How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Inter Milan 1 Juventus 1 +0.1
+0.2
Napoli 2 Atalanta 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Torino 2 AC Milan 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fiorentina vs Cagliari-0.8-0.1+1.7
-2.5-0.1+5.1
+2.7-0.3-4.9
-0.7+0.0+1.3
Parma vs Roma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Livorno vs Catania-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.3
Udinese vs Bologna-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Verona vs Sassuolo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.2
Lazio vs Chievo-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Sampdoria vs Genoa-0.0+0.1+0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Livorno vs Cagliari-0.8-0.1+1.6
-2.5-0.2+4.9
+2.9-0.3-5.0
-0.7+0.0+1.3
Cagliari vs Sampdoria+1.0-0.5-1.1
+3.0-1.6-3.5
-3.8+1.4+5.0
+0.9-0.4-1.1
Napoli vs Sassuolo-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.2+0.0+0.4
AC Milan vs Napoli+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Sassuolo vs Inter Milan+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Chievo vs Juventus+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Sampdoria vs Roma+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Juventus vs Verona-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Roma vs Lazio-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Atalanta vs Fiorentina+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Genoa vs Livorno+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Bologna vs AC Milan+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Chievo vs Udinese+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Udinese vs Genoa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Bologna vs Torino+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Lazio vs Catania-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.2
Parma vs Atalanta+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Torino vs Verona-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Catania vs Parma+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Cagliari finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
87-111YesYes100No122,357*
8626-5-599.9%Yes1000No1,425*
8525-7-499.9Yes1000No2,604*
8425-6-599.9Yes1000No4,679*
8324-8-499.8Yes1000No8,055*
8224-7-599.8Yes1000No14,125*
8124-6-699.6Yes1000No24,128*
8023-8-599.3Yes9910No40,781*
7923-7-699.0Yes9910No66,486*
7823-6-798.5Yes9820No105,753*
7722-8-697.7Yes9820No166,785*
7622-7-796.5Yes9730No258,608*
7521-9-694.9100.0%95500No391,881*
7421-8-792.7100.093700No585,560*
7321-7-889.6100.0901000No858,200*
7220-9-785.5100.0861410No1,235,039*
7120-8-880.4100.08018100No1,741,388*
7020-7-973.999.97424200No2,421,665*
6919-9-866.199.766294000No3,311,394*
6819-8-957.299.457357100No4,446,619*
6718-10-847.498.54740111000No5,871,772*
6618-9-937.296.83743173000No7,615,685*
6518-8-1027.393.427432361000No9,734,528*
6417-10-918.487.61839301020000No12,210,261*
6317-9-1011.278.31133341741000No15,070,072*
6217-8-116.065.36243524920000No18,291,790*
6116-10-102.749.431531301541000No21,835,532*
6016-9-111.032.6182332239200000No25,647,290*
5915-11-100.318.10314283017610000No29,615,453*
5815-10-110.18.00172030261341000No33,633,129*
5715-9-120.02.700210233022920000No37,553,307*
5614-11-110.00.60014132629197200000No41,263,300*
5514-10-120.00.10001516272716610000No44,561,689*
5414-9-13No0.00001718282614510000No47,319,498*
5313-11-12No0.000002820282413410000No49,408,397*
5213-10-13No0.0000029212823123100000.0%50,721,813*
5113-9-14NoNo0000310222922113000000.051,181,623*
5012-11-13NoNo0000131123282110200000.050,764,172*
4912-10-14NoNo000014122428208200000.049,486,259*
4812-9-15NoNo00001514252818720000.247,391,370*
4711-11-14NoNo0000161627271651001.044,607,306*
4611-10-15NoNo0000027192926134004.241,238,565*
4511-9-16NoNo00000210223023102011.837,432,262*
4410-11-15NoNo000014132731196124.933,382,439*
4310-10-16NoNo00001619312812242.229,207,218*
429-12-15NoNo0000211263421560.325,076,267*
419-11-16NoNo0000151835311075.621,139,599*
409-10-17NoNo000021130391886.617,467,070*
398-12-16NoNo0001623432793.414,158,705*
388-11-17NoNo000316423997.011,248,591*
378-10-18NoNo000110395098.88,753,166*
367-12-17NoNo00006336199.56,674,787*
357-11-18NoNo0003267099.84,974,445*
347-10-19NoNo0022078100.03,637,593*
336-12-18NoNo0011585100.02,596,415*
326-11-19NoNo001089100.01,811,987*
316-10-20NoNo00793100.01,236,775*
306-9-21NoNo00595100.0822,403*
295-11-20NoNo0397Yes533,712*
285-10-21NoNo0298Yes337,869*
275-9-22NoNo0199Yes208,088*
264-11-21NoNo0199Yes124,484*
254-10-22NoNo0100Yes72,862*
244-9-23NoNo0100Yes41,169*
233-11-22NoNo0100Yes22,165*
223-10-23NoNo0100Yes11,848*
213-9-24NoNo0100Yes6,169*
203-8-25NoNo0100Yes3,109*
3-19NoNo100Yes123,420*
Total:2.6%10.4%3445555666666665555413.3%971,934,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)