How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Napoli 2 Genoa 0 -2.1
-0.0
Fiorentina 3 Udinese 0 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Lazio vs Milan+0.1-0.0-0.1
+6.1-2.1-5.4
+0.5-0.1-0.5
Cagliari vs Juventus+0.1+0.0-0.0
Crotone vs Roma+2.4+1.0-1.0
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Internazionale vs Empoli-0.4+0.4+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Palermo vs Atalanta+0.5+0.3-0.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Empoli vs Lazio-0.1-0.1+0.1
-6.3-3.6+3.6
-0.6-0.3+0.3
Juventus vs Palermo-0.0+0.0+0.1
Roma vs Torino-1.3+0.6+1.8
Chievo vs Napoli+3.3+1.4-1.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Bologna vs Internazionale+0.6+0.4-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atalanta vs Crotone-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Milan vs Fiorentina-0.1+0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Lazio finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8815-0-064.5%Yes65350No1,096
8614-1-045.7Yes46540No230
8514-0-137.6Yes38602No205
8413-2-029.7Yes30691No1,313
8313-1-121.6100.0%227260No2,295
8212-3-015.499.81575100No5,623*
8112-2-19.799.51073171No11,236
8011-4-05.798.4668252No19,965*
7911-3-13.096.6360333No37,006*
7811-2-21.692.92494270No59,441*
7710-4-10.787.813849120No95,145*
7610-3-20.379.6027532000No143,895*
759-5-10.169.1018523010No202,145*
749-4-20.056.8011464030No277,546*
739-3-30.043.3063850600No361,032*
728-5-20.030.60328571210No448,882*
718-4-30.019.60118592020No536,640*
708-3-4No10.00105331500No304,785
7-6-2No12.30125528400No309,519*
697-5-3No5.8064638910No461,274
8-2-5No5.50545391010No209,785*
687-4-4No2.30233441820No448,427
6-7-2No2.70336441620No258,621*
676-6-3No1.001244526500No397,350
7-3-5No0.801224427600No314,459*
666-5-4No0.3001339351110No461,170
5-8-2No0.3001339351110No228,599*
656-4-5No0.10629412030No386,665*
5-7-3No0.100832401820No250,515
645-6-4No0.003204129600No567,536*
635-5-5No0.0011236381300No482,688*
625-4-6No0.000627442210No394,652*
614-6-5NoNo0218443330No307,599*
604-5-6NoNo0110384570No228,477*
593-7-5NoNo00529531300No162,346*
583-6-6NoNo00219572110No110,416*
573-5-7NoNo0111543130No70,295*
562-7-6NoNo0054641700No43,073*
552-6-7NoNo0235481310No24,756*
542-5-8NoNo124492330No13,376*
532-4-9NoNo0134533810No6,489*
521-6-8NoNo737391520No3,160*
511-5-9NoNo2234325610No1,326*
501-4-10NoNo1153435132No543*
490-6-9NoNo525392461No204*
480-5-10NoNo283726226No65*
470-4-11NoNo635536No17*
460-3-12NoNo333333No3
450-2-13NoNo100No1
430-0-15NoNo183044151No1,074
Total:0.1%13.4%0310252218127200000000No8,652,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship