How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 10/22 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Milan 0 Genoa 0 -0.1 -0.4 +0.1 -0.2 Napoli 0 Internazionale 0 +0.1 Udinese 2 Juventus 6 -0.2 Lazio 3 Cagliari 0 -0.2 -0.1 Torino 0 Roma 1 -0.1 Sampdoria 5 Crotone 0 -0.1 -0.1 Chievo 3 Hellas Verona 2 -0.1 Benevento 0 Fiorentina 3 -0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Chievo vs Milan -0.1-0.0+0.1 -0.5-0.2+0.7 +0.5+0.0-0.5 -0.6-0.1+0.7 Genoa vs Napoli +0.1+0.0-0.1 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Juventus vs SPAL -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Bologna vs Lazio +0.1+0.0-0.1 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Roma vs Crotone -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.1+0.0+0.1 Atalanta vs Hellas Verona -0.1*-0.0+0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 10/29 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Milan vs Juventus +0.1-0.0-0.1 +1.0-0.1-0.5 -0.6-0.1+0.4 +0.8-0.0-0.4 Napoli vs Sassuolo -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Hellas Verona vs Internazionale +0.1+0.0-0.1 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Benevento vs Lazio +0.1+0.0-0.1 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Roma vs Bologna -0.1+0.0+0.1 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Crotone vs Fiorentina +0.1*-0.0-0.1 Torino vs Cagliari -0.1-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Milan finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title UEFA CL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 87 -100 Yes Yes 100 No 39,806 * 86 23 - 4 - 2 97.4 % Yes 97 3 No 39 * 85 22 - 6 - 1 97.4 Yes 97 3 No 76 * 84 22 - 5 - 2 92.6 Yes 93 7 1 No 176 * 83 22 - 4 - 3 93.5 Yes 94 6 0 No 386 * 82 21 - 6 - 2 89.2 Yes 89 11 0 No 813 * 81 21 - 5 - 3 87.1 Yes 87 12 0 No 1,618 * 80 21 - 4 - 4 81.2 100.0 % 81 17 1 0 No 3,101 * 79 20 - 6 - 3 74.1 99.9 74 24 2 0 No 5,790 * 78 20 - 5 - 4 66.5 99.8 67 29 4 0 0 No 10,206 * 77 19 - 7 - 3 57.6 99.6 58 36 7 0 0 No 18,263 * 76 19 - 6 - 4 48.7 99.0 49 40 10 1 0 No 31,722 * 75 19 - 5 - 5 38.4 97.8 38 44 16 2 0 0 No 52,705 * 74 18 - 7 - 4 29.2 95.5 29 44 22 4 0 0 No 87,467 * 73 18 - 6 - 5 20.8 91.6 21 43 28 8 1 0 0 No 140,772 * 72 17 - 8 - 4 13.8 85.9 14 38 34 12 2 0 0 No 220,298 * 71 17 - 7 - 5 8.6 77.4 9 31 38 18 4 0 0 No 335,736 * 70 17 - 6 - 6 4.8 66.4 5 24 38 25 7 1 0 0 No 504,269 * 69 16 - 8 - 5 2.4 53.7 2 16 35 32 12 2 0 0 No 739,642 * 68 16 - 7 - 6 1.1 40.3 1 10 29 36 19 4 0 0 No 1,060,573 * 67 15 - 9 - 5 0.4 27.7 0 5 22 36 27 8 1 0 0 No 1,486,671 * 66 15 - 8 - 6 0.1 17.3 0 3 15 33 33 14 2 0 0 No 2,040,863 * 65 15 - 7 - 7 0.0 9.7 0 1 9 27 37 22 5 0 0 0 No 2,740,881 * 64 14 - 9 - 6 0.0 4.7 0 0 4 19 36 30 9 1 0 0 No 3,606,761 * 63 14 - 8 - 7 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 12 32 36 16 3 0 0 0 No 4,645,063 * 62 14 - 7 - 8 0.0 0.7 0 0 1 6 24 38 24 6 1 0 0 No 5,861,754 * 61 13 - 9 - 7 0.0 0.2 0 0 0 3 16 36 32 11 2 0 0 0 No 7,242,465 * 60 13 - 8 - 8 No 0.1 0 0 1 10 30 37 18 4 0 0 0 No 8,758,839 * 59 12 - 10 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 0 5 22 38 26 8 1 0 0 No 10,377,841 * 58 12 - 9 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 2 14 34 33 14 3 0 0 0 No 12,039,492 * 57 12 - 8 - 9 No 0.0 0 0 1 8 27 36 21 6 1 0 0 No 13,685,571 * 56 11 - 10 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 4 19 35 29 11 2 0 0 0 No 15,229,770 * 55 11 - 9 - 9 No No 0 0 2 11 30 34 18 4 0 0 0 No 16,591,187 * 54 11 - 8 - 10 No No 0 0 1 6 22 35 26 9 1 0 0 No 17,695,789 * 53 10 - 10 - 9 No No 0 0 3 14 31 33 16 3 0 0 0 No 18,477,016 * 52 10 - 9 - 10 No No 0 0 1 8 24 35 24 7 1 0 0 0 No 18,891,613 * 51 10 - 8 - 11 No No 0 0 0 4 16 33 32 13 2 0 0 0 No 18,890,938 * 50 9 - 10 - 10 No No 0 0 0 1 9 27 36 21 5 0 0 0 No 18,482,081 * 49 9 - 9 - 11 No No 0 0 0 4 18 35 30 10 1 0 0 0 No 17,702,924 * 48 9 - 8 - 12 No No 0 0 0 2 11 30 36 17 4 0 0 0 No 16,572,390 * 47 8 - 10 - 11 No No 0 0 0 1 5 21 37 26 8 1 0 0 0 0.0 % 15,157,241 * 46 8 - 9 - 12 No No 0 0 2 13 33 33 15 3 0 0 0 0.0 13,550,007 * 45 7 - 11 - 11 No No 0 0 1 7 25 36 24 7 1 0 0 0 0.0 11,841,666 * 44 7 - 10 - 12 No No 0 0 0 0 3 16 33 31 14 3 0 0 0 0 0.0 10,102,836 * 43 7 - 9 - 13 No No 0 0 1 8 26 35 22 7 1 0 0 0.1 8,411,678 * 42 6 - 11 - 12 No No 0 0 0 4 17 33 30 13 3 0 0 0 0.3 6,825,732 * 41 6 - 10 - 13 No No 0 0 1 9 26 34 22 7 1 0 0 1.1 5,402,068 * 40 6 - 9 - 14 No No 0 0 0 4 17 32 29 13 3 0 0 3.1 4,166,183 * 39 5 - 11 - 13 No No 0 0 2 10 26 34 22 7 1 0 7.5 3,128,712 * 38 5 - 10 - 14 No No 0 0 1 5 17 32 30 13 2 0 15.3 2,286,247 * 37 5 - 9 - 15 No No 0 0 2 10 26 34 21 5 0 27.1 1,620,906 * 36 4 - 11 - 14 No No 0 0 1 5 19 34 30 11 1 41.8 1,117,542 * 35 4 - 10 - 15 No No 0 0 0 2 11 29 36 19 3 57.6 746,608 * 34 4 - 9 - 16 No No 0 0 1 6 22 38 28 6 72.1 484,195 * 33 4 - 8 - 17 No No 0 0 2 14 36 37 11 83.4 302,818 * 32 3 - 10 - 16 No No 0 0 1 8 29 44 18 91.2 182,747 * 31 3 - 9 - 17 No No 0 0 4 22 47 27 95.9 106,842 * 30 3 - 8 - 18 No No 0 0 2 15 47 37 98.2 59,836 * 29 2 - 10 - 17 No No 0 1 9 42 48 99.3 32,366 * 28 2 - 9 - 18 No No 0 0 5 36 59 99.8 16,749 * 27 2 - 8 - 19 No No 0 3 29 69 100.0 8,251 * 26 2 - 7 - 20 No No 1 22 77 Yes 3,825 * 25 1 - 9 - 19 No No 1 14 85 Yes 1,705 * 24 1 - 8 - 20 No No 11 89 Yes 716 * 23 1 - 7 - 21 No No 7 93 Yes 288 * 22 1 - 6 - 22 No No 6 94 Yes 89 * 20 -21 No No 100 Yes 41 * 19 1 - 3 - 25 No No 50 50 Yes 2 * 18 0 - 5 - 24 No No 100 Yes 1 13 0 - 0 - 29 No No 0 100 Yes 39,776 Total: 0.1 % 1.0 % 0 0 1 2 3 5 8 11 12 13 13 11 8 6 4 2 1 1 0 0 1.0 % 319,871,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship