How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fiorentina vs Genoa-1.3-0.2+2.8
-2.5-0.2+5.1
+2.1-0.3-3.6
-0.7+0.0+1.4
Palermo vs Carpi-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.3
Juventus vs Chievo+0.2+0.0-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Hellas Verona vs Torino+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Internazionale vs Milan-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Sassuolo vs Atalanta-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Frosinone vs Roma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Sampdoria vs Bologna-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Lazio vs Udinese+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Empoli vs Napoli+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Genoa finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
86-111YesYes100No72,696*
8525-7-499.9%Yes1000No1,863*
8425-6-5100.0Yes1000No3,395*
8324-8-4100.0Yes1000No6,146*
8224-7-599.8Yes1000No10,701*
8123-9-499.8Yes1000No18,640*
8023-8-599.8Yes1000No30,596*
7923-7-699.6Yes1000No51,089*
7822-9-599.3100.0%9910No82,357*
7722-8-699.0100.09910No130,762*
7621-10-598.4100.09820No202,943*
7521-9-697.5100.09820No310,169*
7421-8-796.4100.09640No463,762*
7320-10-694.599.995500No680,876*
7220-9-792.099.892800No979,565*
7120-8-888.699.6891100No1,385,344*
7019-10-784.199.18415100No1,923,008*
6919-9-878.298.37820200No2,619,470*
6818-11-771.096.87126300No3,503,979*
6718-10-862.294.162325000No4,596,768*
6618-9-952.389.7523791000No5,928,110*
6517-11-841.683.14241142000No7,505,741*
6417-10-930.973.631432151000No9,329,513*
6317-9-1021.161.4214028920000No11,390,087*
6216-11-912.947.21334331540000No13,662,513*
6116-10-106.932.57263523820000No16,095,514*
6015-12-93.119.43163129154100000No18,611,958*
5915-11-101.19.719243223920000No21,144,499*
5815-10-110.33.80414282918610000No23,600,116*
5714-12-100.11.101618292614410000No25,848,968*
5614-11-110.00.2002922292311310000No27,802,000*
5514-10-120.00.00003112429219200000No29,364,596*
5413-12-110.00.000014132528198200000No30,454,356*
5313-11-12No0.00001514262818720000No31,006,167*
5212-13-11No0.00000151526271771000000.0%30,992,595*
5112-12-12NoNo000016162627166100000.030,380,082*
5012-11-13NoNo000016162726166100000.029,251,201*
4911-13-12NoNo0000016172726155100000.027,631,072*
4811-12-13NoNo000002718282614410000.125,596,778*
4711-11-14NoNo0000282029251241000.623,260,408*
4610-13-13NoNo0000310222923102002.820,717,050*
4510-12-14NoNo000013122530207108.918,112,172*
4410-11-15NoNo00015162829164020.815,501,607*
439-13-14NoNo00002821322610237.913,008,150*
429-12-15NoNo0000312283319456.610,688,167*
419-11-16NoNo00016203529973.18,606,156*
408-13-15NoNo000021231381685.26,780,185*
398-12-16NoNo0001624422692.75,225,068*
388-11-17NoNo000317423896.73,943,460*
377-13-16NoNo000110394998.72,908,158*
367-12-17NoNo0006336099.52,094,021*
357-11-18NoNo0003267099.81,474,202*
346-13-17NoNo002207899.91,012,149*
336-12-18NoNo011485100.0679,682*
326-11-19NoNo001090100.0443,241*
315-13-18NoNo00793100.0282,671*
305-12-19NoNo0496Yes174,955*
295-11-20NoNo0397Yes105,907*
284-13-19NoNo0298Yes61,387*
274-12-20NoNo199Yes35,154*
264-11-21NoNo199Yes19,558*
253-13-20NoNo0100Yes10,418*
243-12-21NoNo0100Yes5,354*
233-11-22NoNo0100Yes2,622*
3-22NoNo100Yes72,823*
Total:5.0%10.7%566666666665555443328.2%567,894,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship