FSV Mainz 05 Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50
Did not play, title odds down 0.001 to 0.02%
22 points 4-10-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/30 | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | 2. Bundesliga | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mainz 5 Paderborn 0 | +1.8 | -8.0 | +1.1 | |||
| Hannover 1 Mainz 1 | -0.8 | +0.6 | -0.2 | |||
| Wolfsburg 4 Bayern Munich 1 | -0.2 | |||||
| Bayern Munich 1 Shalke 1 | +0.1 | |||||
| Monchengladbach 1 Freiburg 0 | -0.3 | -0.6 | ||||
| Dortmund 0 Augsburg 1 | -0.3 | -0.7 | ||||
| Hertha Berlin 0 Leverkusen 1 | -0.2 | -0.6 | ||||
| Stuttgart 0 Monchengladbach 1 | -0.2 | -0.7 | ||||
| Freiburg 4 Eintracht 1 | +0.1 | +0.8 | ||||
| Shalke 1 Hannover 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Eintracht 1 Wolfsburg 1 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| Hoffenheim 1 Werder Bremen 2 | +0.1 | +0.4 | ||||
| Augsburg 3 Hoffenheim 1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Leverkusen 0 Dortmund 0 | +0.1 | -0.2 | ||||
| Koln 0 Stuttgart 0 | *-0.1 | |||||
| Paderborn 0 Hamburger 3 | +0.2 | |||||
| Hamburger 0 Koln 2 | -0.2 | |||||
| Werder Bremen 2 Hertha Berlin 0 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 2/6 | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | 2. Bundesliga | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mainz vs Hertha Berlin | +1.8-0.7-1.4 | -6.1+0.3+5.9 | +1.1-0.2-1.0 | |||
| Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | +0.8-0.1-0.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Augsburg vs Eintracht | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Werder Bremen vs Leverkusen | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.3-0.0-0.3 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Shalke vs Monchengladbach | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||||
| Hamburger vs Hannover | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | ||||
| Koln vs Paderborn | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | |||||
| Freiburg vs Dortmund | +0.0-0.3+0.2 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Mainz finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | 2. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Bundesliga | Count | |||||
| 67 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 65.9 | % | Yes | 66 | 33 | 1 | No | 167,446 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 47.5 | Yes | 47 | 49 | 3 | No | 5,358 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 38.5 | Yes | 39 | 56 | 6 | 0 | No | 8,334 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 29.8 | Yes | 30 | 60 | 10 | 0 | No | 24,582 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 20.7 | 100.0 | % | 21 | 62 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 76,014 | |||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 14.0 | 100.0 | 14 | 61 | 24 | 2 | 0 | No | 127,303 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 8.5 | 99.9 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 317,571 | |||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 4.5 | 99.4 | 4 | 45 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 626,665 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 58 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 2.2 | 98.2 | 2 | 34 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,072,200 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 57 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.9 | 95.0 | 1 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,091,664 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 56 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.3 | 88.5 | 0 | 13 | 41 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,417,280 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 55 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 77.9 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,456,780 | * | |||||||||||||
| 54 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 61.8 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,837,805 | * | |||||||||||||
| 53 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,816,048 | * | ||||||||||||
| 52 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 25.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,454,721 | * | ||||||||||||
| 51 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 25,923,073 | * | |||||||||||
| 50 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 33,849,361 | * | |||||||||||
| 49 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 43,738,436 | * | ||||||||||
| 48 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 54,476,578 | * | |||||||||
| 47 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 64,259,812 | * | ||||||||||
| 46 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 74,583,266 | * | |||||||||
| 45 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 41,882,084 | |||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 41,288,716 | * | ||||||||||
| 44 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 88,620,309 | * | |||||||||
| 43 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 62,888,469 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 29,541,850 | * | |||||||||||
| 42 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 46,844,224 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 45,621,344 | * | ||||||||||
| 41 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 88,713,653 | * | ||||||||||
| 40 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3.2 | 53,910,154 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 | 28,994,139 | * | |||||||||||
| 39 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 8.4 | 39,053,732 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 10.3 | 35,158,896 | * | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 21.3 | 63,640,207 | * | ||||||||||||
| 37 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 38.3 | 52,942,053 | * | |||||||||||||
| 36 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 8 | 56.8 | 42,024,208 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 35 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 72.9 | 31,819,197 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 34 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 30 | 84.9 | 23,241,762 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 33 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 45 | 92.5 | 16,098,525 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 32 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 59 | 96.6 | 10,539,889 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 98.7 | 6,592,084 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 99.5 | 3,871,610 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 99.9 | 2,102,282 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | 1,075,123 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 503,784 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 206,580 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 76,259 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 24,259 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,401 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 167,454 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 2.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 12.4 | % | 1,207,778,544 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:21 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
