"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Roma 3 Frosinone 1 -0.2
*No
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chievo vs Juventus-8.9-3.5+8.1
-8.2-2.5+6.9
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Juventus vs Genoa+5.1-6.2-11.4
+4.6-5.4-11.2
+0.1-0.1-0.3
Lazio vs Napoli+7.0+2.8-6.1
+1.5+0.5-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Napoli vs Empoli-4.3+4.5+8.7
-0.9+0.9+1.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Genoa vs Fiorentina+0.9+0.4-1.0
+2.8+1.2-2.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Milan vs Internazionale+0.7+0.2-1.0
+2.2+0.8-2.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Fiorentina vs Carpi-0.5+0.7+1.1
-1.7+2.0+3.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Internazionale vs Chievo-0.5+0.5+0.9
-1.7+1.6+2.9
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Sassuolo vs Roma+0.5+0.2-0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/7100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Frosinone vs Juventus-10.8-5.5+5.8
-10.4-4.6+5.2
-0.3-0.1+0.1
Napoli vs Carpi-3.6+5.0+9.5
-0.8+1.0+2.2
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Bologna vs Fiorentina+0.9+0.5-1.0
+2.8+1.2-2.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Hellas Verona vs Internazionale+0.8+0.6-0.6
+2.9+1.6-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Roma vs Sampdoria-0.1+0.1*+0.1
-0.4+0.5+0.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Juventus finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
92-96YesYes100No5,205*
9115-1-199.9%Yes1000No3,931
9014-3-099.8Yes1000No11,574*
8914-2-199.4Yes991No18,796
8813-4-099.0Yes991No35,188*
8713-3-198.2Yes982No58,789*
8613-2-296.9100.0%9730No89,526*
8512-4-194.9100.09550No137,733*
8412-3-292.0100.09280No193,105*
8311-5-187.9100.088120No262,771*
8211-4-282.499.982170No340,529*
8110-6-176.999.877230No219,594*
11-3-374.499.7742500No199,972
8010-5-267.699.3683210No499,456*
7910-4-357.598.3584120No348,611
9-7-160.198.8603910No217,577*
789-6-249.797.1504730No396,432
10-3-447.696.4484940No221,582*
779-5-338.493.73855600No441,998
8-8-139.594.4395550No205,671*
768-7-230.490.33060900No324,225
9-4-427.988.128601100No328,776*
758-6-320.782.721621610No418,435
9-3-520.382.220621710No213,031*
748-5-412.972.013592530No342,795
7-8-214.275.214612320No246,457*
737-7-38.563.78553240No301,961
8-4-57.760.88533450No226,383*
727-6-44.450.344640900No455,976*
717-5-52.035.9234471610No196,528*
6-8-32.440.323845141No178,894*
706-7-40.926.7126482320No300,640*
696-6-50.417.30174632500No230,186*
685-8-40.110.10104041900No169,719*
675-7-50.05.40531471510No119,613*
665-6-60.02.60322492420No81,222*
654-8-5No1.01144733500No52,547*
644-7-6No0.3083942910No32,716*
634-6-7No0.20430461720No19,120*
623-8-6No0.002204726500No10,863*
613-7-7NoNo11241341110No5,870*
603-6-8No0.000530421940No3,010*
592-8-7NoNo0219383181No1,437*
582-7-8NoNo11133351640No632*
572-6-9NoNo4253825700No286*
561-8-8NoNo2133633152No122*
551-7-9NoNo2538308No40*
541-6-10NoNo11282833No18*
530-8-9NoNo25252525No4*
450-0-17NoNo2123437141No1,014
Total:37.4%76.1%37391662000000000000No8,170,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship