How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 10/22 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Atalanta 1 Bologna 0 +0.1 +0.8 -1.5 +0.8 Udinese 2 Juventus 6 -0.1 -0.1 +0.0 Lazio 3 Cagliari 0 -0.1 -0.1 Torino 0 Roma 1 -0.1 Sampdoria 5 Crotone 0 -0.1 Chievo 3 Hellas Verona 2 -0.1 Benevento 0 Fiorentina 3 -0.1 SPAL 0 Sassuolo 1 +0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Atalanta vs Hellas Verona +0.1-0.0-0.1 +0.7-0.4-0.7 -0.5+0.1+0.7 +0.6-0.2-0.7 Genoa vs Napoli +0.1+0.0-0.1 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Juventus vs SPAL -0.1+0.1+0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Internazionale vs Sampdoria -0.1+0.1+0.0 Bologna vs Lazio +0.1+0.0-0.1 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Roma vs Crotone -0.1+0.1+0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 10/29 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Serie B 100.0* Average seed Udinese vs Atalanta -0.1-0.0+0.1 -0.6-0.3+0.8 +0.5+0.0-0.5 -0.6-0.2+0.7 Napoli vs Sassuolo -0.1+0.0+0.1 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Hellas Verona vs Internazionale +0.2+0.1-0.1 +0.1+0.0-0.0 Milan vs Juventus +0.1+0.1-0.1 -0.1+0.0+0.0 Benevento vs Lazio +0.1+0.1-0.1 +0.1*+0.0-0.0 Roma vs Bologna -0.1+0.0+0.1 +0.0+0.0-0.1 Sampdoria vs Roma +0.0+0.1-0.1 Sampdoria vs Chievo -0.1+0.0+0.0 Crotone vs Fiorentina +0.1*-0.0-0.0 Torino vs Cagliari -0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well Atalanta finishes out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title UEFA CL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Serie B Count 87 -99 Yes Yes 100 No 39,813 * 86 23 - 5 - 1 95.9 % Yes 96 4 No 74 * 85 23 - 4 - 2 98.1 Yes 98 2 No 154 * 84 23 - 3 - 3 94.5 Yes 94 6 No 325 * 83 22 - 5 - 2 92.6 Yes 93 7 No 638 * 82 22 - 4 - 3 88.0 Yes 88 12 0 No 1,321 * 81 21 - 6 - 2 84.4 Yes 84 15 1 No 2,644 * 80 21 - 5 - 3 78.7 100.0 % 79 20 1 0 No 5,045 * 79 20 - 7 - 2 71.8 100.0 72 26 2 0 No 9,391 * 78 20 - 6 - 3 64.4 99.8 64 31 4 0 No 16,661 * 77 20 - 5 - 4 56.0 99.5 56 37 7 0 0 No 29,124 * 76 19 - 7 - 3 46.4 99.1 46 42 11 1 0 No 49,340 * 75 19 - 6 - 4 36.9 97.8 37 45 16 2 0 0 No 82,134 * 74 19 - 5 - 5 28.1 95.6 28 45 22 4 0 0 No 133,080 * 73 18 - 7 - 4 20.0 91.9 20 44 28 7 1 0 No 208,836 * 72 18 - 6 - 5 13.4 86.2 13 39 34 12 2 0 0 No 322,727 * 71 17 - 8 - 4 8.2 77.9 8 32 38 18 4 0 0 No 487,131 * 70 17 - 7 - 5 4.6 67.1 5 24 39 25 7 1 0 0 No 714,867 * 69 17 - 6 - 6 2.3 54.4 2 16 36 32 12 2 0 0 No 1,029,220 * 68 16 - 8 - 5 1.0 40.9 1 10 30 36 19 4 0 0 No 1,446,977 * 67 16 - 7 - 6 0.4 28.5 0 6 22 37 26 8 1 0 0 No 1,994,693 * 66 15 - 9 - 5 0.1 17.8 0 3 15 34 33 14 2 0 0 No 2,684,516 * 65 15 - 8 - 6 0.0 10.0 0 1 9 27 37 21 5 0 0 0 No 3,541,540 * 64 15 - 7 - 7 0.0 5.0 0 0 5 20 36 29 9 1 0 0 No 4,571,974 * 63 14 - 9 - 6 0.0 2.1 0 0 2 12 32 35 15 2 0 0 0 No 5,773,786 * 62 14 - 8 - 7 0.0 0.8 0 0 1 7 25 38 23 6 1 0 0 No 7,140,275 * 61 14 - 7 - 8 0.0 0.3 0 0 0 3 17 36 31 11 1 0 0 0 No 8,651,027 * 60 13 - 9 - 7 No 0.1 0 0 1 10 31 37 18 4 0 0 0 No 10,251,719 * 59 13 - 8 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 0 5 22 38 26 7 1 0 0 No 11,896,538 * 58 12 - 10 - 7 No 0.0 0 0 0 2 14 35 33 13 2 0 0 0 No 13,537,456 * 57 12 - 9 - 8 No 0.0 0 0 1 8 28 36 21 5 1 0 0 No 15,070,391 * 56 12 - 8 - 9 No 0.0 0 0 0 4 19 36 29 10 2 0 0 0 No 16,433,840 * 55 11 - 10 - 8 No No 0 0 2 12 30 34 17 4 0 0 0 No 17,542,537 * 54 11 - 9 - 9 No No 0 0 1 6 23 36 25 8 1 0 0 No 18,335,199 * 53 11 - 8 - 10 No No 0 0 0 3 15 32 32 15 3 0 0 0 No 18,763,492 * 52 10 - 10 - 9 No No 0 0 1 8 25 36 23 6 1 0 0 No 18,796,847 * 51 10 - 9 - 10 No No 0 0 0 4 17 34 31 12 2 0 0 0 No 18,427,980 * 50 10 - 8 - 11 No No 0 0 2 10 28 36 20 5 0 0 0 No 17,668,150 * 49 9 - 10 - 10 No No 0 0 1 5 20 35 29 10 1 0 0 0 No 16,572,651 * 48 9 - 9 - 11 No No 0 0 0 2 12 30 35 17 4 0 0 0 0 0.0 % 15,214,509 * 47 8 - 11 - 10 No No 0 0 1 6 22 37 26 8 1 0 0 0 0.0 13,654,625 * 46 8 - 10 - 11 No No 0 0 0 2 13 32 33 15 3 0 0 0 0.0 11,972,711 * 45 8 - 9 - 12 No No 0 0 1 7 24 36 24 8 1 0 0 0 0.0 10,264,463 * 44 7 - 11 - 11 No No 0 0 0 3 15 32 31 15 3 0 0 0 0 0.0 8,589,356 * 43 7 - 10 - 12 No No 0 0 1 8 25 34 23 8 1 0 0 0 0.1 7,016,599 * 42 7 - 9 - 13 No No 0 0 0 3 16 32 31 15 3 0 0 0 0.4 5,598,242 * 41 6 - 11 - 12 No No 0 0 1 8 24 34 23 8 1 0 0 1.3 4,347,819 * 40 6 - 10 - 13 No No 0 0 0 4 15 31 31 15 3 0 0 3.8 3,299,164 * 39 6 - 9 - 14 No No 0 0 1 8 24 34 24 8 1 0 8.9 2,434,176 * 38 5 - 11 - 13 No No 0 0 4 15 31 31 15 3 0 17.8 1,748,414 * 37 5 - 10 - 14 No No 0 0 1 8 24 35 24 7 0 30.7 1,222,849 * 36 5 - 9 - 15 No No 0 0 0 4 16 34 32 13 1 46.1 830,273 * 35 4 - 11 - 14 No No 0 0 1 9 27 38 21 3 62.0 546,804 * 34 4 - 10 - 15 No No 0 0 0 4 19 39 31 7 75.9 349,550 * 33 4 - 9 - 16 No No 0 0 2 12 34 40 12 86.0 216,579 * 32 4 - 8 - 17 No No 0 1 7 28 46 20 92.8 129,695 * 31 3 - 10 - 16 No No 0 0 3 20 48 29 96.8 75,362 * 30 3 - 9 - 17 No No 0 0 1 13 46 39 98.7 41,875 * 29 3 - 8 - 18 No No 0 0 8 42 50 99.5 22,418 * 28 2 - 10 - 17 No No 0 4 35 61 99.8 11,464 * 27 2 - 9 - 18 No No 0 2 28 70 99.9 5,716 * 26 2 - 8 - 19 No No 1 22 77 Yes 2,558 * 25 2 - 7 - 20 No No 0 14 86 Yes 1,139 * 24 1 - 9 - 19 No No 0 10 89 Yes 475 * 23 1 - 8 - 20 No No 9 91 Yes 194 * 22 1 - 7 - 21 No No 1 99 Yes 77 * 21 1 - 6 - 22 No No 3 97 Yes 33 * 12 -20 No No 100 Yes 39,788 * Total: 0.1 % 1.5 % 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 12 13 13 12 10 7 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0.8 % 319,871,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship