How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Crotone 0 Internazionale 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.3
Roma 3 Hellas Verona 0 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chievo vs Atalanta+0.4-0.1-0.3
+1.9-0.5-1.4
-5.5+0.7+4.7
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Genoa vs Chievo-0.3-0.1+0.4
-1.4-0.5+1.9
+5.0+0.7-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Bologna vs Internazionale+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4*-0.0-0.2
Sassuolo vs Juventus+0.1*+0.0-0.0
+0.2+0.0-0.2
+0.6*-0.1-0.3
Napoli vs Benevento-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4*-0.0+0.6
Juventus vs Fiorentina-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Udinese vs Torino+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3*+0.0-0.2
Hellas Verona vs Sampdoria+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.4
Genoa vs Lazio+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.4*-0.0-0.3
Lazio vs Napoli*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Benevento vs Roma+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5*-0.0-0.3
Milan vs Udinese-0.1+0.0*+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Torino vs Sampdoria-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Milan vs SPAL-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Atalanta vs Crotone-0.2-0.1+0.3
Cagliari vs Sassuolo*-0.0-0.1+0.2
SPAL vs Cagliari-0.1-0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cagliari vs Chievo-0.3-0.1+0.4
-1.4-0.5+1.9
+4.9+0.8-5.5
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Internazionale vs Genoa-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3*-0.0+0.5
SPAL vs Napoli+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
Hellas Verona vs Lazio+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.6*-0.1-0.4
Juventus vs Torino-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Sampdoria vs Milan-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Roma vs Udinese-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Fiorentina vs Atalanta-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Sassuolo vs Bologna+0.2-0.2*-0.0
Crotone vs Benevento+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chievo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
82-108YesYes100No795*
8123-9-394.7%Yes955No19*
8023-8-4YesYes100No46*
7923-7-597.8Yes982No90*
7822-9-499.2Yes991No127*
7722-8-592.8Yes9370No222*
7622-7-694.3Yes946No352*
7521-9-591.1Yes919No564*
7421-8-688.8Yes89110No900*
7320-10-583.7Yes84151No1,439*
7220-9-678.0Yes78211No2,189*
7120-8-770.3100.0%702730No3,275*
7019-10-663.499.8633250No4,906*
6919-9-755.199.35537710No7,064*
6819-8-845.898.546411210No10,136*
6718-10-736.497.0364317300No14,207*
6618-9-826.693.6274324610No19,541*
6517-11-718.488.218403010200No26,221*
6417-10-811.879.912333516400No35,307*
6317-9-96.769.17263623710No45,823*
6216-11-83.353.83183329133000No58,813*
6116-10-91.438.41102733207100No75,001*
6016-9-100.524.0051831281330000No92,335*
5915-11-90.112.802112531218200No113,144*
5815-10-100.05.5015162928165100No136,235*
5715-9-110.01.80028213024113000No161,059*
5614-11-100.00.400031226292082000No187,598*
5514-10-11No0.100151628281651000No213,802*
5413-12-10No0.000282029251331000No240,299*
5313-11-11No0.0000210233022102000No265,129*
5213-10-12NoNo00141325291972000No287,412*
5112-12-11NoNo00151527281761000No306,593*
5012-11-12NoNo0001718292614410000.0%321,455*
4912-10-13NoNo00292129241130000.0331,295*
4811-12-12NoNo000311242921920000.0334,538*
4711-11-13NoNo00141426291871000.1332,798*
4611-10-14NoNo00161728271541000.7325,557*
4510-12-13NoNo00029213024113002.8311,608*
4410-11-14NoNo0003122630207108.1292,671*
4310-10-15NoNo00016173028143017.8270,944*
429-12-14NoNo00292432238132.4244,792*
419-11-15NoNo001415303115349.3217,926*
408-13-14NoNo00028243524665.4190,242*
398-12-15NoNo00041735331279.0162,054*
388-11-16NoNo0021030401988.6136,289*
377-13-15NoNo01522432894.2110,715*
367-12-16NoNo00216423997.389,194*
357-11-17NoNo00110395098.970,091*
347-10-18NoNo006336199.653,658*
336-12-17NoNo03277099.940,477*
326-11-18NoNo022078100.029,609*
316-10-19NoNo011584100.021,043*
305-12-18NoNo01090Yes14,897*
295-11-19NoNo0793Yes10,034*
285-10-20NoNo0595Yes6,797*
274-12-19NoNo0397Yes4,223*
264-11-20NoNo298Yes2,753*
254-10-21NoNo199Yes1,723*
243-12-20NoNo199Yes978*
233-11-21NoNo199Yes552*
3-22NoNo100Yes1,404*
Total:0.7%4.1%1123344556677777776517.5%6,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship