How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Panetolikos vs AEK-7.5-1.6+7.5
-12.4-4.7+13.6
-0.4-0.1+0.4
Panathinaikos vs Apollon-0.8+1.4+2.5
-0.5+1.0+1.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
PAOK vs Xanthi+0.8-0.2-2.1
-0.1+0.6-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
OFI vs Aris+1.0+0.4-1.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
Panionios vs Lamia-0.5+0.5+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Atromitos vs Olympiakos+0.3*+0.0-0.7
-2.3+3.3+1.4
Asteras vs Larissa+0.0*+0.0-0.2
*+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well AEK finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-LplayoffsUEFA CL12345678910111213141516RelegatedCount
7420-0-0In100.2%1000No3,899
71-72InYes100No170*
7018-2-0In101.4991No425
6918-1-1In106.1973No1,012
6817-3-0In108.99540No2,183*
6717-2-1In112.8946No5,006
6617-1-2In118.79190No9,272*
6516-3-1In126.786130No17,972*
6416-2-2In137.181190No32,669*
6315-4-1In147.975241No54,666*
6215-3-2In160.7673120No91,399*
6115-2-3In173.4583840No141,327*
6014-4-2In183.8494560No213,050*
5914-3-3In190.639511000No310,971*
5813-5-2In190.730541610No429,264*
5713-4-3In183.222542320No579,413*
5613-3-4In167.114513130No750,013*
5512-5-3100.0%143.794539700No936,908*
5412-4-4100.0115.0537461210No1,133,119*
5311-6-3100.084.93274919200No1,321,923*
5211-5-499.857.51194828400No1,495,605*
5111-4-599.535.20124336800No1,638,601*
5010-6-498.619.20635431410No1,739,407*
4910-5-596.59.203264522300No1,784,912*
4810-4-692.53.801174331700No1,778,537*
479-6-585.51.30010363913100No1,715,603*
469-5-675.00.4005274322300No1,602,567*
458-7-561.40.102184131700No1,453,800*
448-6-646.20.00110353913100No1,275,483*
438-5-731.00.0005264322400No1,087,192*
427-7-618.4No021641328100No894,286*
417-6-79.5No019343916200No713,589*
407-5-84.1No0042441255000No550,898*
396-7-71.5No0114373511100No412,777*
386-6-80.4No007284021400No298,280*
376-5-90.1No003183931910No208,022*
365-7-80.0No019313818300No140,287*
355-6-90.0No004203928810No91,673*
345-5-10OutNo0111323717300No57,120*
334-7-9OutNo004213827810No34,565*
324-6-10OutNo001113236163000.0%20,021*
314-5-11OutNo0052138278100.011,270*
303-7-10OutNo0111343516300.15,914*
293-6-11OutNo04234026600.42,983*
283-5-12OutNo021236361311.41,473*
272-7-11OutNo1327412533.0660*
262-6-12OutNo0116403111011.7325*
252-5-13OutNo2525412727.1133*
242-4-14OutNo2105927229.341*
231-6-13OutNo5524342.921*
221-5-14OutNo50252550.04*
210-7-13OutNo100Yes2
200-6-14OutNo505050.02
140-0-20OutNo01882100.03,894
Total:75.8%41.9%4132021171273110000000.0%25,054,608

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs