"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
Dortmund 3 Eintracht Frank 1 -1.8
-5.5
+2.6
-0.8
Bayern Munich 3 Bayer Leverkusen 1 -0.1
-0.3
-0.3
Wolfsburg 2 Hertha Berlin 2 +0.1
+0.2
Mainz 2 Augsburg 1 -0.1
RB Leipzig 3 Hannover 2 +0.2
Dusseldorf 2 Hoffenheim 1 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
B. Monchengladb vs Schalke-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Werder Bremen vs Nurnberg-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Freiburg vs Stuttgart*+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*2. Bundesliga100.0*Average seed
B. Monchengladb vs Eintracht Frank-0.7-0.2+1.0
-3.6-0.9+4.9
+3.9+0.4-4.9
-0.8-0.1+1.1
Eintracht Frank vs RB Leipzig+0.9-0.3-0.7
+4.5-1.2-3.7
-4.8+0.6+4.4
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Schalke vs Bayern Munich+0.2+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.5*+0.0-0.3
Dortmund vs Nurnberg-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Bayern Munich vs Augsburg-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.6-0.1-0.4
Wolfsburg vs Freiburg-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.3*-0.1+0.5
Werder Bremen vs Hertha Berlin*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Hertha Berlin vs B. Monchengladb-0.1+0.0*+0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Dusseldorf vs Bayer Leverkusen-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.4
Augsburg vs Werder Bremen*+0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Mainz vs Wolfsburg*-0.1+0.2-0.1
Stuttgart vs Dusseldorf+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Freiburg vs Schalke+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Hannover vs Hoffenheim+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Eintracht Frank finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed2.
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718BundesligaCount
75-96YesYes100No1,138*
7422-5-499.2%Yes991No127*
7322-4-5YesYes100No214*
7221-6-499.1Yes991No344*
7121-5-597.3Yes973No556*
7020-7-496.7Yes973No868*
6920-6-596.1Yes964No1,520*
6820-5-692.9Yes9370No2,324*
6719-7-591.5Yes9180No3,509*
6619-6-686.1Yes86131No5,395*
6519-5-780.9Yes811810No7,850*
6418-7-674.1Yes742320No11,499*
6318-6-766.3Yes662940No16,325*
6217-8-657.3100.0%5735700No22,859*
6117-7-747.499.947401110No31,246*
6017-6-836.299.8364317300No41,727*
5916-8-726.299.32643246100No55,246*
5816-7-817.398.217393111200No71,638*
5716-6-910.395.310323517410No90,860*
5615-8-85.289.552436259200No113,624*
5515-7-92.279.62143132164100No139,966*
5414-9-80.864.31723332492000No167,243*
5314-8-90.245.1031329311851000No198,840*
5214-7-100.026.5016203126123000No229,402*
5113-9-90.012.3002102431229200No262,828*
5013-8-10No4.2004142730186100No294,465*
4913-7-11No1.00015172928144100No324,356*
4812-9-10No0.200018213025123000No348,891*
4712-8-11No0.000021023302292000No369,648*
4612-7-12No0.00003122630207100No386,139*
4511-9-11NoNo00141528291751000.0%392,900*
4411-8-12NoNo00161829271441000.0395,205*
4311-7-13NoNo00028213125112000.1389,223*
4210-9-12NoNo00031125312181000.8375,600*
4110-8-13NoNo0014152830175103.0355,183*
409-10-12NoNo0001720322712208.2330,769*
399-9-13NoNo002112633216117.5301,918*
389-8-14NoNo0001517323113230.4268,891*
378-10-13NoNo0029263622545.2236,918*
368-9-14NoNo00041836321059.8203,904*
358-8-15NoNo0021031401772.4171,248*
347-10-14NoNo01524432782.2139,951*
337-9-15NoNo00316433889.3112,792*
327-8-16NoNo00110404993.988,805*
316-10-15NoNo006345996.668,657*
306-9-16NoNo003276998.252,066*
296-8-17NoNo02217799.138,188*
286-7-18NoNo01158499.627,400*
275-9-17NoNo0118999.819,036*
265-8-18NoNo079399.913,081*
255-7-19NoNo0595100.08,512*
244-9-18NoNo397Yes5,519*
234-8-19NoNo298Yes3,427*
224-7-20NoNo199Yes2,114*
213-9-19NoNo199Yes1,256*
203-8-20NoNo0100Yes772*
3-19NoNo100Yes1,766*
Total:1.8%12.2%23345566677777776514.8%7,205,748

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship