"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Juventus 1 Lazio 2 +3.5
+9.4
+0.6
Internazionale 3 Milan 2 -0.6
-1.2
Roma 0 Napoli 1 -0.6
Crotone 2 Torino 2 +0.1
Sampdoria 3 Atalanta 1 -0.2
Bologna 2 SPAL 1 -0.2
Sassuolo 0 Chievo 0 +0.2
Fiorentina 2 Udinese 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Bologna vs Lazio-2.7-1.1+2.9
-7.8-2.5+7.6
-0.5-0.1+0.5
Lazio vs Cagliari+2.5-1.4-3.0
+6.4-3.4-8.0
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Genoa vs Napoli+1.4+0.6-1.0
+1.1+0.4-0.8
Internazionale vs Sampdoria-0.7+0.3+0.7
-0.9+0.6+0.7
Napoli vs Internazionale-0.7+0.6+0.2
+0.3+0.4-0.7
Udinese vs Juventus+0.5+0.2-0.4
+1.7+0.7-1.5
Juventus vs SPAL-0.4+0.2+0.5
-1.4+0.8+1.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Roma vs Crotone-0.2+0.1+0.2
-1.2+0.7+1.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Torino vs Roma+0.2+0.1-0.2
+1.0+0.6-1.2
Sampdoria vs Crotone-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.5+0.2+0.5
Atalanta vs Bologna+0.2+0.2-0.3
Fiorentina vs Torino+0.0+0.2-0.2
Milan vs Genoa-0.2+0.1+0.1
Chievo vs Hellas Verona-0.2+0.1+0.2
Benevento vs Fiorentina+0.2+0.1-0.2
Chievo vs Milan-0.1+0.1-0.0
Atalanta vs Hellas Verona-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Lazio finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
94-109YesYes100No38,094*
9323-5-299.9%Yes1000No3,047*
9223-4-399.8Yes1000No5,572*
9122-6-299.6Yes1000No10,520*
9022-5-399.4Yes991No18,614*
8921-7-299.2Yes991No32,276*
8821-6-398.7Yes9910No54,789*
8721-5-498.0Yes9820No89,437*
8620-7-397.0Yes9730No144,308*
8520-6-495.7Yes9640No225,754*
8419-8-394.0Yes9460No344,639*
8319-7-491.7100.0%92800No511,906*
8219-6-588.6100.0891100No745,565*
8118-8-484.6100.0851500No1,060,542*
8018-7-579.8100.0801910No1,473,206*
7917-9-474.1100.07424200No2,000,679*
7817-8-567.599.96730300No2,664,367*
7717-7-659.999.96035500No3,471,048*
7616-9-551.999.75241700No4,423,413*
7516-8-643.599.3434511100No5,517,100*
7416-7-735.198.5354816100No6,738,880*
7315-9-627.297.12748213000No8,067,263*
7215-8-720.094.72047285000No9,453,603*
7114-10-614.091.01443348100No10,856,844*
7014-9-79.185.49373913100No12,215,672*
6914-8-85.677.863042193000No13,457,108*
6813-10-73.168.232342265000No14,531,608*
6713-9-81.656.821639339100No15,382,420*
6613-8-90.744.51103438152000No15,951,682*
6512-10-80.332.4062641224000No16,212,671*
6412-9-90.121.7031939308100No16,137,238*
6311-11-80.013.101123436142000No15,740,447*
6211-10-90.07.100727392251000No15,050,388*
6111-9-100.03.3003183729102000No14,081,491*
6010-11-90.01.40011131351740000No12,902,934*
5910-10-100.00.5000623362591000No11,580,580*
5810-9-11No0.1002143231154000No10,177,195*
579-11-10No0.0001824342381000No8,753,970*
569-10-11No0.0003163130154100No7,366,254*
559-9-12No0.0001823332492000No6,064,886*
548-11-11No0.00004152930165100No4,880,780*
538-10-12NoNo0018223225102000No3,839,086*
527-12-11NoNo0003132831185100No2,952,912*
517-11-12NoNo0016203227123000No2,215,998*
507-10-13NoNo0002112632217100No1,627,994*
496-12-12NoNo0015173129143000No1,163,385*
486-11-13NoNo00292433238100No811,822*
476-10-14NoNo00041530311641000.0%552,439*
465-12-13NoNo0017223325102000.0366,315*
455-11-14NoNo00031328321851000.0236,019*
445-10-15NoNo0016203227122000.3147,919*
435-9-16NoNo0021127322061000.990,027*
424-11-15NoNo015183229133003.153,055*
414-10-16NoNo002102533227107.630,261*
404-9-17NoNo014173230143016.216,783*
393-11-16NoNo00292635225128.28,995*
383-10-17NoNo1417343111143.64,522*
373-9-18NoNo0210293620359.32,261*
362-11-17NoNo05224026672.41,114*
352-10-18NoNo021435371183.5478*
342-9-19NoNo1531432094.5235*
332-8-20NoNo423561795.871*
321-10-19NoNo215326Yes34*
311-9-20NoNo135038Yes16*
300-11-19NoNo3367Yes6*
291-7-22NoNo100Yes1
190-0-30NoNo0100Yes35,142
Total:8.8%40.8%91517171410743211000000000.0%282,595,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship