How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Inter Milan 1 Juventus 1 +0.1
Napoli 2 Atalanta 0 -0.1
Torino 2 AC Milan 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Livorno vs Catania-0.2-0.0+0.5
-1.0-0.1+2.1
+4.5-0.5-8.8
-0.6+0.0+1.3
Parma vs Roma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.5
Fiorentina vs Cagliari-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.3
Udinese vs Bologna-0.1-0.1+0.3
Lazio vs Chievo-0.0-0.1+0.2
Verona vs Sassuolo-0.1-0.1+0.3
Sampdoria vs Genoa+0.0-0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Lazio vs Catania-0.2-0.1+0.5
-1.0-0.2+2.0
+4.8-0.3-8.7
-0.7-0.0+1.2
Catania vs Parma+0.3-0.2-0.3
+1.2-0.7-1.3
-6.3+2.5+8.0
+0.8-0.4-1.0
Napoli vs Sassuolo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.0+0.7
Sassuolo vs Inter Milan+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.5
AC Milan vs Napoli+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.3
Chievo vs Juventus+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Sampdoria vs Roma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Juventus vs Verona-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*+0.0+0.4
Atalanta vs Fiorentina+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Roma vs Lazio-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina-0.0+0.1-0.0
Genoa vs Livorno+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.2-0.3
Bologna vs AC Milan+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.3
Udinese vs Genoa-0.1-0.1+0.4
Chievo vs Udinese+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.2
Bologna vs Torino+0.2-0.2-0.2
Livorno vs Cagliari*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Cagliari vs Sampdoria-0.0-0.1+0.2
Parma vs Atalanta+0.2-0.2-0.1
Torino vs Verona+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Catania finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
84-108YesYes100No121,366*
8326-5-599.8%Yes1000No469*
8225-7-499.9Yes1000No887*
8125-6-599.5Yes1000No1,618*
8024-8-499.4Yes991No2,955*
7924-7-599.0Yes991No5,341*
7824-6-698.7Yes9910No9,627*
7723-8-597.8Yes9820No16,252*
7623-7-696.7Yes9730No27,315*
7523-6-795.1Yes9550No45,260*
7422-8-692.7Yes9370No73,683*
7322-7-789.8100.0%901000No117,315*
7221-9-686.0100.0861310No182,184*
7121-8-781.0100.08118100No282,767*
7021-7-874.699.97523200No424,475*
6920-9-767.099.86729400No630,661*
6820-8-858.399.45834710No919,514*
6720-7-948.698.6493911100No1,319,035*
6619-9-838.497.03842163000No1,854,972*
6519-8-928.493.92843235100No2,570,205*
6418-10-819.588.4194029102000No3,499,079*
6318-9-912.079.61234341640000No4,683,140*
6218-8-106.567.07253523810000No6,163,026*
6117-10-93.051.231632301541000No7,978,761*
6017-9-101.234.319243223920000No10,156,617*
5917-8-110.319.40415292916510000No12,721,973*
5816-10-100.18.801720302512310000No15,653,081*
5716-9-110.03.000311243021920000No18,953,719*
5616-8-120.00.70014142628187100000No22,578,095*
5515-10-110.00.100016172827155100000No26,447,509*
5415-9-12No0.000027192825144100000No30,470,211*
5314-11-11No0.000002820282412410000No34,516,341*
5214-10-12No0.0000029212823113100000.0%38,452,863*
5114-9-13NoNo000031022282210300000.042,109,104*
5013-11-12NoNo00013112328219200000.045,378,624*
4913-10-13NoNo000014122428208200000.048,037,263*
4813-9-14NoNo00001414252819720000.250,004,561*
4712-11-13NoNo0000151627271661001.151,174,582*
4612-10-14NoNo000027182926144104.351,461,091*
4512-9-15NoNo000029223024102012.250,853,615*
4411-11-14NoNo00014132631196125.649,378,074*
4311-10-15NoNo00001618312913243.247,116,772*
4211-9-16NoNo0000210263422561.344,136,638*
4110-11-15NoNo000151835321076.440,604,349*
4010-10-16NoNo000021130391887.236,675,199*
3910-9-17NoNo0001623432893.732,512,291*
389-11-16NoNo000316423997.228,273,263*
379-10-17NoNo000110385198.924,129,514*
369-9-18NoNo00006326299.620,177,066*
358-11-17NoNo0003267199.916,556,956*
348-10-18NoNo0012079100.013,306,632*
338-9-19NoNo0011485100.010,473,076*
327-11-18NoNo0001090100.08,072,726*
317-10-19NoNo000793100.06,091,478*
307-9-20NoNo00496100.04,495,692*
296-11-19NoNo0397Yes3,240,188*
286-10-20NoNo0298Yes2,281,288*
276-9-21NoNo0199Yes1,568,490*
265-11-20NoNo0199Yes1,053,540*
255-10-21NoNo00100Yes687,909*
245-9-22NoNo0100Yes438,233*
234-11-21NoNo0100Yes271,831*
224-10-22NoNo0100Yes164,166*
214-9-23NoNo0100Yes95,380*
203-11-22NoNo0100Yes53,937*
193-10-23NoNo0100Yes29,531*
183-9-24NoNo100Yes15,651*
173-8-25NoNo0100Yes7,936*
162-10-24NoNo0100Yes3,857*
0-15NoNo100Yes124,141*
Total:0.6%3.2%112223344455667789101231.2%971,934,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship