AC Milan Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50Beat Parma 3-1, title odds up 0.05 to 0.1% 29 points 7-8-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 1/31 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | AC Milan 3 Parma 1 | +0.1 | | +1.7 | | -2.0 | | +1.1 | | Udinese 0 Juventus 0 | | | | | | | *+0.0 | | Chievo 1 Napoli 2 | | | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | | | Cesena 2 Lazio 1 | | | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Torino 5 Sampdoria 1 | | | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | | | Genoa 1 Fiorentina 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 2/7 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Serie B | 100.0* | Average seed | Juventus vs AC Milan | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | -1.9-0.8+2.6 | | +1.0+0.0-1.0 | | -0.9-0.2+1.0 | | Cagliari vs Roma | | | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | | | | Napoli vs Udinese | | | -0.5+0.2+0.4 | | | | | | Lazio vs Genoa | | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Sampdoria vs Sassuolo | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Inter Milan vs Palermo | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Verona vs Torino | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Empoli vs Cesena | | | | | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | Parma vs Chievo | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well AC Milan finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Serie B | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 94.9 | % | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 97,878 | | 78 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 90.6 | | Yes | 91 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 361 | | 77 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 85.4 | | Yes | 85 | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 473 | | 76 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 80.5 | | Yes | 80 | 19 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,092 | | 75 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 71.3 | | Yes | 71 | 28 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,570 | | 74 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 64.5 | | 100.0 | % | 65 | 34 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,696 | * | 73 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 56.0 | | 100.0 | | 56 | 42 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 31,117 | | 72 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 46.4 | | 100.0 | | 46 | 49 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 62,066 | * | 71 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 37.8 | | 99.8 | | 38 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 127,486 | * | 70 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 28.5 | | 99.5 | | 29 | 58 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 257,717 | * | 69 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 20.6 | | 98.9 | | 21 | 59 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 458,304 | * | 68 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 13.8 | | 97.5 | | 14 | 57 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 829,475 | * | 67 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 8.5 | | 94.8 | | 8 | 51 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,418,130 | * | 66 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 4.8 | | 90.1 | | 5 | 43 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,281,475 | * | 65 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 2.4 | | 82.6 | | 2 | 33 | 47 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,635,599 | * | 64 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 1.0 | | 72.0 | | 1 | 23 | 48 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,488,071 | * | 63 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.4 | | 58.8 | | 0 | 14 | 44 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,991,877 | * | 62 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 43.6 | | 0 | 8 | 36 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,360,952 | * | 61 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 28.9 | | 0 | 4 | 25 | 42 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,439,634 | * | 60 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 16.6 | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,355,143 | * | 59 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 7.9 | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,071,489 | * | 58 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 3.1 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 32,103,155 | * | 57 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.9 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 38,421,170 | * | 56 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 0.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 44,541,077 | * | 55 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 49,838,167 | * | 54 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 54,128,404 | * | 53 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 56,923,631 | * | 52 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 57,793,502 | * | 51 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 56,907,037 | * | 50 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 54,132,558 | * | 49 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 49,715,739 | * | 48 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 44,165,803 | * | 47 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 37,823,662 | * | 46 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 31,183,091 | * | 45 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | | 24,778,410 | * | 44 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 | | 18,907,230 | * | 43 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 | | 13,829,162 | * | 42 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 18.9 | | 9,692,888 | * | 41 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 34.2 | | 6,481,127 | * | 40 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 51.7 | | 4,114,934 | * | 39 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 42 | 24 | 3 | 68.4 | | 2,483,806 | * | 38 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 34 | 6 | 81.5 | | 1,413,658 | * | 37 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 44 | 11 | 90.4 | | 751,463 | * | 36 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 51 | 18 | 95.6 | | 372,408 | * | 35 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 53 | 26 | 98.2 | | 171,003 | * | 34 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 52 | 36 | 99.4 | | 70,208 | * | 33 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 47 | 47 | 99.9 | | 25,437 | * | 32 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 40 | 56 | 99.9 | | 8,338 | * | 31 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 34 | 65 | Yes | 2,061 | | 30 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 28 | 71 | Yes | 390 | | 29 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 20 | 79 | Yes | 97,876 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 4.2 | % | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | % | 786,804,000 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |