How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Napoli 2 Atalanta 0 -0.3
-0.3
Inter Milan 1 Juventus 1 -0.2
-0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Torino 2 AC Milan 2 +0.1
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Parma vs Roma+0.4+0.1-0.6
+0.4+0.2-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fiorentina vs Cagliari-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.4+0.2
Livorno vs Catania-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Udinese vs Bologna-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Lazio vs Chievo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2+0.0
Verona vs Sassuolo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Sampdoria vs Genoa-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Chievo vs Juventus-3.2-0.8+4.6
-5.9-1.2+8.2
+0.9-0.0-1.1
-0.7-0.1+1.0
Juventus vs Verona+3.2-1.9-4.2
+6.0-3.4-8.1
-0.9+0.3+1.4
+0.7-0.4-1.0
Napoli vs Sassuolo-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
AC Milan vs Napoli+0.4+0.2-0.8
+0.2+0.3-0.6
Sassuolo vs Inter Milan+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.5+0.2-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sampdoria vs Roma+0.3+0.1-0.6
+0.3+0.2-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Roma vs Lazio-0.4+0.3+0.4
-0.4+0.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Atalanta vs Fiorentina+0.2+0.1-0.5
+0.3+0.2-0.6
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina-0.2+0.3*-0.0
-0.2+0.4-0.1
Genoa vs Livorno+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.4
Bologna vs AC Milan+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.4
Chievo vs Udinese+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.3
Udinese vs Genoa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Bologna vs Torino+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
Livorno vs Cagliari-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Lazio vs Catania-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
Cagliari vs Sampdoria-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2+0.0
Parma vs Atalanta+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
Torino vs Verona-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Catania vs Parma+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Juventus finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
93-112YesYes100No122,600*
9227-4-499.9%Yes1000No1,688*
9126-6-3YesYes100No3,174*
9026-5-4100.0Yes1000No5,879*
8925-7-3100.0Yes1000No10,652*
8825-6-4100.0Yes1000No18,534*
8725-5-599.9Yes1000No31,963*
8624-7-499.9Yes1000No53,617*
8524-6-599.9Yes1000No87,892*
8423-8-499.9Yes1000No142,803*
8323-7-599.8Yes1000No225,013*
8223-6-699.7Yes1000No348,054*
8122-8-599.6Yes10000No527,410*
8022-7-699.3Yes9910No787,590*
7922-6-798.9Yes9910No1,148,783*
7821-8-698.4Yes9820No1,642,334*
7721-7-797.6Yes9820No2,310,124*
7620-9-696.5100.0%96300No3,184,344*
7520-8-794.9100.095500No4,315,245*
7420-7-892.7100.093700No5,737,183*
7319-9-789.7100.09010000No7,505,948*
7219-8-885.8100.0861410No9,623,900*
7118-10-780.8100.08118100No12,140,310*
7018-9-874.699.975232000No15,042,024*
6918-8-967.199.867294000No18,325,035*
6817-10-858.499.5583571000No21,918,829*
6717-9-948.798.74939111000No25,791,357*
6617-8-1038.697.239431630000No29,804,229*
6516-10-928.794.329432251000No33,879,651*
6416-9-1019.789.0204029920000No37,843,563*
6316-8-1112.280.41234341640000No41,557,892*
6215-10-106.768.07263623810000No44,857,786*
6115-9-113.152.3317323014410000No47,593,201*
6014-11-101.235.319253222820000No49,647,711*
5914-10-110.420.00416292916510000No50,900,531*
5814-9-120.19.101821302511300000No51,292,447*
5713-11-110.03.1003112530218200000No50,788,513*
5613-10-120.00.7001415272817610000No49,449,274*
5513-9-130.00.100016172826155100000No47,290,717*
5412-11-120.00.000002719282513410000No44,464,292*
5312-10-13No0.000002920282412410000No41,040,396*
5212-9-14No0.0000029212823113100000.0%37,227,269*
5111-11-13No0.000000310222822113000000.033,163,673*
5011-10-14NoNo000131123282110300000.028,999,266*
4911-9-15NoNo00001412242820920000.024,903,940*
4810-11-14NoNo0001413252819820000.220,996,500*
4710-10-15NoNo0000151526281761001.217,367,667*
469-12-14NoNo0000017182827144104.814,103,773*
459-11-15NoNo000029213024112013.111,223,340*
449-10-16NoNo00013122631206127.38,764,119*
438-12-15NoNo0001517312914245.36,705,979*
428-11-16NoNo000210253523663.35,025,501*
418-10-17NoNo000141734331178.13,693,030*
407-12-16NoNo00021029402088.32,658,068*
397-11-17NoNo001522433094.41,869,819*
387-10-18NoNo00215424197.61,288,037*
376-12-17NoNo0019375399.0867,448*
366-11-18NoNo0005316499.6569,773*
356-10-19NoNo003247399.9365,219*
346-9-20NoNo0011880100.0230,005*
335-11-19NoNo011386100.0140,017*
325-10-20NoNo00991100.083,216*
315-9-21NoNo0694Yes48,135*
304-11-20NoNo0496Yes27,099*
294-10-21NoNo0397Yes15,046*
284-9-22NoNo0298Yes7,882*
273-11-21NoNo199Yes4,057*
263-10-22NoNo0100Yes1,936*
253-9-23NoNo199Yes995*
242-11-22NoNo0100Yes454*
7-23NoNo100Yes121,209*
Total:13.6%35.8%141210987655443322211102.2%971,934,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)