"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
OFI 1 PAOK 3 +10.6
+14.4
-1.3
+1.0
Atromitos 1 Lamia 0 -0.4
-0.9
Olympiakos 2 Asteras 1 -0.4
-1.1
Xanthi 1 Panetolikos 1 +0.3
+0.4
AEK 4 Panionios 0 -0.3
-0.8
-0.1
Apollon 1 Giannina 2 -0.2
-0.2
Larissa 1 Panathinaikos 3 -0.2
-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Aris vs Levadiakos-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.8+1.1+0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
PAOK vs AEK+6.7-3.8-10.0
+11.0-6.4-16.3
-0.3+0.1+0.5
+0.6-0.3-0.8
Panionios vs Olympiakos+0.4+0.2-0.6
+1.4+0.4-2.0
Panetolikos vs Lamia-0.4+0.4+0.5
-0.5+0.5+0.6
Atromitos vs Larissa-0.3+0.5+0.3
-1.0+1.1+1.4
Giannina vs Aris+0.2+0.3-0.4
+1.1+0.5-1.8
Panathinaikos vs Levadiakos-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.4+0.8*-0.0
Xanthi vs OFI-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Asteras vs Apollon-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well PAOK finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsUEFA CL12345678910111213141516RelegatedCount
77-88InYes100No111,090*
7622-3-2In100.1%1000No2,760*
7522-2-3In100.01000No5,558*
7421-4-2In100.01000No11,520*
7321-3-3In100.01000No22,269*
7220-5-2In100.01000No40,843*
7120-4-3In100.11000No74,643*
7020-3-4In100.21000No131,621*
6919-5-3In100.41000No222,104*
6819-4-4In100.61000No365,985*
6718-6-3In101.19910No589,082*
6618-5-4In101.99910No919,707*
6518-4-5In103.09820No1,399,747*
6417-6-4In104.89820No2,075,909*
6317-5-5In107.69640No2,997,671*
6217-4-6In111.494600No4,221,515*
6116-6-5In116.891800No5,796,381*
6016-5-6In123.9871200No7,772,821*
5915-7-5In132.88217100No10,171,739*
5815-6-6In143.27622200No13,001,092*
5715-5-7In154.26829300No16,232,732*
5614-7-6100.0%164.158356000No19,787,341*
5514-6-7100.0170.74841101000No23,567,885*
5414-5-8100.0170.83745162000No27,452,673*
5313-7-7100.0162.12745235000No31,236,474*
5213-6-8100.0143.118423191000No34,743,111*
5112-8-799.8115.4113536153000No37,774,151*
5012-7-899.382.8526382361000No40,161,443*
4912-6-997.751.52163531122000No41,732,845*
4811-8-893.726.81927362161000No42,392,567*
4711-7-985.311.204173430122000No42,078,776*
4611-6-1070.83.601926352261000No40,847,577*
4510-8-951.00.80031532311430000No38,739,044*
4410-7-1030.10.1001722342592000No35,890,007*
4310-6-1113.80.000021128331951000No32,499,043*
429-8-104.60.000041732301430000No28,750,770*
419-7-111.1No001722332510200000.0%24,830,242*
409-6-120.2No000211273320610000.020,938,403*
398-8-110.0No00041530311640000.017,231,735*
388-7-120.0No000162032271220000.013,841,962*
377-9-110.0No0002924332381000.110,842,612*
367-8-12OutNo0003142932175000.58,285,109*
357-7-13OutNo001619332812202.26,168,298*
346-9-12OutNo000210263422616.64,464,901*
336-8-13OutNo000416333213215.33,153,307*
326-7-14OutNo0018253724528.62,165,275*
315-9-13OutNo0031636341144.51,444,223*
305-8-14OutNo001929411960.6936,377*
295-7-15OutNo00421443074.4589,550*
284-9-14OutNo00213424284.8359,194*
274-8-15OutNo018375591.7212,179*
264-7-16OutNo004306695.8121,220*
254-6-17OutNo002237598.166,764*
243-8-16OutNo01168399.235,477*
233-7-17OutNo00108999.618,049*
223-6-18OutNo079399.98,966*
212-8-17OutNo0496100.04,280*
202-7-18OutNo298Yes1,925*
192-6-19OutNo199Yes825*
182-5-20OutNo199Yes310*
7-17OutNo100Yes108,961*
Total:66.1%60.6%1615141210875432211000.6%699,650,640

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs