How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Inter Milan 1 Juventus 1 +0.1
+0.2
Napoli 2 Atalanta 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Torino 2 AC Milan 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Lazio vs Chievo+0.9-0.5-1.0
+2.8-1.5-3.2
-4.0+1.5+5.4
+0.9-0.4-1.1
Parma vs Roma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Fiorentina vs Cagliari-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Livorno vs Catania-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.3
Udinese vs Bologna-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Verona vs Sassuolo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.2
Sampdoria vs Genoa-0.0+0.1+0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Roma vs Lazio-0.8-0.1+1.6
-2.3-0.1+4.8
+2.9-0.3-5.3
-0.7+0.0+1.3
Lazio vs Catania+0.8-0.5-1.0
+2.7-1.5-3.2
-4.0+1.6+5.6
+0.9-0.4-1.2
Napoli vs Sassuolo-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.2+0.0+0.5
AC Milan vs Napoli+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Sassuolo vs Inter Milan+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Chievo vs Juventus+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Sampdoria vs Roma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.3
Juventus vs Verona-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Atalanta vs Fiorentina+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Genoa vs Livorno+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Chievo vs Udinese+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Udinese vs Genoa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.3
Bologna vs AC Milan+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Bologna vs Torino+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Livorno vs Cagliari-0.1+0.1-0.0
*+0.0-0.0+0.1
Cagliari vs Sampdoria-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Parma vs Atalanta+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Torino vs Verona-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Catania vs Parma+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Lazio finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
85-111YesYes100No125,090*
8425-6-599.9%Yes1000No3,627*
8324-8-499.8Yes1000No6,451*
8224-7-599.7Yes1000No11,426*
8124-6-699.5Yes1000No19,249*
8023-8-599.4Yes991No32,629*
7923-7-698.9Yes991No53,648*
7823-6-798.4Yes9820No86,897*
7722-8-697.6Yes9820No137,578*
7622-7-796.4Yes9640No213,860*
7521-9-694.7100.0%95500No327,022*
7421-8-792.4100.092700No491,657*
7321-7-889.2100.0891000No726,066*
7220-9-785.2100.08514100No1,051,262*
7120-8-879.9100.08019100No1,497,107*
7020-7-973.499.97324200No2,094,956*
6919-9-865.699.766304000No2,882,172*
6819-8-956.799.357357100No3,902,822*
6718-10-846.898.44740121000No5,188,144*
6618-9-936.796.63743173000No6,789,230*
6518-8-1026.993.227432461000No8,730,716*
6417-10-918.187.3183930112000No11,036,002*
6317-9-1011.077.91132341741000No13,727,837*
6217-8-115.964.96243524920000No16,794,405*
6116-10-102.748.9315313016410000No20,198,773*
6016-9-111.032.2182332241020000No23,899,766*
5915-11-100.317.80314283017610000No27,812,089*
5815-10-110.17.801719302613410000No31,830,798*
5715-9-120.02.6002102330221020000No35,831,099*
5614-11-110.00.6001413262919720000No39,654,456*
5514-10-120.00.10001516272716610000No43,152,449*
5414-9-13No0.00001718282614510000No46,177,283*
5313-11-12No0.00002819282513410000No48,596,762*
5213-10-13No0.00000292128241231000No50,282,214*
5113-9-14NoNo0000310222923113000000.0%51,129,486*
5012-11-13NoNo000131123292210300000.051,109,652*
4912-10-14NoNo00014122428209200000.050,212,727*
4812-9-15NoNo0001414252819720000.248,483,292*
4711-11-14NoNo0000151627281761001.145,995,682*
4611-10-15NoNo000027182926144004.342,841,583*
4511-9-16NoNo000029223024102012.039,214,127*
4410-11-15NoNo00014132731196125.335,238,597*
4310-10-16NoNo00001619312812242.831,078,828*
429-12-15NoNo0000211263422560.726,912,632*
419-11-16NoNo000151835311076.022,861,616*
409-10-17NoNo000021130391886.819,050,840*
398-12-16NoNo0001623432893.515,557,987*
388-11-17NoNo000316423997.112,458,976*
378-10-18NoNo000110395098.89,783,114*
367-12-17NoNo0006336199.67,516,029*
357-11-18NoNo0003267199.85,657,206*
347-10-19NoNo0022079100.04,162,631*
337-9-20NoNo0011485100.02,997,076*
326-11-19NoNo001090100.02,113,069*
316-10-20NoNo00793100.01,450,821*
306-9-21NoNo00495100.0974,465*
295-11-20NoNo0397Yes637,857*
285-10-21NoNo0298Yes405,673*
275-9-22NoNo0199Yes252,651*
264-11-21NoNo0199Yes153,084*
254-10-22NoNo0100Yes89,810*
244-9-23NoNo0100Yes50,832*
233-11-22NoNo0100Yes28,250*
223-10-23NoNo0100Yes14,998*
213-9-24NoNo100Yes7,695*
203-8-25NoNo0100Yes3,832*
192-10-24NoNo0100Yes1,939*
3-18NoNo100Yes122,361*
Total:2.3%9.3%2344555566666666655414.7%971,934,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)