How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Inter Milan 1 Juventus 1 +0.1
Napoli 2 Atalanta 0 -0.1
-0.1
Torino 2 AC Milan 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sampdoria vs Genoa-0.3-0.1+0.5
-1.0-0.2+2.1
+4.8-0.3-8.6
-0.7-0.0+1.2
Parma vs Roma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Fiorentina vs Cagliari-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.3
Livorno vs Catania-0.2-0.1+0.4
Udinese vs Bologna-0.1-0.1+0.3
Verona vs Sassuolo-0.1-0.1+0.3
Lazio vs Chievo-0.0-0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Udinese vs Genoa-0.3-0.1+0.6
-1.0-0.1+2.2
+4.5-0.4-8.5
-0.6+0.0+1.3
Genoa vs Livorno+0.3-0.2-0.3
+1.4-0.6-1.4
-6.3+2.1+7.2
+0.9-0.3-1.0
Napoli vs Sassuolo-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.0+0.7
Sassuolo vs Inter Milan+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.5
AC Milan vs Napoli+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.3
Chievo vs Juventus+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Sampdoria vs Roma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Juventus vs Verona-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*+0.0+0.4
Atalanta vs Fiorentina+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Roma vs Lazio-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chievo vs Udinese+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Bologna vs AC Milan+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.3
Bologna vs Torino+0.2-0.2-0.2
Livorno vs Cagliari*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Lazio vs Catania-0.1-0.1+0.3
Cagliari vs Sampdoria-0.0-0.1+0.2
Parma vs Atalanta+0.2-0.2-0.1
Torino vs Verona+0.0-0.1+0.1
Catania vs Parma+0.2-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Genoa finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
84-108YesYes100No121,430*
8326-5-599.8%Yes1000No613*
8225-7-499.6Yes1000No1,014*
8125-6-599.5Yes991No1,959*
8024-8-499.3Yes991No3,677*
7924-7-599.0Yes991No6,428*
7824-6-698.4Yes982No11,067*
7723-8-597.8Yes9820No18,988*
7623-7-696.8Yes9730No31,668*
7523-6-795.2Yes9550No52,436*
7422-8-692.7100.0%93700No85,096*
7322-7-789.7100.0901000No134,243*
7221-9-685.8100.0861410No207,776*
7121-8-780.9100.0811810No318,425*
7021-7-874.599.97523200No478,669*
6920-9-766.899.86729400No707,039*
6820-8-858.199.458357100No1,023,103*
6720-7-948.498.64839111000No1,458,335*
6619-9-838.397.03842163000No2,044,193*
6519-8-928.393.82843235100No2,819,743*
6418-10-819.288.3194029102000No3,814,100*
6318-9-911.879.31234341641000No5,083,284*
6218-8-106.466.7625352382000No6,657,681*
6117-10-93.050.931632301541000No8,568,532*
6017-9-101.134.019243223920000No10,854,263*
5917-8-110.319.10415292917510000No13,523,980*
5816-10-100.18.601720302512310000No16,563,278*
5716-9-110.02.900311243021920000No19,956,071*
5616-8-120.00.7001414262818720000No23,646,876*
5515-10-110.00.10001617272716510000No27,561,667*
5415-9-12No0.00002719282514410000No31,596,004*
5314-11-11No0.000002820282412410000No35,608,716*
5214-10-12No0.0000029212823113100000.0%39,475,174*
5114-9-13NoNo000031022282210300000.043,040,912*
5013-11-12NoNo0000131123282110300000.046,119,295*
4913-10-13NoNo000014122428209200000.048,592,502*
4813-9-14NoNo0001414252819720000.250,344,855*
4712-11-13NoNo0000151627281761001.151,266,071*
4612-10-14NoNo000027182926144104.451,310,647*
4512-9-15NoNo000029223024102012.250,466,129*
4411-11-14NoNo00014132631196125.748,756,787*
4311-10-15NoNo00001618312913243.346,283,993*
4211-9-16NoNo0000210263422561.343,164,891*
4110-11-15NoNo0000151835321076.539,515,239*
4010-10-16NoNo000021130391887.235,514,538*
3910-9-17NoNo0001623432893.731,333,689*
389-11-16NoNo000316423997.227,121,283*
379-10-17NoNo000110385198.923,030,554*
369-9-18NoNo0006326299.619,176,721*
358-11-17NoNo003267199.915,650,670*
348-10-18NoNo0012079100.012,522,821*
338-9-19NoNo0011485100.09,809,980*
327-11-18NoNo0001090100.07,527,673*
317-10-19NoNo00793100.05,646,585*
307-9-20NoNo00495100.04,146,912*
296-11-19NoNo0397Yes2,975,814*
286-10-20NoNo00298100.02,087,000*
276-9-21NoNo0199Yes1,427,688*
265-11-20NoNo0199Yes955,207*
255-10-21NoNo00100Yes621,089*
245-9-22NoNo0100Yes394,193*
234-11-21NoNo0100Yes242,705*
224-10-22NoNo0100Yes145,660*
214-9-23NoNo0100Yes85,063*
203-11-22NoNo0100Yes48,106*
193-10-23NoNo0100Yes26,025*
183-9-24NoNo100Yes13,836*
173-8-25NoNo0100Yes7,081*
162-10-24NoNo0100Yes3,424*
0-15NoNo100Yes123,794*
Total:0.7%3.5%112223344455667789101130.0%971,934,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)