Hamburger SVHamburger SV lost to Hertha Berlin 1-2, odds of winning the cup down 4.7% to 6.8% Record: 23 points, 7 - 2 - 4 -1 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Hamburger SV: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on Hamburger SV is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 11/14 | Impact | | | Hertha Berlin | 2 | | Hamburger SV | 1 | | | -3.9 | | (-0.78) | | | Hoffenheim | 3 | | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | | | -0.7 | | | | | Leverkusen | 2 | | Schalke | 1 | | | -0.7 | | | | | VfL Borussia | 2 | | Bayern München | 2 | | | 0.2 | | (0.03) | | | BVB | 4 | | Eintracht | 0 | | | | | (-0.03) | | | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | | | 0.1 | | (0.02) | | | Worst | -6.22 | (-0.92) | -4.67 | | (-0.75) | (1.05) | 6.47 | Best | | |
Week of 11/21 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Hamburger SV | 3.1 |
(0.93)
| Werder Bremen | -2.5 |
(-0.81)
| -0.9 |
(-0.16)
| | 11:00 AM Sun | | | Arminia Bielefeld | 0.6 |
(0.02)
| Leverkusen | -0.7 |
(-0.03)
| 0.2 |
(0.02)
| | 9:30 AM Sat | | | FC Köln | 0.6 | | Hoffenheim | -0.6 | | 0.2 | | | 9:30 AM Sat | | | Bayern München | -0.4 |
(-0.05)
| Energie Cottbus | 0.4 |
(0.04)
| 0.2 |
(0.03)
| | 9:30 AM Sat | | | VfL Bochum | 0.2 |
(0.03)
| Hertha Berlin | -0.3 |
(-0.05)
| 0.1 |
(0.03)
| | 9:30 AM Sat | | | Karlsruher | 0.1 |
(0.04)
| BVB | -0.2 |
(-0.05)
| 0.1 |
(0.03)
| | 2:30 PM Fri | | | Schalke | |
(-0.04)
| VfL Borussia | |
(0.03)
| |
(0.02)
| | 9:30 AM Sat | | | | -4.86 | (-1.03) | 0.00 | | (0.00) | (1.13) | 5.16 | | |
What IfChances based on how well Hamburger SV finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | 21 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 0 | .937 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 1 | .921 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 3 | | 18 | - | 3 | - | 0 | .905 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 5 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 1 | .889 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 15 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 2 | .873 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 39 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 3 | .857 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 103 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 2 | .841 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 204 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 3 | .825 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 392 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 4 | .810 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 874 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 3 | .794 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,484 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 4 | .778 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2,674 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 5 | .762 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4,768 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 4 | .746 | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 7,748 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .730 | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 12,905 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 6 | .714 | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 20,085 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 5 | .698 | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 30,221 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 6 | .683 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 45,306 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 7 | .667 | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 65,306 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .651 | 69 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 90,779 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 7 | .635 | 60 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 123,780 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 8 | .619 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 164,679 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .603 | 38 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 212,866 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .587 | 28 | 45 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 266,723 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 9 | .571 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 327,244 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .556 | 11 | 34 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 389,306 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .540 | 5 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 453,857 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .524 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 513,019 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .508 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 566,743 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .492 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 609,124 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 11 | .476 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 640,216 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .460 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 652,237 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 649,780 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .429 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 631,095 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .413 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 594,085 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .397 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 544,958 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .381 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 487,403 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .365 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 422,872 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .349 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 355,339 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .333 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 291,920 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .317 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0.4 | | 231,776 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .302 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | | 178,642 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .286 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7.1 | | 132,409 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .270 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 17.6 | | 95,415 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .254 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 33.4 | | 66,219 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .238 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 52.1 | | 44,497 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .222 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 27 | 7 | 69.6 | | 28,675 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .206 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 36 | 14 | 82.9 | | 17,787 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .190 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 43 | 22 | 91.5 | | 10,364 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .175 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 44 | 34 | 96.7 | | 5,921 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .159 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 46 | 98.8 | | 3,093 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .143 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 61 | 99.7 | | 1,660 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .127 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 99.9 | | 773 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .111 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 77 | 99.7 | | 386 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .095 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 90 | Yes | | 147 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .079 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 91 | Yes | | 54 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .063 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 13 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 18 | .048 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 88 | Yes | | 8 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .032 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 3 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 21 | .000 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | Total: | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.3% | | 10,000,000 |
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