How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Lazio 1 Napoli 2 +2.1
+4.9
-4.7
+1.2
Parma 2 Udinese 2 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Sassuolo 1 Inter 0 -0.1
*-0.1
Torino 0 AS Roma 1 -0.1
-0.1
Empoli 2 Cagliari 0 *-0.1
-0.1
Atalanta 4 Frosinone 0 *-0.1
Bologna 0 Spal 1 *-0.1
Chievo 2 Juventus 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sampdoria vs Fiorentina-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.2+0.3-0.1
AC Milan vs Genoa+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Napoli 3 AC Milan 2 +2.8
+6.0
-3.0
+1.1
Spal 1 Parma 0 -0.2
-0.3
AS Roma 3 Atalanta 3 +0.2
+0.3
Juventus 2 Lazio 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Cagliari 2 Sassuolo 2 +0.1
+0.2
Fiorentina 6 Chievo 1 -0.1
-0.2
Inter 2 Torino 2 +0.1
+0.2
Genoa 2 Empoli 1 +0.1
Frosinone 0 Bologna 0 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Napoli finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
90-111YesYes100No447,620*
8925-5-4100.0%Yes1000No3,484*
8824-7-3100.0Yes1000No6,608*
8724-6-499.9Yes1000No12,358*
8623-8-399.9Yes1000No22,467*
8523-7-499.9Yes1000No39,990*
8423-6-599.9Yes1000No69,826*
8322-8-499.9Yes1000No119,057*
8222-7-599.8Yes1000No198,970*
8121-9-499.6Yes1000No326,869*
8021-8-599.5Yes9910No525,092*
7921-7-699.2Yes9910No826,495*
7820-9-598.8Yes9910No1,277,589*
7720-8-698.1Yes9820No1,935,155*
7620-7-797.2Yes9730No2,876,588*
7519-9-695.9100.0%96400No4,196,757*
7419-8-794.0100.094600No6,019,670*
7318-10-691.5100.0918000No8,466,272*
7218-9-788.1100.08811000No11,698,601*
7118-8-883.7100.08415100No15,874,516*
7017-10-778.2100.07820200No21,169,599*
6917-9-871.499.971263000No27,733,781*
6816-11-763.499.763315000No35,669,137*
6716-10-854.399.2543781000No45,093,089*
6616-9-944.498.34441132000No56,042,426*
6515-11-834.396.334431930000No68,403,726*
6415-10-924.692.525432571000No82,073,516*
6315-9-1016.285.91638311220000No96,762,400*
6214-11-99.675.810313519510000No112,109,109*
6114-10-104.961.9522352610200000No127,633,508*
6014-9-112.145.4213303117510000No142,766,953*
5913-11-100.828.81721322511300000No156,964,161*
5813-10-110.215.103122630197100000No169,533,979*
5712-12-100.06.201517292715510000No179,900,218*
5612-11-110.01.90028212924123100000No187,551,317*
5512-10-120.00.40003112329219200000No192,043,676*
5411-12-110.00.100014132528198200000No193,100,577*
5311-11-120.00.0000015152627187200000No190,686,914*
5211-10-13No0.00000161627271661000000.0%184,875,065*
5110-12-12No0.0000016172726155100000.0175,935,520*
5010-11-13NoNo000027182726155100000.0164,332,025*
4910-10-14NoNo00002819282514410000.0150,608,512*
489-12-13NoNo00002820282412410000.0135,387,298*
479-11-14NoNo000003102229231130000.4119,364,745*
469-10-15NoNo0000131124292182002.0103,168,380*
458-12-14NoNo000014142729186106.887,397,357*
448-11-15NoNo0000016183028143017.172,534,856*
438-10-16NoNo0000292332248132.958,938,260*
427-12-15NoNo00001414303216351.346,910,124*
417-11-16NoNo000017233526768.736,498,271*
407-10-17NoNo000031433351382.027,777,565*
396-12-16NoNo0001827412290.820,678,316*
386-11-17NoNo0000420433395.715,025,751*
376-10-18NoNo000213414498.210,651,622*
365-12-17NoNo0018365699.37,377,657*
355-11-18NoNo0004306699.84,973,606*
345-10-19NoNo002237599.93,261,795*
334-12-18NoNo0011782100.02,087,652*
324-11-19NoNo001287100.01,296,832*
314-10-20NoNo00892100.0780,486*
303-12-19NoNo00594100.0455,829*
293-11-20NoNo0396Yes257,640*
283-10-21NoNo0298Yes140,346*
273-9-22NoNo0199Yes73,723*
262-11-21NoNo199Yes37,386*
252-10-22NoNo0100Yes18,352*
242-9-23NoNo0100Yes8,514*
232-8-24NoNo0100Yes3,781*
221-10-23NoNo0100Yes1,556*
211-9-24NoNo0100Yes671*
9-20NoNo100Yes444,517*
Total:6.7%21.8%788777766555444332215.0%3,571,486,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship