How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Crotone 0 Internazionale 2 -0.9
-0.8
Roma 3 Hellas Verona 0 -0.1
-0.3
Fiorentina 2 Bologna 1 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Juventus vs Fiorentina+4.4-1.2-3.8
+7.9-1.8-7.1
-0.4+0.0+0.4
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Sassuolo vs Juventus-3.9-1.6+3.9
-7.1-2.5+6.8
+0.5+0.1-0.4
-0.8-0.2+0.7
Bologna vs Internazionale+1.0+0.5-1.0
+0.7+0.3-0.7
Napoli vs Benevento-0.6+0.2+0.6
-0.8+0.3+0.8
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Genoa vs Lazio+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.6+0.3-0.7
Udinese vs Torino+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.4+0.3-0.6
Hellas Verona vs Sampdoria+0.3+0.2-0.3
+0.6+0.3-0.6
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Lazio vs Napoli*+0.1+0.3-0.3
*-0.1+0.4-0.3
Torino vs Sampdoria-0.2+0.2*-0.0
-0.3+0.4*-0.1
Benevento vs Roma+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.2-0.5
Milan vs Udinese-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
Milan vs SPAL-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.1
SPAL vs Cagliari-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Atalanta vs Crotone-0.2*+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus vs Torino+5.0-1.0-4.0
+8.6-1.5-7.2
-0.4+0.0+0.4
+0.8-0.1-0.7
Internazionale vs Genoa-1.0+0.4+1.0
-0.8+0.3+0.8
SPAL vs Napoli+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.5+0.3-0.6
Hellas Verona vs Lazio+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.7+0.3-0.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Sampdoria vs Milan-0.2+0.2*+0.1
-0.3+0.4*-0.0
Roma vs Udinese-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.5+0.3+0.2
Fiorentina vs Atalanta-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Juventus finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
88-114YesYes100No1,350*
8724-6-599.5%Yes1000No405*
8623-8-499.7Yes1000No725*
8523-7-5YesYes100No1,076*
8422-9-499.8Yes1000No1,643*
8322-8-599.7Yes1000No2,708*
8222-7-699.5Yes1000No3,989*
8121-9-599.1Yes991No5,847*
8021-8-698.8Yes991No8,462*
7920-10-598.0Yes982No12,007*
7820-9-697.3Yes9730No16,887*
7720-8-796.0Yes9640No22,818*
7619-10-694.3Yes9460No31,046*
7519-9-791.8Yes9280No41,115*
7418-11-688.4Yes88110No53,627*
7318-10-784.7100.0%851510No67,883*
7218-9-879.5100.0791910No84,022*
7117-11-773.299.97324200No104,797*
7017-10-865.899.86630400No126,811*
6917-9-957.299.55736700No149,949*
6816-11-847.998.8484011100No175,463*
6716-10-938.497.4384316200No201,606*
6615-12-829.094.92944225000No227,673*
6515-11-920.590.32142288100No253,493*
6415-10-1013.283.0133634143000No276,196*
6314-12-97.772.582936216100No296,493*
6214-11-104.058.94203528112000No311,918*
6114-10-111.843.22122932185100No323,531*
6013-12-100.728.116213226113000No329,797*
5913-11-110.215.5031328311961000No330,100*
5813-10-120.07.1016193026134100No324,938*
5712-12-110.02.500210243022920000No313,336*
5612-11-120.00.70014152729176100No297,957*
5511-13-11No0.100171929261341000No278,351*
5411-12-12No0.000029223023113000No255,356*
5311-11-13No0.000031224292082000No229,306*
5210-13-12NoNo00141427281861000No201,756*
5110-12-13NoNo0016172827155100No175,717*
5010-11-14NoNo002819292513410000.0%149,125*
499-13-13NoNo000292129231130000.0124,159*
489-12-14NoNo00031124292192000.0102,056*
479-11-15NoNo00141426291871000.182,079*
468-13-14NoNo0016172827155100.964,522*
458-12-15NoNo0028213025113003.349,968*
448-11-16NoNo003122530218109.137,513*
437-13-15NoNo0015162929154019.727,603*
427-12-16NoNo00292232259135.320,280*
417-11-17NoNo00414293218353.014,342*
406-13-16NoNo0017233626768.89,883*
396-12-17NoNo0031533351381.26,743*
386-11-18NoNo01827422290.54,421*
375-13-17NoNo0521413294.52,909*
365-12-18NoNo0214414397.91,821*
355-11-19NoNo18385398.91,103*
344-13-18NoNo05356099.7652*
334-12-19NoNo22474Yes407*
324-11-20NoNo01980Yes221*
314-10-21NoNo2989Yes122*
304-9-22NoNo694Yes51*
293-11-21NoNo892Yes26*
283-10-22NoNo892Yes12*
9-27NoNo100Yes788*
Total:14.8%40.0%1513121098655433221110000.8%6,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship