How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Finland 1 Iceland 0 -16.9
-19.8
-4.3
Croatia 1 Kosovo 0 -3.9
-2.8
-0.3
Ukraine 2 Turkey 0 -0.2
-0.1
Kazakhstan 0 Montenegro 3 -0.2
-0.0
Denmark 4 Poland 0 -0.2
Georgia 1 Republic of Ire 1 *+0.1
+0.0
Serbia 3 Moldova 0 *-0.1
Cyprus 3 Bosnia-Herzegov 2 +0.1
Bulgaria 3 Sweden 2 +0.1
Greece 0 Estonia 0 +0.1
San Marino 0 N Ireland 3 -0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Iceland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inDirectChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffsqualify123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354Count
222-0-076.1%88.0%018243013017123091,337,014
201-1-028.964.300162201922241330127,414,823
191-0-16.828.6000600021017144211630005199,647,511
180-2-00.611.40100161513102113300160033,830,003
170-1-10.00.3000140311147104910075,590,108
160-0-2OutNo00136620051293013,602,981
Total:22.2%41.3%0014710001479107388421000011200541,422,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs