How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Inter Milan 1 Juventus 1 +0.1
Napoli 2 Atalanta 0 -0.1
-0.1
Torino 2 AC Milan 2 +0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Udinese vs Bologna-0.4-0.1+0.8
-1.4-0.1+2.9
+4.1-0.4-7.6
-0.7+0.0+1.3
Parma vs Roma+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Fiorentina vs Cagliari-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Livorno vs Catania-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.4
Lazio vs Chievo-0.0-0.1+0.2
Verona vs Sassuolo-0.1-0.1+0.3
Sampdoria vs Genoa+0.0-0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bologna vs AC Milan+0.5-0.2-0.5
+1.8-0.8-1.9
-5.7+1.9+6.6
+0.9-0.4-1.0
Bologna vs Torino+0.5-0.2-0.5
+1.8-0.9-1.9
-5.6+2.0+6.7
+0.9-0.4-1.0
Napoli vs Sassuolo-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.0+0.7
AC Milan vs Napoli+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Sassuolo vs Inter Milan+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Chievo vs Juventus+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.4
Sampdoria vs Roma+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.4
Juventus vs Verona-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*+0.0+0.3
Roma vs Lazio-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Atalanta vs Fiorentina+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Inter Milan vs Fiorentina-0.0+0.1-0.0
Genoa vs Livorno+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.3
Chievo vs Udinese+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Udinese vs Genoa-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.4
Livorno vs Cagliari-0.0+0.1-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Lazio vs Catania-0.1-0.1+0.3
Parma vs Atalanta+0.2-0.2-0.1
Cagliari vs Sampdoria-0.0-0.1+0.1
Torino vs Verona+0.0-0.1+0.1
Catania vs Parma+0.1-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bologna finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
85-109YesYes100No121,558*
8426-5-599.9%Yes1000No669*
8325-7-499.8Yes1000No1,276*
8225-6-599.8Yes1000No2,325*
8124-8-499.6Yes1000No4,246*
8024-7-599.4Yes991No7,478*
7924-6-698.9Yes991No12,932*
7823-8-598.5Yes9820No21,956*
7723-7-697.6Yes9820No36,805*
7623-6-796.6Yes9730No60,077*
7522-8-694.9100.0%95500No96,960*
7422-7-792.7100.093700No152,620*
7321-9-689.6100.0901000No236,842*
7221-8-785.7100.0861410No360,009*
7121-7-880.6100.08118100No536,431*
7020-9-774.299.97423200No789,242*
6920-8-866.699.867294000No1,139,999*
6820-7-957.799.458357100No1,615,910*
6719-9-848.198.6484011100No2,248,103*
6619-8-937.996.93843163000No3,083,506*
6518-10-828.093.82843236100No4,150,196*
6418-9-919.088.1194029102000No5,503,866*
6318-8-1011.779.21233341641000No7,174,677*
6217-10-96.366.4625352482000No9,200,282*
6117-9-102.950.531632301541000No11,588,748*
6017-8-111.133.719243223920000No14,364,181*
5916-10-100.318.90415292917510000No17,502,439*
5816-9-110.18.40172030251231000No20,987,766*
5715-11-100.02.9003112430219200000No24,760,372*
5615-10-110.00.7001414262818720000No28,699,392*
5515-9-120.00.10001616272716510000No32,745,273*
5414-11-11No0.00002718282514510000No36,729,600*
5314-10-12No0.000002820282412410000No40,514,684*
5214-9-13No0.0000029212823113100000.0%43,939,909*
5113-11-12NoNo0000310222822103000000.046,847,033*
5013-10-13NoNo000131123282110200000.049,134,593*
4913-9-14NoNo000014122428208200000.050,647,362*
4812-11-13NoNo0001414252819720000.251,311,805*
4712-10-14NoNo0000161627271661001.151,105,853*
4612-9-15NoNo000027192926134004.250,013,144*
4511-11-14NoNo000029223023102011.948,094,313*
4411-10-15NoNo00014132731196125.145,409,599*
4311-9-16NoNo00001619312812242.542,131,156*
4210-11-15NoNo0000211263421560.538,380,478*
4110-10-16NoNo000151835311075.834,324,492*
4010-9-17NoNo00021130391886.730,130,372*
399-11-16NoNo0001623432793.425,948,238*
389-10-17NoNo0000316423997.021,924,513*
378-12-16NoNo000110395098.818,174,217*
368-11-17NoNo00006336199.514,754,824*
358-10-18NoNo0003267099.811,743,444*
347-12-17NoNo002207899.99,155,235*
337-11-18NoNo0011584100.06,986,465*
327-10-19NoNo001089100.05,215,551*
317-9-20NoNo00793100.03,811,122*
306-11-19NoNo00595100.02,719,879*
296-10-20NoNo00397100.01,897,492*
286-9-21NoNo0298Yes1,292,177*
275-11-20NoNo0199Yes858,867*
265-10-21NoNo0199Yes556,904*
255-9-22NoNo00100Yes350,924*
244-11-21NoNo0100Yes214,353*
234-10-22NoNo0100Yes127,974*
224-9-23NoNo0100Yes74,223*
213-11-22NoNo0100Yes41,673*
203-10-23NoNo0100Yes22,497*
193-9-24NoNo0100Yes11,822*
183-8-25NoNo0100Yes5,884*
172-10-24NoNo0100Yes2,907*
1-16NoNo100Yes123,246*
Total:1.0%4.9%1223334455566677788924.3%971,934,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)