How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Larissa vs Lamia+6.3-1.6-5.1
+4.5-1.4-3.5
-5.1+0.5+4.7
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Apollon vs AEK+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.7-0.1-0.6
OFI vs Olympiakos+0.3+0.2-0.4
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.6-0.1-0.5
Levadiakos vs Xanthi+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Panathinaikos vs Panionios-0.3+0.3+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Atromitos vs Asteras-0.3+0.2+0.1
-0.5+0.1+0.4
-0.4-0.1+0.5
Giannina vs Panetolikos*-0.0+0.2-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Aris vs PAOK-0.2+0.2*+0.0
*+0.0+0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Larissa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsUEFA CL12345678910111213141516RelegatedCount
65-78InYes100No1,241*
6418-4-2In102.9%991No208*
6318-3-3In105.3973No374*
6217-5-2In106.4973No716*
6117-4-3In111.9946No1,193*
6017-3-4In116.79180No2,110*
5916-5-3In123.588120No3,449*
5816-4-4In130.483161No5,521*
5716-3-5In143.17622200No8,480*
5615-5-4In152.9682840No13,047*
5515-4-5In163.75835600No19,283*
5414-6-4In169.947411110No28,091*
5314-5-5100.0%168.0354418300No39,117*
5214-4-6100.0155.9244425610No54,283*
5113-6-599.9132.415393311200No72,712*
5013-5-699.598.88303819400No95,690*
4913-4-798.264.7420362810200No123,127*
4812-6-694.734.91113034185100No154,239*
4712-5-786.314.70519342811200No189,002*
4611-7-671.44.401102633217100No225,297*
4511-6-750.01.0004153131154000No262,868*
4411-5-827.90.10016213326112000No301,575*
4310-7-711.50.00021025332271000No335,460*
4210-6-83.3No003132932185100No366,080*
4110-5-90.6No0015173129143000No390,706*
409-7-80.1No001721332610200No407,432*
399-6-90.0No00021025332271000.0%414,624*
389-5-10OutNo0031329321851000.0411,672*
378-7-9OutNo0015183229133000.2400,580*
368-6-10OutNo00182334248101.2380,102*
358-5-11OutNo000313303317404.2351,867*
347-7-10OutNo001520352810110.9319,638*
337-6-11OutNo00211293619322.5281,027*
327-5-12OutNo0015203730837.5241,654*
316-7-11OutNo0021233391553.7201,682*
306-6-12OutNo001625442468.5164,731*
296-5-13OutNo00317453680.5130,396*
285-7-12OutNo0110414888.7101,586*
275-6-13OutNo006355994.176,142*
265-5-14OutNo03277097.155,055*
254-7-13OutNo01207898.539,104*
244-6-14OutNo01148599.526,729*
234-5-15OutNo099099.717,571*
223-7-14OutNo079399.911,125*
213-6-15OutNo0496100.06,967*
203-5-16OutNo0397100.04,086*
192-7-15OutNo199Yes2,377*
182-6-16OutNo199Yes1,238*
172-5-17OutNo0100Yes651*
161-7-16OutNo0100Yes325*
6-15OutNo100Yes1,306*
Total:17.9%9.6%234556778888887612.8%6,743,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs