How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Lazio vs Udinese+0.8-0.4-0.9
+1.6-0.9-1.9
-4.6+2.0+6.1
+0.9-0.4-1.2
Juventus vs Chievo+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Palermo vs Carpi-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.0+0.5
Hellas Verona vs Torino+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Internazionale vs Milan-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Sassuolo vs Atalanta-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Frosinone vs Roma+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.3
Sampdoria vs Bologna-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.4
Fiorentina vs Genoa*+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Empoli vs Napoli+0.2-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Lazio finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
89-111YesYes100No43,770*
8826-7-393.3%Yes937No15*
82-87YesYes100No1,909*
8123-9-499.9Yes1000No1,724*
8023-8-599.7Yes1000No2,969*
7923-7-699.8Yes1000No5,245*
7822-9-599.4Yes991No8,976*
7722-8-699.2100.0%9910No15,674*
7622-7-798.5100.09910No25,487*
7521-9-697.6100.09820No41,564*
7421-8-796.5100.09730No65,856*
7320-10-694.799.99550No103,441*
7220-9-792.299.892800No158,471*
7120-8-888.899.68911000No237,095*
7019-10-784.399.2841510No349,910*
6919-9-878.498.37820200No509,055*
6818-11-771.296.87126300No726,220*
6718-10-862.494.162325000No1,012,498*
6618-9-952.589.852379100No1,392,150*
6517-11-841.883.14241142000No1,875,934*
6417-10-931.073.73143215100No2,487,304*
6317-9-1021.161.421402892000No3,236,255*
6216-11-912.947.01334331541000No4,133,965*
6116-10-106.832.3725352382000No5,191,850*
6015-12-93.119.2316312915410000No6,395,749*
5915-11-101.19.5182332231020000No7,752,923*
5815-10-110.33.70314272918610000No9,220,908*
5714-12-100.11.101618292614510000No10,780,404*
5614-11-110.00.2002921292311310000No12,362,726*
5514-10-120.00.000031123292110300000No13,935,500*
5413-12-110.00.000014132428208200000No15,424,580*
5313-11-12No0.00001414252819720000No16,753,996*
5213-10-13NoNo0001515262718720000No17,869,062*
5112-12-12NoNo000015152627176100000.0%18,715,483*
5012-11-13NoNo000016162627166100000.019,242,761*
4911-13-12NoNo000001617272716510000.019,411,192*
4811-12-13NoNo00002718282615510000.119,217,852*
4711-11-14NoNo0000281928251341000.618,653,424*
4610-13-13NoNo000029222923113002.917,766,520*
4510-12-14NoNo000013122530218109.216,599,722*
4410-11-15NoNo000015152829164021.215,205,442*
439-13-14NoNo0002821322610238.313,650,423*
429-12-15NoNo0000312283319456.911,999,360*
419-11-16NoNo00016203529973.210,339,132*
408-13-15NoNo000021231381685.28,720,903*
398-12-16NoNo001624422692.77,204,515*
388-11-17NoNo000317423796.75,817,165*
377-13-16NoNo000111394998.74,599,517*
367-12-17NoNo0006336099.53,552,597*
357-11-18NoNo0003277099.82,686,658*
346-13-17NoNo002207899.91,978,581*
336-12-18NoNo011585100.01,425,280*
326-11-19NoNo001089100.0999,883*
315-13-18NoNo00793100.0684,022*
305-12-19NoNo00495100.0455,659*
295-11-20NoNo00397100.0294,656*
284-13-19NoNo0298Yes186,200*
274-12-20NoNo0199Yes114,306*
264-11-21NoNo199Yes67,756*
254-10-22NoNo0100Yes38,982*
243-12-21NoNo0100Yes21,754*
233-11-22NoNo0100Yes11,799*
223-10-23NoNo0100Yes5,999*
3-21NoNo100Yes49,272*
Total:1.9%4.5%2334445555666666666517.6%351,840,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship