How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Crotone 0 Internazionale 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.3
Roma 3 Hellas Verona 0 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
SPAL vs Cagliari-0.2-0.1+0.4
-1.2-0.4+1.7
+4.8+0.7-6.0
-0.8-0.2+1.1
Cagliari vs Sassuolo+0.4-0.1-0.3
+1.6-0.5-1.2
-6.1+0.8+5.6
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Bologna vs Internazionale+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5*-0.0-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sassuolo vs Juventus+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.7*-0.1-0.4
Napoli vs Benevento-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.4*-0.1+0.6
Juventus vs Fiorentina-0.1+0.1+0.1
Udinese vs Torino+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
Genoa vs Lazio+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5*+0.0-0.4
Benevento vs Roma+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Torino vs Sampdoria-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Hellas Verona vs Sampdoria+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.4
Lazio vs Napoli*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Milan vs Udinese-0.1+0.0*+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Milan vs SPAL-0.1+0.0*+0.0
-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Atalanta vs Crotone-0.1-0.2+0.3
Genoa vs Chievo+0.2-0.2*-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cagliari vs Chievo+0.4-0.1-0.3
+1.7-0.4-1.2
-5.9+0.7+5.1
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Internazionale vs Genoa-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3*-0.1+0.6
SPAL vs Napoli+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2*+0.0-0.2
Hellas Verona vs Lazio+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.7*-0.1-0.4
Juventus vs Torino-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Roma vs Udinese-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Fiorentina vs Atalanta-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Sampdoria vs Milan*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Sassuolo vs Bologna+0.2-0.2*-0.0
Crotone vs Benevento+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cagliari finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
80-108YesYes100No824*
7923-7-598.1%Yes982No53*
7822-9-492.7Yes937No96*
7722-8-597.9Yes982No141*
7622-7-693.4Yes937No241*
7521-9-591.3Yes919No401*
7421-8-686.1Yes86140No675*
7321-7-783.9Yes84151No1,056*
7220-9-678.7Yes79201No1,661*
7120-8-773.999.9%742330No2,421*
7019-10-663.899.7643240No3,705*
6919-9-755.999.45637710No5,569*
6819-8-847.098.547401110No7,881*
6718-10-736.996.9374416300No11,499*
6618-9-827.593.7274323610No15,706*
6517-11-719.088.719403010200No21,510*
6417-10-812.380.512343416400No29,028*
6317-9-96.968.972736237100No38,805*
6216-11-83.454.6318332913300No50,138*
6116-10-91.538.92112733207100No64,146*
6016-9-100.524.61519312713310No80,139*
5915-11-90.113.0021125312182000No99,969*
5815-10-100.05.6015172928155100No121,763*
5715-9-110.01.80028223024113000No145,040*
5614-11-10No0.4003122529208200No170,054*
5514-10-11No0.100151628271651000No196,651*
5413-12-10No0.00028202925134100No222,657*
5313-11-11No0.0000210233022102000No249,135*
5213-10-12NoNo00141325292082000No273,701*
5112-12-11NoNo001515272817610000.0%294,602*
5012-11-12NoNo0017182926144100No313,177*
4912-10-13NoNo000292129241230000.0325,845*
4811-12-12NoNo00031124302192000.0334,112*
4711-11-13NoNo000141426291971000.1335,685*
4611-10-14NoNo00161728271541000.7332,152*
4510-12-13NoNo0029213024113002.8321,386*
4410-11-14NoNo0003122631207108.1306,260*
4310-10-15NoNo00015173028143017.9285,679*
429-12-14NoNo000292433238132.3262,775*
419-11-15NoNo001415303115349.2236,192*
409-10-16NoNo0028243624665.5207,682*
398-12-15NoNo00141735331178.8179,902*
388-11-16NoNo0021030401988.3152,267*
377-13-15NoNo001523432894.0127,038*
367-12-16NoNo00316433897.3102,336*
357-11-17NoNo00110395098.981,568*
347-10-18NoNo0006336099.663,481*
336-12-17NoNo003276999.948,162*
326-11-18NoNo022177100.035,681*
316-10-19NoNo011584100.025,934*
305-12-18NoNo001189100.018,226*
295-11-19NoNo0892Yes12,693*
285-10-20NoNo0595Yes8,526*
274-12-19NoNo397Yes5,508*
264-11-20NoNo298Yes3,475*
254-10-21NoNo298Yes2,196*
243-12-20NoNo199Yes1,350*
233-11-21NoNo0100Yes743*
223-10-22NoNo0100Yes429*
3-21NoNo100Yes1,233*
Total:0.6%3.4%1122334556677777777619.7%6,240,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship