How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Crotone 0 Milan 3 -1.6
-3.9
+4.1
-1.0
Lazio 0 SPAL 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Sassuolo 0 Genoa 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Bologna 1 Torino 1 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Juventus 3 Cagliari 0 -0.1
Udinese 1 Chievo 2 -0.1
Internazionale 3 Fiorentina 0 -0.1
Hellas Verona 1 Napoli 3 -0.1
Atalanta 0 Roma 1 -0.1
Sampdoria 2 Benevento 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Crotone vs Hellas Verona+1.0-0.3-0.7
+2.9-0.7-2.2
-6.7+0.9+5.7
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Milan vs Cagliari-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Napoli vs Atalanta-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Fiorentina vs Sampdoria+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Genoa vs Juventus*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Roma vs Internazionale-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chievo vs Lazio-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
SPAL vs Udinese-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Torino vs Sassuolo*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Benevento vs Bologna*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Crotone finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
85-111YesYes100No17,121*
8425-9-399.2%Yes991No133*
82-83YesYes100No717*
8124-9-499.9Yes1000No729*
8024-8-599.8Yes1000No1,293*
7924-7-699.7Yes1000No2,171*
7823-9-599.4Yes991No3,758*
7723-8-699.3Yes991No6,201*
7622-10-598.9Yes991No9,636*
7522-9-698.1Yes9820No15,398*
7422-8-797.0Yes9730No24,560*
7321-10-696.1Yes9640No37,136*
7221-9-794.2Yes9460No55,246*
7121-8-891.3100.0%91800No81,720*
7020-10-787.6100.0881210No118,371*
6920-9-882.8100.0831610No169,072*
6819-11-776.599.97621200No236,954*
6719-10-868.599.86928400No327,524*
6619-9-959.599.4593371000No445,781*
6518-11-848.998.5493911100No596,666*
6418-10-938.096.73842173000No783,036*
6318-9-1027.392.927422461000No1,015,356*
6217-11-917.786.0183830112000No1,294,706*
6117-10-1010.275.010313419510000No1,622,831*
6016-12-95.059.952134261130000No2,001,304*
5916-11-102.041.9212283119710000No2,430,119*
5816-10-110.624.61618302714410000No2,906,300*
5715-12-100.111.402923302310300000No3,415,102*
5615-11-110.03.900312252920820000No3,956,197*
5515-10-120.00.90015152627177200000No4,505,088*
5414-12-110.00.10001616272616610000No5,049,232*
5314-11-12No0.00001617272615610000No5,565,914*
5213-13-11No0.00002717272615510000No6,043,581*
5113-12-12No0.0000027182726155100000.0%6,448,018*
5013-11-13NoNo00002718272515510000.06,771,883*
4912-13-12NoNo00002718272514510000.06,996,761*
4812-12-13NoNo00002819282514410000.17,108,139*
4712-11-14NoNo0000282028251341000.67,097,526*
4611-13-13NoNo000029222923113002.96,968,653*
4511-12-14NoNo00013122430218109.66,729,596*
4411-11-15NoNo00015152830175022.36,391,340*
4310-13-14NoNo00001720322711240.25,953,803*
4210-12-15NoNo0000311273421559.15,452,685*
4110-11-16NoNo000151935311075.34,908,752*
409-13-15NoNo00021130391886.84,330,334*
399-12-16NoNo001623432893.63,758,628*
389-11-17NoNo000315424097.23,196,701*
378-13-16NoNo000110385198.92,668,889*
368-12-17NoNo0005326299.62,187,384*
358-11-18NoNo003257299.91,754,669*
347-13-17NoNo0011980100.01,378,182*
337-12-18NoNo0011386100.01,063,443*
327-11-19NoNo00990100.0801,955*
316-13-18NoNo00694100.0590,609*
306-12-19NoNo0496Yes426,310*
296-11-20NoNo0397Yes300,651*
285-13-19NoNo0298Yes205,843*
275-12-20NoNo0199Yes138,318*
265-11-21NoNo199Yes90,958*
254-13-20NoNo0100Yes57,996*
244-12-21NoNo0100Yes35,797*
234-11-22NoNo0100Yes21,692*
224-10-23NoNo0100Yes12,760*
213-12-22NoNo0100Yes7,279*
203-11-23NoNo100Yes3,981*
193-10-24NoNo0100Yes2,072*
0-18NoNo100Yes18,960*
Total:1.9%7.1%2233344445555666778924.7%136,619,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship