"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Lazio 2 Empoli 0 +1.2
+3.8
-2.8
+1.0
Palermo 0 Juventus 1 -0.2
-0.4
-0.2
Napoli 2 Chievo 0 -0.1
-0.1
Torino 3 Roma 1 +0.1
+0.2
+0.1
Fiorentina 0 Milan 0 +0.1
+0.2
Internazionale 1 Bologna 1 +0.1
Genoa 1 Pescara 1 +0.1
Crotone 1 Atalanta 3 +0.1
Sassuolo 1 Udinese 0 +0.1
Cagliari 2 Sampdoria 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Udinese vs Lazio-1.8-0.7+2.0
-5.2-1.9+5.5
+1.4+0.2-1.2
-0.9-0.3+0.9
Pescara vs Chievo+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Empoli vs Juventus+0.6+0.2-0.5
+0.7+0.3-0.5
+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Atalanta vs Napoli+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Milan vs Sassuolo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
Roma vs Internazionale-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.2+0.3-0.1
Bologna vs Genoa+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
Torino vs Fiorentina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Cagliari vs Crotone-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Lazio finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
86-106YesYes100No20,217*
8523-6-399.7%Yes1000No1,457*
8423-5-499.8Yes1000No2,723*
8322-7-399.6Yes1000No4,883*
8222-6-499.4Yes991No8,164*
8121-8-399.0Yes991No14,037*
8021-7-498.6Yes9910No22,764*
7921-6-597.9Yes9820No36,474*
7820-8-497.1Yes9730No57,748*
7720-7-595.5Yes9640No88,930*
7619-9-493.8Yes9460No133,916*
7519-8-591.2100.0%91900No197,533*
7419-7-687.9100.0881200No286,823*
7318-9-583.7100.0841610No406,563*
7218-8-678.4100.07820100No566,774*
7118-7-772.099.97226200No772,288*
7017-9-664.699.86531400No1,033,139*
6917-8-756.199.55637700No1,353,501*
6816-10-646.898.9474111100No1,741,136*
6716-9-737.297.63744162000No2,198,130*
6616-8-827.995.12845224000No2,727,217*
6515-10-719.590.619422981000No3,313,334*
6415-9-812.483.2123634143000No3,950,762*
6315-8-97.172.4728372161000No4,627,430*
6214-10-83.658.34193528112000No5,315,789*
6114-9-91.542.321229331851000No5,996,912*
6013-11-80.526.8162133261130000No6,637,774*
5913-10-90.114.4021227311971000No7,208,645*
5813-9-100.06.20151830271441000No7,681,308*
5712-11-90.02.100292330231030000No8,037,810*
5612-10-100.00.5000413262919720000No8,253,545*
5512-9-110.00.1000161728271551000No8,310,131*
5411-11-10No0.0000282029251341000No8,219,775*
5311-10-11No0.00002102229231030000No7,957,583*
5211-9-12No0.0000131224292082000No7,569,209*
5110-11-11NoNo000141426281871000No7,055,161*
5010-10-12NoNo0001616282716510000.0%6,444,492*
499-12-11NoNo000271929261341000.05,777,832*
489-11-12NoNo0000292230241130000.05,072,929*
479-10-13NoNo0000312253021810000.14,358,263*
468-12-12NoNo000151528291751000.73,674,789*
458-11-13NoNo00017203126123002.93,028,416*
448-10-14NoNo00002112532217108.22,445,021*
437-12-13NoNo00015163030153017.91,931,251*
427-11-14NoNo000282434247132.11,488,894*
417-10-15NoNo000415323214248.51,123,247*
406-12-14NoNo00018263723564.6828,412*
396-11-15NoNo004183732977.8596,423*
386-10-16NoNo0021132391687.3417,865*
375-12-15NoNo001626442493.3286,369*
365-11-16NoNo00319453396.8190,191*
355-10-17NoNo0113434498.6123,655*
344-12-16NoNo018385499.477,611*
334-11-17NoNo005326399.847,908*
324-10-18NoNo022672100.028,331*
314-9-19NoNo012079100.016,131*
303-11-18NoNo11585Yes9,153*
293-10-19NoNo01189Yes4,874*
283-9-20NoNo0793Yes2,519*
272-11-19NoNo595Yes1,257*
262-10-20NoNo496Yes622*
252-9-21NoNo298Yes251*
242-8-22NoNo199Yes119*
10-23NoNo100Yes18,710*
Total:5.2%20.2%578888777665443321102.6%149,805,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship