How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Inter Milan 1 Juventus 1 +0.1
+0.2
Napoli 2 Atalanta 0 -0.1
-0.2
Torino 2 AC Milan 2 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Livorno vs Catania+1.2-0.8-1.5
+3.4-2.1-4.5
-2.9+1.3+4.4
+0.8-0.5-1.2
Parma vs Roma+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Fiorentina vs Cagliari-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Udinese vs Bologna-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Lazio vs Chievo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Verona vs Sassuolo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Sampdoria vs Genoa-0.1+0.1+0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Genoa vs Livorno-1.1-0.3+2.0
-3.2-0.6+5.3
+2.7-0.1-3.8
-0.8-0.1+1.2
Livorno vs Cagliari+1.3-0.7-1.5
+3.7-2.0-4.5
-2.9+1.2+4.0
+0.9-0.4-1.2
Napoli vs Sassuolo-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.2+0.0+0.4
AC Milan vs Napoli+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sassuolo vs Inter Milan+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Sampdoria vs Roma+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Chievo vs Juventus+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Roma vs Lazio-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Juventus vs Verona-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Atalanta vs Fiorentina+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Chievo vs Udinese+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bologna vs AC Milan+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Udinese vs Genoa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Bologna vs Torino+0.0+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cagliari vs Sampdoria-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Lazio vs Catania-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Parma vs Atalanta+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Torino vs Verona-0.0+0.1-0.0
Catania vs Parma*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Livorno finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
90-111YesYes100No121,343*
8927-5-499.8%Yes1000No446*
8826-7-399.9Yes1000No917*
8726-6-4YesYes100No1,715*
8626-5-599.9Yes1000No3,206*
8525-7-499.9Yes1000No5,513*
8425-6-599.8Yes1000No9,999*
8324-8-499.9Yes1000No17,302*
8224-7-599.7Yes1000No29,298*
8124-6-699.6Yes1000No48,393*
8023-8-599.3Yes991No79,485*
7923-7-698.9Yes9910No127,519*
7823-6-798.4Yes9820No199,919*
7722-8-697.5Yes9820No308,321*
7622-7-796.4Yes9640No465,742*
7521-9-694.7Yes9550No690,799*
7421-8-792.4100.0%92700No1,004,498*
7321-7-889.3100.0891000No1,438,812*
7220-9-785.1100.08514100No2,021,420*
7120-8-880.0100.08019100No2,790,968*
7020-7-973.599.974242000No3,789,015*
6919-9-865.899.766304000No5,055,431*
6819-8-956.999.4573571000No6,634,015*
6718-10-847.198.54740111000No8,547,619*
6618-9-937.096.83743173000No10,830,716*
6518-8-1027.293.427432361000No13,504,120*
6417-10-918.487.7183930102000No16,538,868*
6317-9-1011.278.51133341741000No19,941,601*
6217-8-116.165.66243524920000No23,612,572*
6116-10-102.849.8316313015410000No27,513,584*
6016-9-111.133.118243223920000No31,524,045*
5915-11-100.318.50415282917610000No35,507,182*
5815-10-110.18.301720302512310000No39,337,393*
5715-9-120.02.8003112430219200000No42,865,946*
5614-11-110.00.70014142628187200000No45,922,287*
5514-10-120.00.10001617282716510000No48,355,599*
5414-9-130.00.000002719282514410000No50,085,446*
5313-11-12No0.00002820282412410000No50,973,819*
5213-10-13No0.00000210212923113100000.0%51,011,277*
5113-9-14NoNo000031122292210300000.050,183,742*
5012-11-13NoNo00013122328219200000.048,511,520*
4912-10-14NoNo0001413242820820000.046,063,455*
4812-9-15NoNo00001514262818710000.243,000,889*
4711-11-14NoNo0000161627271651001.039,429,657*
4611-10-15NoNo000027192926134004.035,514,019*
4510-12-14NoNo000031023302392011.431,391,183*
4410-11-15NoNo000014142730185124.527,258,742*
4310-10-16NoNo0001619312812241.723,221,623*
429-12-15NoNo0000211263421559.819,424,479*
419-11-16NoNo000151935311075.315,928,165*
409-10-17NoNo00021130381786.412,805,173*
398-12-16NoNo0001624432793.210,104,913*
388-11-17NoNo000316423897.07,814,214*
378-10-18NoNo000110395098.85,917,455*
367-12-17NoNo0006336199.54,383,411*
357-11-18NoNo0003267099.83,184,452*
347-10-19NoNo002207899.92,258,557*
336-12-18NoNo0011584100.01,571,608*
326-11-19NoNo001089100.01,063,772*
316-10-20NoNo00793100.0706,546*
305-12-19NoNo0595Yes455,744*
295-11-20NoNo00397100.0287,780*
285-10-21NoNo0298Yes176,091*
275-9-22NoNo0199Yes105,564*
264-11-21NoNo199Yes61,317*
254-10-22NoNo0100Yes34,570*
244-9-23NoNo0100Yes19,146*
233-11-22NoNo0100Yes10,125*
223-10-23NoNo0100Yes5,225*
3-21NoNo100Yes125,673*
Total:3.9%14.1%455666666665555544339.6%971,934,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship