How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sampdoria 5 Crotone 0 -0.0
+5.4
-0.5
Udinese 2 Juventus 6 -0.4
+0.0
Lazio 3 Cagliari 0 -0.7
+0.0
Chievo 3 Hellas Verona 2 -0.8
Benevento 0 Fiorentina 3 -0.4
Atalanta 1 Bologna 0 +0.1
Milan 0 Genoa 0 -0.1
SPAL 0 Sassuolo 1 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Roma vs Crotone-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+4.8-0.7-11.1
-0.3+0.0+0.7
Juventus vs SPAL-0.8+0.1+1.7
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Atalanta vs Hellas Verona-0.9-0.0+1.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Genoa vs Napoli+1.2+0.1-0.6
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Cagliari vs Benevento+0.8-0.6-0.4
Sassuolo vs Udinese+0.6-0.3-0.2
Bologna vs Lazio+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Crotone vs Fiorentina-10.6-0.1+5.4
+0.7-0.0-0.4
Hellas Verona vs Internazionale+1.9+0.2-0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Torino vs Cagliari-0.9-0.1+1.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Napoli vs Sassuolo-0.6+0.2+1.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Benevento vs Lazio+1.2+0.0-0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Udinese vs Atalanta+0.8-0.1-0.6
SPAL vs Genoa+0.6-0.4-0.2
Roma vs Bologna-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Milan vs Juventus+0.1*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Crotone finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
9329-0-0100.0%Yes1000No17,388
7522-3-4NoYes100No2*
7421-5-3No66.7%6733No3*
7321-4-412.5Yes136325No8*
7220-6-340.0Yes402040No10*
7120-5-49.181.89274518No22*
7019-7-37.888.28314984No51*
6919-6-46.070.162638264No117*
6819-5-52.048.02172939112No200*
6718-7-41.241.01931362030No422*
6618-6-50.128.90623382571No782*
6517-8-4No17.931534311420No1,485*
6417-7-50.010.201928342151No2,709*
6317-6-6No4.3041935301010No4,707*
6216-8-5No1.6021130361730No8,087*
6116-7-6No0.7016233725710No14,222*
6016-6-7No0.200315343314300No23,461*
5915-8-6No0.0018263622610No38,111*
5815-7-7No0.000418352911200No60,845*
5714-9-6No0.0001102934195100No94,504*
5614-8-7NoNo00520342711200No145,743*
5514-7-8NoNo002122933185100No218,515*
5413-9-7NoNo01621342610200No319,792*
5313-8-8NoNo00313293217510No458,833*
5213-7-9NoNo001722342610200No646,620*
5112-9-8NoNo003132932174000No890,983*
5012-8-9NoNo00172234269100No1,204,531*
4911-10-8NoNo0003143033163000No1,594,923*
4811-9-9NoNo000172335258100No2,068,104*
4711-8-10NoNo00031432331530000.0%2,625,303*
4610-10-9NoNo001724362471000.03,265,743*
4510-9-10NoNo00031534321330000.03,972,798*
4410-8-11NoNo001826362261000.04,734,194*
439-10-10NoNo0003173430132000.25,517,025*
429-9-11NoNo001927352161000.86,297,382*
419-8-12NoNo0004193429122002.27,024,663*
408-10-11NoNo0002112834205005.57,676,163*
398-9-12NoNo0015203428101011.68,183,419*
388-8-13NoNo0002123034173021.08,541,065*
377-10-12NoNo00172336267033.78,696,072*
367-9-13NoNo000315343413148.38,652,849*
357-8-14NoNo0018273921262.98,399,750*
346-10-13NoNo0004204031575.77,955,293*
336-9-14NoNo002133739985.57,340,721*
326-8-15NoNo001731471592.26,595,816*
315-10-14NoNo000423512296.25,775,309*
305-9-15NoNo00216513198.34,913,054*
295-8-16NoNo00110494099.34,058,745*
284-10-15NoNo0006445099.83,257,314*
274-9-16NoNo003385999.92,537,853*
264-8-17NoNo0023167100.01,909,049*
253-10-16NoNo012575100.01,390,493*
243-9-17NoNo001981100.0977,943*
233-8-18NoNo001486100.0660,842*
222-10-17NoNo01090Yes429,683*
212-9-18NoNo0793Yes269,122*
202-8-19NoNo0595Yes160,295*
192-7-20NoNo0397Yes90,875*
181-9-19NoNo298Yes48,714*
171-8-20NoNo199Yes24,799*
161-7-21NoNo199Yes11,941*
151-6-22NoNo199Yes5,313*
140-8-21NoNo0100Yes2,210*
130-7-22NoNo100Yes769*
120-6-23NoNo0100Yes269*
6-11NoNo100Yes17,492*
Total:0.0%0.0%0000000011235810121416171043.2%139,835,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship