How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 1/13 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Relegated 100.0* Average seed Levadiakos 3 Panathinaikos 2 -3.7 -0.5 +1.9 -0.8 Xanthi 3 Platanias 2 -0.5 -0.2 -0.1 Asteras 3 Larissa 1 -0.4 -0.1 Apollon 1 Panionios 1 +0.2 -0.1 Atromitos 0 Panetolikos 1 +0.2 +0.1 +0.2 -0.1 Kerkyra 0 PAOK 3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.4 AEK 3 Giannina 1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 +0.1 Olympiakos 2 Lamia 0 -0.1 -0.2 +0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 1/20 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Relegated 100.0* Average seed Panathinaikos vs Kerkyra +2.7-0.9-2.0 +0.2-0.1-0.1 -3.0-0.3+3.2 +0.8-0.2-0.7 Lamia vs Asteras +0.4+0.1-0.5 +0.3-0.1-0.3 Panetolikos vs Panionios +0.4+0.2-0.5 +0.2-0.0-0.2 Olympiakos vs Xanthi +0.3+0.1-0.3 +0.1+0.0-0.1 Platanias vs Levadiakos +0.2+0.1-0.3 +0.3-0.1-0.2 +0.1+0.0-0.1 Giannina vs Atromitos +0.2+0.1-0.2 +0.2-0.0-0.2 -0.1+0.0+0.1 Larissa vs AEK -0.1+0.0+0.0 +0.1*-0.0-0.1 -0.1+0.0+0.1 PAOK vs Apollon -0.1*+0.0+0.0 -0.5-0.1+0.6 +0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well Panathinaikos finishes out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TP W - D - L playoffs UEFA CL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Relegated Count 58 13 - 0 - 0 In 166.1 % 58 36 6 0 No 17,873 56 12 - 1 - 0 In 174.5 29 48 19 3 0 No 2,523 55 12 - 0 - 1 In 150.7 17 44 31 7 0 No 3,688 54 11 - 2 - 0 In 124.5 10 38 38 12 1 No 10,814 53 11 - 1 - 1 100.0 % 84.9 4 27 43 23 3 0 No 30,840 52 10 - 3 - 0 99.8 50.8 2 16 41 34 7 0 No 49,917 * 51 10 - 2 - 1 99.2 25.9 1 8 33 42 15 1 0 No 118,510 50 10 - 1 - 2 97.1 9.8 0 3 22 46 26 3 0 0 No 217,560 * 49 9 - 3 - 1 92.6 3.1 0 1 12 42 38 7 0 0 No 357,011 * 48 9 - 2 - 2 83.4 0.7 0 0 5 31 47 15 1 0 0 No 652,721 * 47 9 - 1 - 3 68.9 0.1 0 0 2 19 48 26 5 0 0 0 No 997,570 * 46 8 - 3 - 2 51.4 0.0 0 0 10 41 37 11 1 0 0 No 1,495,253 * 45 8 - 2 - 3 32.9 0.0 0 0 4 29 43 21 4 0 0 No 2,254,977 * 44 7 - 4 - 2 17.9 No 0 1 17 40 32 9 1 0 0 No 3,036,768 * 43 7 - 3 - 3 8.0 No 0 0 8 30 39 19 4 0 0 0 No 4,050,143 * 42 7 - 2 - 4 2.6 No 0 0 3 17 37 31 10 1 0 0 No 3,558,245 6 - 5 - 2 3.3 No 0 0 3 20 39 29 8 1 0 0 No 1,691,271 * 41 6 - 4 - 3 0.8 No 0 1 9 30 37 19 4 0 0 No 4,239,001 * 7 - 1 - 5 0.6 No 0 1 7 27 38 22 5 0 0 0 No 2,045,321 40 6 - 3 - 4 0.1 No 0 0 3 17 36 31 12 2 0 0 No 5,763,210 5 - 6 - 2 0.2 No 0 0 3 18 36 30 11 2 0 0 No 1,659,477 * 39 6 - 2 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 1 7 25 37 24 6 1 0 0 No 4,976,817 5 - 5 - 3 0.0 No 0 1 8 27 37 21 5 0 0 No 3,443,958 * 38 5 - 4 - 4 0.0 No 0 0 2 14 34 33 14 2 0 0 No 6,011,493 6 - 1 - 6 0.0 No 0 0 2 13 32 34 16 3 0 0 No 2,963,185 * 37 5 - 3 - 5 0.0 No 0 0 0 5 21 37 27 8 1 0 0 0.0 % 6,917,994 4 - 6 - 3 0.0 No 0 0 1 6 23 37 25 7 1 0 0 0.0 2,459,135 * 36 5 - 2 - 6 Out No 0 0 1 10 29 37 20 4 0 0 0.0 4,977,846 4 - 5 - 4 Out No 0 0 2 12 31 35 17 3 0 0 0.0 4,383,434 * 35 4 - 4 - 5 Out No 0 0 0 4 18 37 30 10 1 0 0.0 6,013,823 5 - 1 - 7 Out No 0 0 0 3 17 36 31 11 1 0 0 0.0 2,822,186 * 34 4 - 3 - 6 Out No 0 0 1 8 27 39 22 4 0 0 0.2 5,764,092 3 - 6 - 4 Out No 0 0 1 9 29 38 20 4 0 0 0.2 2,351,539 * 33 4 - 2 - 7 Out No 0 0 2 14 36 35 12 1 0 1.1 3,552,464 3 - 5 - 5 Out No 0 0 3 17 37 32 10 1 0 0.8 3,547,849 * 32 3 - 4 - 6 Out No 0 0 1 7 27 41 22 3 0 3.3 5,869,974 * 31 3 - 3 - 7 Out No 0 0 2 15 39 34 8 0 8.7 4,692,415 * 30 3 - 2 - 8 Out No 0 0 6 30 44 18 1 19.3 1,877,726 * 2 - 5 - 6 Out No 0 0 1 8 32 43 16 1 17.2 1,672,522 29 2 - 4 - 7 Out No 0 0 3 20 46 29 2 31.7 2,519,938 * 28 2 - 3 - 8 Out No 0 0 1 11 41 42 6 47.4 1,711,711 * 27 2 - 2 - 9 Out No 0 0 5 32 52 11 62.9 1,089,585 * 26 1 - 4 - 8 Out No 0 0 2 22 58 18 76.0 640,317 * 25 1 - 3 - 9 Out No 0 1 14 59 27 85.9 351,526 * 24 1 - 2 - 10 Out No 0 7 55 37 92.5 178,463 * 23 0 - 4 - 9 Out No 0 4 49 47 96.5 78,161 * 22 0 - 3 - 10 Out No 0 2 41 57 98.4 31,157 * 21 0 - 2 - 11 Out No 1 33 67 99.5 10,617 20 0 - 1 - 12 Out No 0 25 74 99.7 2,564 19 0 - 0 - 13 Out No 0 19 81 100.0 17,888 Total: 4.1 % 0.2 % 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 10 12 13 13 12 10 7 4 1 4.2 % 113,183,072

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs