0.7+0.0+1.4
Juventus vs Chievo+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.4-0.2-0.4
Palermo vs Carpi-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.0+0.5
Hellas Verona vs Torino+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Internazionale vs Milan-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Sassuolo vs Atalanta-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Frosinone vs Roma+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.3
Sampdoria vs Bologna-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.4
Fiorentina vs Genoa*+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Lazio vs Udinese+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Napoli finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
83-109YesYes100No44,345*
8225-6-599.8%Yes1000No561*
8124-8-499.8Yes1000No1,059*
8024-7-599.5Yes1000No1,944*
7923-9-499.7Yes1000No3,478*
7823-8-599.4Yes991No6,049*
7723-7-699.1Yes991No10,541*
7622-9-598.4100.0%9820No17,608*
7522-8-697.8100.09820No29,096*
7422-7-796.6100.09730No46,648*
7321-9-694.899.99550No74,848*
7221-8-792.499.89270No116,502*
7120-10-689.099.68911000No178,692*
7020-9-784.699.2851510No266,155*
6920-8-878.898.47920200No393,346*
6819-10-771.696.972253000No569,469*
6719-9-862.994.363315000No805,306*
6618-11-753.190.1533791000No1,119,950*
6518-10-842.383.54241142000No1,531,339*
6418-9-931.574.131432151000No2,054,463*
6317-11-821.561.921402891000No2,707,778*
6217-10-913.247.61334331540000No3,508,737*
6117-9-107.032.87263523820000No4,462,891*
6016-11-93.219.631631291541000No5,562,583*
5916-10-101.29.8192432231020000No6,831,778*
5815-12-90.33.90414272918610000No8,224,265*
5715-11-100.11.101618292614410000No9,728,648*
5615-10-110.00.2002921292311310000No11,303,243*
5514-12-100.00.00003112329219300000No12,882,659*
5414-11-110.00.000014132428198200000No14,440,941*
5314-10-12No0.000015142528187200000No15,877,255*
5213-12-11NoNo0001515262718720000No17,147,788*
5113-11-12NoNo000015152627176100000.0%18,169,591*
5013-10-13NoNo00001616272716610000.018,905,142*
4912-12-12NoNo0001617272616510000.019,310,298*
4812-11-13NoNo00002718282614510000.119,356,787*
4711-13-12NoNo0000281928251341000.619,039,827*
4611-12-13NoNo000029222923113002.918,370,018*
4511-11-14NoNo00013122530218109.217,375,535*
4410-13-13NoNo000015152829164021.316,137,108*
4310-12-14NoNo0002721322611238.414,686,468*
4210-11-15NoNo0000312283319457.013,101,834*
419-13-14NoNo00016203529973.411,444,333*
409-12-15NoNo000021231381685.39,810,138*
399-11-16NoNo0001624422692.88,228,275*
388-13-15NoNo0000317423896.86,754,855*
378-12-16NoNo00110394998.75,427,818*
368-11-17NoNo0006336099.54,267,322*
357-13-16NoNo0003267099.83,280,527*
347-12-17NoNo002207899.92,463,593*
337-11-18NoNo0011585100.01,809,640*
326-13-17NoNo0001090100.01,298,969*
316-12-18NoNo00793100.0907,366*
306-11-19NoNo0496Yes618,183*
295-13-18NoNo0397Yes410,215*
285-12-19NoNo0298Yes265,818*
275-11-20NoNo0199Yes167,504*
264-13-19NoNo199Yes102,463*
254-12-20NoNo0100Yes61,042*
244-11-21NoNo0100Yes35,226*
234-10-22NoNo0100Yes19,410*
223-12-21NoNo0100Yes10,588*
213-11-22NoNo0100Yes5,365*
203-10-23NoNo0100Yes2,746*
1-19NoNo100Yes46,031*
Total:1.6%3.8%2233444555666667777720.1%351,840,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship