How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Udinese vs CagliariNoNo+0.0
+4.0+0.2-5.6
-0.5-0.1+0.8
Hellas Verona vs Bologna+1.1-0.1-0.6
Benevento vs Sassuolo-0.6-0.4+0.9
SPAL vs Fiorentina+0.9*+0.0-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Crotone vs Genoa-0.3-0.2+0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cagliari vs Internazionale+0.1NoNo
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-6.1-0.8+2.6
+0.8+0.1-0.3
Genoa vs Roma+1.3+0.1-0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Chievo vs SPAL-0.6-0.1+0.9
Juventus vs Crotone-0.3+0.1+0.7
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sassuolo vs Hellas Verona+0.3-0.5+0.2
Atalanta vs Benevento-0.2*+0.0+0.4
Bologna vs Sampdoria+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Udinese vs Napoli+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cagliari finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
9026-0-099.0%Yes991No814
7520-3-3NoNo100No1
7319-4-3NoYes100No1
7219-3-4No40.0%4060No5*
7118-5-3NoNo5050No2
7018-4-4No28.629292914No7*
6917-6-3No16.717205310No30*
6817-5-4NoNo2446272No41*
6716-7-3No2.4111152296No84*
6616-6-4No1.82133636131No165*
6516-5-5No0.4072846181No224*
6415-7-4No0.2032447242No455*
6315-6-5NoNo11546326No749*
6215-5-6NoNo07404480No1,320*
6114-7-5No0.000532481410No2,334*
6014-6-6NoNo03234922300No3,574*
5913-8-5NoNo1164630610No5,908*
5813-7-6NoNo0940371210No9,109*
5713-6-7NoNo005314119400No13,810*
5612-8-6NoNo03224027810No20,693*
5512-7-7NoNo114353413300No29,483*
5412-6-8NoNo07273722610No41,816*
5311-8-7NoNo0419352911200No57,385*
5211-7-8NoNo0111293419510No78,063*
5110-9-7NoNo0162134271020No102,195*
5010-8-8NoNo00213303317400No131,175*
4910-7-9NoNo00162235269100No164,426*
489-9-8NoNo00313313316300No202,695*
479-8-9NoNo0017233625710No242,695*
469-7-10NoNo00314333314200No283,912*
458-9-9NoNo0017253723610No323,751*
448-8-10NoNo003163532122000.0%359,914*
438-7-11NoNo00192838204000.0391,218*
427-9-10NoNo00419382991000.0413,905*
417-8-11NoNo001113236163000.2426,789*
407-7-12NoNo00524392561000.6430,067*
396-9-11NoNo002153633122001.8421,724*
386-8-12NoNo00182938204004.4400,486*
376-7-13NoNo0042038299109.4371,474*
365-9-12NoNo002123336152017.4334,816*
355-8-13NoNo0062540245028.6291,448*
345-7-14NoNo0031738339042.1246,662*
334-9-13NoNo0110324016156.6202,246*
324-8-14NoNo005254324270.0160,596*
314-7-15NoNo02174334481.1123,128*
303-9-14NoNo01103844889.290,902*
293-8-15NoNo00530511394.464,614*
283-7-16NoNo0222552097.544,301*
272-9-15NoNo0115562898.929,189*
262-8-16NoNo09533799.618,199*
252-7-17NoNo05484799.910,890*
242-6-18NoNo034255100.06,115*
231-8-17NoNo23464Yes3,278*
221-7-18NoNo12872Yes1,606*
211-6-19NoNo02179Yes740*
201-5-20NoNo1387Yes318*
190-7-19NoNo1288Yes142*
180-6-20NoNo1288Yes41*
170-5-21NoNo793Yes14*
160-4-22NoNo100Yes2
120-0-26NoNo0100Yes814
Total:0.0%0.0%000000012358111415141284113.6%6,562,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship