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Borussia Dortmund Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50
Lost to Augsburg 0-1, title odds down 0.004 to 0.002%
16 points 4-4-11
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 1/30 | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | 2. Bundesliga | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Leverkusen 0 Dortmund 0 | -0.2 | +2.1 | -0.2 | |||
| Dortmund 0 Augsburg 1 | -0.3 | +8.9 | -0.7 | |||
| Wolfsburg 4 Bayern Munich 1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Stuttgart 0 Monchengladbach 1 | -0.1 | -1.0 | +0.0 | |||
| Hertha Berlin 0 Leverkusen 1 | -0.1 | -1.1 | +0.1 | |||
| Monchengladbach 1 Freiburg 0 | -0.1 | -1.1 | +0.1 | |||
| Shalke 1 Hannover 0 | -0.2 | |||||
| Freiburg 4 Eintracht 1 | +1.1 | |||||
| Hoffenheim 1 Werder Bremen 2 | +0.8 | |||||
| Koln 0 Stuttgart 0 | -0.4 | |||||
| Paderborn 0 Hamburger 3 | +0.5 | |||||
| Werder Bremen 2 Hertha Berlin 0 | +0.2 | |||||
| Mainz 5 Paderborn 0 | +0.2 | |||||
| Hamburger 0 Koln 2 | -0.2 | |||||
| Eintracht 1 Wolfsburg 1 | *-0.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| Hannover 1 Mainz 1 | *-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 2/6 | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | 2. Bundesliga | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Freiburg vs Dortmund | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | +11.1+2.1-12.4 | -0.7-0.2+0.9 | |||
| Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | +1.5-0.3-1.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Wolfsburg vs Hoffenheim | -0.2-0.0+0.2 | |||||
| Augsburg vs Eintracht | -0.5-0.0+0.5 | |||||
| Werder Bremen vs Leverkusen | +0.6-0.1-0.6 | |||||
| Hamburger vs Hannover | +0.9-0.2-0.7 | |||||
| Koln vs Paderborn | -0.6-0.3+0.8 | |||||
| Mainz vs Hertha Berlin | -0.6-0.4+0.8 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dortmund finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | 2. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Bundesliga | Count | |||||
| 61 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 14.7 | % | 99.9 | % | 15 | 60 | 23 | 2 | 0 | No | 167,518 | ||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 4.9 | 99.1 | 5 | 45 | 40 | 10 | 1 | No | 5,298 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 14 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 2.2 | 97.7 | 2 | 33 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 0 | No | 8,603 | |||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1.0 | 95.0 | 1 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 24,279 | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.3 | 88.0 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 76,049 | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 77.9 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 127,220 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 54 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 62.9 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 316,918 | ||||||||||||||
| 53 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 44.2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 625,790 | * | |||||||||||||
| 52 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 27.0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,073,269 | * | |||||||||||||
| 51 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 13.1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,086,731 | * | ||||||||||||
| 50 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,417,303 | * | |||||||||||
| 49 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,458,570 | * | |||||||||||
| 48 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 8,841,984 | * | |||||||||||
| 47 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,813,155 | * | ||||||||||
| 46 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,451,113 | * | |||||||||
| 45 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 25,932,100 | * | ||||||||||
| 44 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 33,843,091 | * | ||||||||
| 43 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 43,736,791 | * | |||||||||
| 42 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 54,464,261 | * | |||||||||
| 41 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 64,272,092 | * | ||||||||||
| 40 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3.2 | 74,585,234 | * | ||||||||||
| 39 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11.4 | 41,896,512 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 8.7 | 41,286,754 | * | ||||||||||||
| 38 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 22.4 | 60,687,922 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 24.0 | 27,947,238 | * | |||||||||||||
| 37 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 41.8 | 62,888,934 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 38.2 | 29,530,485 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 36 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 31 | 9 | 57.6 | 46,859,178 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 33 | 11 | 61.2 | 45,620,450 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 35 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 19 | 75.0 | 60,693,354 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 20 | 75.5 | 28,021,924 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 44 | 34 | 87.1 | 53,904,488 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 31 | 85.4 | 28,988,764 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 47 | 93.0 | 39,042,380 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 49 | 93.9 | 35,172,158 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 62 | 97.1 | 63,635,171 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 74 | 98.9 | 52,929,389 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 99.6 | 42,020,810 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 90 | 99.9 | 31,815,655 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | 23,242,191 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | 16,092,264 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 10,540,509 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | 6,596,629 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100.0 | 3,871,787 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,104,147 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,075,386 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 505,160 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 207,589 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 76,648 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | -18 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 197,299 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 25 | 48.4 | % | 1,207,778,544 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:21 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
