"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Lazio vs Milan+9.7-5.0No
+29.1-15.0No
No-15.0+29.1
+6.4+0.0-6.4
Roma vs Sampdoria-0.3+0.6-0.3
-0.8+1.7-0.8
-0.8+1.7-0.8
Internazionale vs Juventus-0.3+0.6-0.3
-0.8+1.7-0.8
-0.8+1.7-0.8
Napoli vs Palermo-0.3+0.6-0.3
-0.8+1.7-0.8
-0.8+1.7-0.8
Cagliari vs Chievo-0.3+0.6-0.3
-0.8+1.7-0.8
-0.8+1.7-0.8
Crotone vs Empoli-0.3+0.6-0.3
-0.8+1.7-0.8
-0.8+1.7-0.8
Atalanta vs Bologna-0.3+0.6-0.3
-0.8+1.7-0.8
-0.8+1.7-0.8
Udinese vs TBD-0.3+0.6-0.3
-0.8+1.7-0.8
-0.8+1.7-0.8
Sassuolo vs Torino-0.3+0.6-0.3
-0.8+1.7-0.8
-0.8+1.7-0.8
Fiorentina vs Genoa-0.3+0.6-0.3
-0.8+1.7-0.8
-0.8+1.7-0.8

What If

Chances based on how well Lazio finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
31-0-014.7%44.1%1515151414129520No7,864,358,765
10-1-00.00.0000013610141515141063100000.0%7,396,340,681
00-0-1NoNo025912141415151544.17,864,401,674
Total:5.0%15.0%5555555555555555555515.0%23,125,101,120
Points
Chance Will Win Championship