How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
AC Milan 3 Parma 1 +0.1
+1.7
-2.0
+1.1
Udinese 0 Juventus 0 *+0.0
Chievo 1 Napoli 2 -0.3
-0.3
Cesena 2 Lazio 1 +0.2
+0.3
Torino 5 Sampdoria 1 +0.2
+0.1
Genoa 1 Fiorentina 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/7100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Juventus vs AC Milan-0.1-0.1+0.1
-1.9-0.8+2.6
+1.0+0.0-1.0
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Cagliari vs Roma+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Napoli vs Udinese-0.5+0.2+0.4
Lazio vs Genoa-0.3+0.1+0.2
Sampdoria vs Sassuolo-0.2+0.1+0.2
Fiorentina vs Atalanta-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Inter Milan vs Palermo+0.1+0.1-0.1
Verona vs Torino+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Empoli vs Cesena-0.0-0.1+0.1
Parma vs Chievo-0.1-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well AC Milan finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Serie BCount
8017-0-094.9%Yes9550No97,878
7816-1-090.6Yes919No361
7716-0-185.4Yes8515No473
7615-2-080.5Yes80190No2,092
7515-1-171.3Yes71281No5,570
7414-3-064.5100.0%653410No11,696*
7314-2-156.0100.0564220No31,117
7214-1-246.4100.0464950No62,066*
7113-3-137.899.83854800No127,486*
7013-2-228.599.529581300No257,717*
6912-4-120.698.921591910No458,304*
6812-3-213.897.514572720No829,475*
6712-2-38.594.885135500No1,418,130*
6611-4-24.890.1543429100No2,281,475*
6511-3-32.482.62334716100No3,635,599*
6411-2-41.072.012348244000No5,488,071*
6310-4-30.458.801444338100No7,991,877*
6210-3-40.143.6083640152000No11,360,952*
619-5-30.028.90425422351000No15,439,634*
609-4-40.016.601153832122000No20,355,143*
599-3-50.07.900828372151000No26,071,489*
588-5-40.03.10031735301230000No32,103,155*
578-4-5No0.901826342271000No38,421,170*
568-3-6No0.20031531311641000No44,541,077*
557-5-5No0.000162032261130000No49,838,167*
547-4-6No0.000210253122820000No54,128,404*
536-6-5No0.000031327301861000No56,923,631*
526-5-6NoNo00151629281551000No57,793,502*
516-4-7NoNo000171930261330000No56,907,037*
505-6-6NoNo000029223124102000No54,132,558*
495-5-7NoNo000211253121810000.0%49,715,739*
485-4-8NoNo0000313283118510000.044,165,803*
474-6-7NoNo000151730291430000.037,823,662*
464-5-8NoNo00017213326102000.131,183,091*
454-4-9NoNo00021026332161000.724,778,410*
443-6-8NoNo0004163231143002.918,907,230*
433-5-9NoNo000172335258108.513,829,162*
423-4-10NoNo0002133135163018.99,692,888*
412-6-9NoNo00162238277034.26,481,127*
402-5-10NoNo00212343714151.74,114,934*
392-4-11NoNo0016254224368.42,483,806*
382-3-12NoNo002164134681.51,413,658*
371-5-11NoNo001935441190.4751,463*
361-4-12NoNo000427511895.6372,408*
351-3-13NoNo0219532698.2171,003*
340-5-12NoNo0112523699.470,208*
330-4-13NoNo07474799.925,437*
320-3-14NoNo03405699.98,338*
310-2-15NoNo13465Yes2,061
300-1-16NoNo12871Yes390
290-0-17NoNo02079Yes97,876
Total:0.1%4.2%013578999988765321001.6%786,804,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship