How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Benevento vs Sassuolo+0.0NoNo
+0.0NoNo
-4.2+0.8+2.9
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Hellas Verona vs Bologna+0.6*-0.0-0.3
SPAL vs Fiorentina+0.6*-0.0-0.3
Crotone vs Genoa-0.2-0.1+0.3
Udinese vs Cagliari-0.2*+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atalanta vs BeneventoNoNo+0.0
NoNo+0.1
+1.7*+0.0-4.6
-0.1+0.0+0.3
Genoa vs Roma+0.7+0.1-0.3
Chievo vs SPAL-0.3*-0.0+0.4
Cagliari vs Internazionale+0.4+0.1-0.2
Juventus vs Crotone-0.1+0.1+0.3
Sassuolo vs Hellas Verona+0.2-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Benevento finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
7826-0-037.6%98.8%3844171No814
5618-2-6NoNo100No1
5517-4-5NoNo100No2*
5416-6-4NoNo29292914No7*
5315-8-3NoNo44172866No18*
5215-7-4NoNo104327173No30*
5115-6-5NoNo1528411851No78*
5015-5-6NoNo14233229101No136*
4914-7-5NoNo03112636213No251*
4814-6-6NoNo17193127132No446*
4713-8-5NoNo021026352061No860*
4613-7-6NoNo16213526102No1,354*
4513-6-7NoNo021129331951No2,412*
4412-8-6NoNo0061935281010No3,726*
4312-7-7NoNo02112935195100.0%6,138*
4212-6-8NoNo01520352810100.19,492*
4111-8-7NoNo02113035184000.414,513*
4011-7-8NoNo00521362791001.421,564*
3910-9-7NoNo02123134174003.931,122*
3810-8-8NoNo0162236268109.344,538*
3710-7-9NoNo02133234163018.461,272*
369-9-8NoNo0172437256131.883,193*
359-8-9NoNo00315353312147.0109,698*
349-7-10NoNo018283921362.7141,283*
338-9-9NoNo004193930776.4178,334*
328-8-10NoNo0021235391386.6218,032*
318-7-11NoNo01628442193.1261,729*
307-9-10NoNo00320463196.9305,518*
297-8-11NoNo00113444298.8348,226*
287-7-12NoNo007395499.6386,153*
276-9-11NoNo004316599.9416,713*
266-8-12NoNo022474100.0215,740
5-11-10NoNo022474100.0223,358*
256-7-13NoNo011782100.0447,727*
245-9-12NoNo001288100.0445,356*
235-8-13NoNo0892Yes210,737
4-11-11NoNo0892Yes218,958*
225-7-14NoNo0595Yes401,356*
214-9-13NoNo0397Yes363,587*
204-8-14NoNo0298Yes319,986*
194-7-15NoNo0199Yes270,405*
183-9-14NoNo00100Yes221,513*
173-8-15NoNo0100Yes174,265*
163-7-16NoNo0100Yes131,809*
152-9-15NoNo0100Yes96,105*
142-8-16NoNo0100Yes66,945*
132-7-17NoNo0100Yes44,028*
122-6-18NoNo0100Yes27,596*
111-8-17NoNo0100Yes16,530*
0-10NoNo100Yes18,906*
Total:0.0%0.0%0000000000001248186793.1%6,562,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship