Chance of winning the title: 2.1%Change:-1.9UEFA Qualification
being demoted:5.4%1.45
Average finish:8.84-0.82

Record:   19 points, 6 - 1 - 6    -3

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.

Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on FC Köln:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad.

The week’s total impact on FC Köln is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a matches impact? (show)

Week of 11/14Impact
Werder Bremen3FC Köln1-1.4(-0.86)
Leverkusen2Schalke1-0.3
Hoffenheim3VfL Wolfsburg2-0.3
VfL Borussia2Bayern München20.1
BVB4Eintracht0(-0.03)
VfB Stuttgart0Arminia Bielefeld0(0.02)
Worst-2.41(-0.98)-1.89 (-0.82)(1.10)2.36Best
Week of 11/21
WinWinDraw
FC Köln1.3 (0.97) Hoffenheim-1.1 (-0.84) -0.4 (-0.22) 9:30 AM Sat
Arminia Bielefeld0.2Leverkusen-0.30.09:30 AM Sat
Bayern München-0.2Energie Cottbus0.10.09:30 AM Sat
Schalke (-0.03) VfL Borussia (0.01) (0.03) 9:30 AM Sat
Karlsruher (0.01) BVB (-0.04) (0.02) 2:30 PM Fri
Hamburger SV (0.00) Werder Bremen (-0.03) (0.03) 11:00 AM Sun
VfL Wolfsburg (-0.02) VfB Stuttgart (-0.01) (0.04) 9:30 AM Sat
-1.77(-0.98)0.00 (0.00)(1.13)1.78
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)

Flash Chart

Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

Flash Chart

What If

Chances based on how well FC Köln finishs out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance team will finish the season at position
W-D-LPCT123456789101112131415161718DemotedCount
21-0-01.000100No1,000
19-2-0.937100No2
19-1-1.921100No3
19-0-2.905100No11
18-2-1.889100No24
18-1-2.873100No43
18-0-3.857100No86
17-2-2.841100No177
17-1-3.825991No376
17-0-4.810982No801
16-2-3.794964No1,528
16-1-4.7789460No2,635
16-0-5.7629280No4,628
15-2-4.74688120No7,838
15-1-5.730811810No12,596
15-0-6.714732520No20,011
14-2-5.698643140No30,800
14-1-6.6835438810No45,340
14-0-7.667434213200No64,996
13-2-6.651314521400No91,410
13-1-7.6352042288100No123,506
13-0-8.61912363514300No165,239
12-2-7.60362637237100No212,089
12-1-8.587316343113300No266,350
12-0-9.5711825342271000No326,784
11-2-8.55603153131154000No389,385
11-1-9.540017223325102000No454,054
11-0-10.524002112732207100No513,135
10-2-9.5080014163029154100No566,976
10-1-10.4920017213226112000No610,091
10-0-11.4760021025322281000No640,227
9-2-10.460003132831185100No653,412
9-1-11.44400015173129143000No650,141
9-0-12.429000172133251020000.0630,644
8-2-11.4130021026332171000.0593,758
8-1-12.39700031430311641000.0545,376
8-0-13.38100161932281230000.3487,005
7-2-12.365002924332381001.4422,199
7-1-13.349003142931175105.2356,131
7-0-14.3330016203227122013.8291,973
6-2-13.317002102633216127.9231,182
6-1-14.302001417333113245.6177,518
6-0-15.2860019263623563.9132,313
5-2-14.27000041735331178.395,466
5-1-15.2540011030401988.866,598
5-0-16.238000521443094.944,595
4-2-15.22200214424297.828,858
4-1-16.206018365599.317,318
4-0-17.19004306699.810,396
3-2-16.175022376100.05,928
3-1-17.15911584Yes3,137
3-0-18.14301189Yes1,638
2-2-17.1270793Yes767
2-1-18.111595Yes306
2-0-19.095298Yes131
1-2-18.079100Yes51
1-1-19.063100Yes11
0-3-18.048100Yes6
0-0-21.000100Yes1,001
Total:2456788998876543215.4%10,000,000