"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Borussia Dortmund 6 Mönchengladbach 1 -0.1
Bayern München 2 Wolfsburg 2 +0.1
+0.0
Hoffenheim 2 Schalke 04 0 -0.1
-0.1
Stuttgart 0 Augsburg 0 +0.1
Mainz 05 1 Hertha BSC 0 +0.1
+0.6
Leipzig 2 Eintracht Frank 1 -0.1
Werder Bremen 0 Freiburg 0 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV-0.1-0.1+0.2
-1.7-0.5+2.4
+3.9+0.2-4.9
-0.7-0.1+0.9
Hannover 96 vs Köln-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.4*-0.0+0.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen+0.2-0.1-0.1
+2.1-0.7-1.8
-4.8+0.5+4.8
+0.9-0.2-0.8
Augsburg vs Borussia Dortmund-0.1+0.1+0.1
Freiburg vs Hoffenheim+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.9*+0.0-0.4
Hertha BSC vs Bayern München+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Mönchengladbach vs Hannover 96+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2*+0.0-0.2
Köln vs Leipzig+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.7*-0.0-0.4
Schalke 04 vs Bayer Leverkusen-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Eintracht Frank vs Stuttgart-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hamburger SV finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed2.
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718BundesligaCount
75-93YesYes100No1,424*
7421-5-393.8%Yes946No32*
7321-4-491.0Yes919No67*
7220-6-395.5Yes9631No89*
7120-5-491.8Yes928No207*
7020-4-585.5Yes86140No332*
6919-6-479.8Yes80191No559*
6819-5-576.5Yes76222No999*
6718-7-467.2Yes672930No1,615*
6618-6-559.7Yes603460No2,526*
6518-5-648.2Yes484391No3,920*
6417-7-539.299.9%39441520No6,251*
6317-6-630.399.830471930No9,493*
6217-5-722.199.6224626600No13,865*
6116-7-615.198.81541321010No20,407*
6016-6-79.197.19353716300No28,953*
5915-8-65.293.65263923610No40,568*
5815-7-72.487.221837301120No55,221*
5715-6-81.177.9110313518400No73,590*
5614-8-70.464.3062336268100No97,295*
5514-7-80.148.602143232163000No125,035*
5414-6-90.032.4017243524810No159,141*
5313-8-80.018.500315323115300No197,358*
5213-7-90.08.900182434248100No239,351*
5113-6-10No3.5003153131164000No285,684*
5012-8-9No1.001722342592000No334,448*
4912-7-10No0.2003132832185100No384,758*
4812-6-11No0.00015193228123000No431,965*
4711-8-10No0.0002102533228100No476,166*
4611-7-11No0.00004152930164100No515,677*
4510-9-10NoNo00172032261120000.0%546,209*
4410-8-11NoNo0021126322171000.0568,689*
4310-7-12NoNo00141630301641000.0578,420*
429-9-11NoNo0017213226112000.1578,010*
419-8-12NoNo00021126322061000.5565,956*
409-7-13NoNo0015173129143001.8542,279*
398-9-12NoNo00282434248104.9508,648*
388-8-13NoNo0003143132163011.2466,868*
378-7-14NoNo00172335258120.9418,115*
367-9-13NoNo00314323415233.6368,466*
357-8-14NoNo0017253824547.5315,925*
347-7-15NoNo003173733961.2265,206*
336-9-14NoNo0011032411672.9216,916*
326-8-15NoNo00525452482.2173,918*
316-7-16NoNo00217463488.9135,544*
305-9-15NoNo0111434593.5102,872*
295-8-16NoNo007385596.376,420*
285-7-17NoNo004316598.054,851*
274-9-16NoNo02247499.038,182*
264-8-17NoNo01188199.626,345*
254-7-18NoNo00138699.817,218*
243-9-17NoNo0109099.911,056*
233-8-18NoNo0793100.06,892*
223-7-19NoNo0496100.03,974*
213-6-20NoNo397Yes2,365*
202-8-19NoNo298Yes1,253*
192-7-20NoNo199Yes622*
6-18NoNo100Yes2,005*
Total:0.3%4.8%01123567788999876413.5%10,100,220

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship