How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Fiorentina vs Genoa+1.2-0.7-1.4
+2.4-1.3-2.9
-3.4+1.4+4.7
+0.9-0.5-1.2
Juventus vs Chievo+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Hellas Verona vs Torino+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Palermo vs Carpi-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.0+0.4
Internazionale vs Milan-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Sassuolo vs Atalanta-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Frosinone vs Roma+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Sampdoria vs Bologna-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.3
Lazio vs Udinese+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Empoli vs Napoli+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Fiorentina finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
89-111YesYes100No43,807*
8826-7-398.2%Yes982No57*
83-87YesYes100No3,140*
8224-7-599.9Yes1000No2,830*
8123-9-499.8Yes1000No5,088*
8023-8-599.7Yes1000No8,584*
7923-7-699.6Yes1000No14,538*
7822-9-599.4Yes991No24,279*
7722-8-699.0Yes991No40,024*
7622-7-798.4100.0%9820No63,766*
7521-9-697.6100.09820No99,097*
7421-8-796.4100.09640No152,836*
7320-10-694.899.995500No231,811*
7220-9-792.199.892800No342,803*
7120-8-888.799.6891100No500,376*
7019-10-784.299.18415100No710,823*
6919-9-878.498.37820200No1,000,800*
6818-11-771.096.87126300No1,372,820*
6718-10-862.294.162325000No1,857,171*
6618-9-952.389.752379100No2,462,100*
6517-11-841.583.04241152000No3,204,547*
6417-10-930.973.531432151000No4,100,693*
6317-9-1021.061.221402892000No5,150,875*
6216-11-912.847.01334331541000No6,354,069*
6116-10-106.832.37253523820000No7,694,542*
6015-12-93.119.231631301541000No9,165,169*
5915-11-101.19.5182332231020000No10,713,277*
5815-10-110.33.70314272918610000No12,290,670*
5714-12-100.11.101618292614410000No13,850,413*
5614-11-110.00.2002921292311310000No15,331,542*
5514-10-120.00.0000311232921920000No16,665,313*
5413-12-110.00.000014132528198200000No17,777,122*
5313-11-12No0.00001514252818720000No18,633,984*
5213-10-13NoNo000151526271772000000.0%19,160,270*
5112-12-12NoNo000015162627176100000.019,341,206*
5012-11-13NoNo00001616272716610000.019,164,276*
4911-13-12NoNo00001617272615510000.018,606,786*
4811-12-13NoNo00002718282614510000.117,751,020*
4711-11-14NoNo00000282028251341000.616,600,692*
4610-13-13NoNo0000310222923103002.815,217,946*
4510-12-14NoNo00013122530208109.013,699,396*
4410-11-15NoNo00015162829164021.012,064,465*
439-13-14NoNo00002821322610238.110,427,962*
429-12-15NoNo0000312283319456.88,822,771*
419-11-16NoNo00016203529973.27,310,906*
408-13-15NoNo00021231381685.35,936,444*
398-12-16NoNo0001624422692.74,706,928*
388-11-17NoNo000317423896.83,657,472*
377-13-16NoNo000110394998.72,780,240*
367-12-17NoNo0006336199.52,062,090*
357-11-18NoNo0003267199.81,495,981*
346-13-17NoNo0022079100.01,059,939*
336-12-18NoNo011485100.0730,834*
326-11-19NoNo001090100.0493,329*
315-13-18NoNo0793Yes324,006*
305-12-19NoNo00496100.0206,079*
295-11-20NoNo0397Yes128,740*
284-13-19NoNo0298Yes77,000*
274-12-20NoNo0199Yes45,589*
264-11-21NoNo0100Yes25,748*
254-10-22NoNo0100Yes13,983*
243-12-21NoNo0100Yes7,731*
233-11-22NoNo0100Yes3,867*
223-10-23NoNo0100Yes2,003*
3-21NoNo100Yes45,335*
Total:3.3%7.5%3455556666666555544311.7%351,840,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship