How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Crotone vs Milan-1.6-0.5+2.1
-3.9-1.1+4.9
+4.1+0.6-4.7
-1.0-0.2+1.2
Juventus vs Cagliari-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Lazio vs SPAL-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atalanta vs Roma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Udinese vs Chievo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Internazionale vs Fiorentina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bologna vs Torino-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Hellas Verona vs Napoli-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sassuolo vs Genoa-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sampdoria vs Benevento-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Milan vs Cagliari+2.1-0.5-1.6
+4.9-1.1-3.9
-4.7+0.6+4.1
+1.2-0.2-1.0
Crotone vs Hellas Verona-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Benevento vs Bologna-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fiorentina vs Sampdoria-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Genoa vs Juventus-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Napoli vs Atalanta-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Roma vs Internazionale-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chievo vs Lazio-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Torino vs Sassuolo-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
SPAL vs Udinese-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Milan finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-114YesYes100No156,747*
8626-8-499.9%Yes1000No2,956*
8526-7-5100.0Yes1000No5,013*
8425-9-4100.0Yes1000No9,091*
8325-8-5100.0Yes1000No15,222*
8225-7-699.9Yes1000No25,578*
8124-9-599.9Yes1000No42,292*
8024-8-699.9Yes1000No68,415*
7923-10-599.8Yes1000No108,476*
7823-9-699.7Yes10000No169,890*
7723-8-799.5Yes991No261,454*
7622-10-699.2Yes9910No394,774*
7522-9-798.7Yes9910No585,856*
7421-11-697.9100.0%98200No856,224*
7321-10-796.8100.097300No1,229,031*
7221-9-895.2100.095500No1,735,314*
7120-11-792.9100.093700No2,410,492*
7020-10-889.7100.09010000No3,297,973*
6920-9-985.4100.08514100No4,440,325*
6819-11-879.7100.080191000No5,878,151*
6719-10-972.599.972253000No7,659,380*
6618-12-863.699.6643150000No9,834,953*
6518-11-953.599.0533791000No12,426,520*
6418-10-1042.497.64241142000No15,448,714*
6317-12-931.394.531422151000No18,916,342*
6217-11-1020.988.8214028920000No22,793,032*
6117-10-1112.479.112333316410000No27,047,190*
6016-12-106.364.86243424920000No31,583,753*
5916-11-112.747.0315303017510000No36,332,236*
5815-13-100.928.71721312512310000No41,123,574*
5715-12-110.213.903112430219200000No45,852,671*
5615-11-120.05.0014142628187200000No50,293,652*
5514-13-110.01.20016162726166100000No54,320,837*
5414-12-120.00.200027182725155100000No57,742,849*
5314-11-130.00.0000027182725145100000No60,409,989*
5213-13-12No0.000002718272514510000No62,203,724*
5113-12-13No0.0000027182725145100000.0%63,024,240*
5013-11-14No0.00000027182725145100000.062,831,773*
4912-13-13NoNo0000027182725155100000.061,608,550*
4812-12-14NoNo00002718272514510000.159,431,263*
4712-11-15NoNo00000281928251341000.756,418,163*
4611-13-14NoNo000029202924123003.552,626,423*
4511-12-15NoNo0000031023302292011.148,289,113*
4410-14-14NoNo000014132730196125.343,544,731*
4310-13-15NoNo00001618312913244.138,586,796*
4210-12-16NoNo0000210253423663.333,604,224*
419-14-15NoNo000141634331278.828,731,426*
409-13-16NoNo0002928402189.124,128,353*
399-12-17NoNo0000420433295.019,900,267*
388-14-16NoNo000213414498.016,105,003*
378-13-17NoNo00018365699.212,787,567*
368-12-18NoNo0004296799.79,958,422*
357-14-17NoNo002227699.97,594,701*
347-13-18NoNo0011683100.05,675,269*
337-12-19NoNo0001188100.04,160,080*
326-14-18NoNo00892100.02,982,663*
316-13-19NoNo00595100.02,090,406*
306-12-20NoNo00397100.01,433,532*
296-11-21NoNo0298Yes959,904*
285-13-20NoNo0199Yes628,128*
275-12-21NoNo0199Yes401,896*
265-11-22NoNo0100Yes247,951*
254-13-21NoNo0100Yes151,189*
244-12-22NoNo0100Yes89,369*
234-11-23NoNo0100Yes51,444*
223-13-22NoNo0100Yes28,088*
213-12-23NoNo0100Yes15,303*
203-11-24NoNo0100Yes8,045*
193-10-25NoNo0100Yes3,987*
0-18NoNo100Yes156,961*
Total:5.0%15.0%5555555555555555555515.0%1,233,937,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship