How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 9/15 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* 2. Bundesliga 100.0* Average seed Schalke 04 0 Bayern München 3 +4.9 +9.0 -0.4 +0.8 Bayern München 4 Mainz 05 0 +2.9 +7.5 -1.7 +0.9 Hamburger SV 0 Borussia Dortmund 3 -0.8 -0.4 Borussia Dortmund 5 Köln 0 -0.6 -0.7 Mainz 05 2 Hoffenheim 3 -0.4 -0.7 Freiburg 1 Hannover 96 1 +0.4 +0.4 Werder Bremen 1 Schalke 04 2 -0.3 -0.5 -0.1 Hoffenheim 1 Hertha BSC 1 +0.2 +0.4 Hannover 96 2 Hamburger SV 0 -0.2 -0.2 Leipzig 2 Mönchengladbach 2 +0.1 +0.3 Augsburg 1 Leipzig 0 -0.1 -0.2 Eintracht Frank 1 Augsburg 2 -0.1 -0.2 Mönchengladbach 2 Stuttgart 0 -0.1 -0.2 Hertha BSC 2 Bayer Leverkusen 1 -0.1 -0.2 Köln 0 Eintracht Frank 1 -0.2 Wolfsburg 1 Werder Bremen 1 +0.1 Bayer Leverkusen 4 Freiburg 0 *-0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 9/24 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* 2. Bundesliga 100.0* Average seed Bayern München vs Wolfsburg +4.6-2.5-5.6 +6.5-2.9-8.4 -0.1*+0.0+0.2 +0.5-0.2-0.6 Borussia Dortmund vs Mönchengladbach -1.5+0.7+1.3 -0.1+0.3-0.1 Hannover 96 vs Köln -0.8+0.5+1.0 -0.7+0.4+1.0 -0.0+0.0+0.1 Stuttgart vs Augsburg +0.6+0.3-0.5 +0.7+0.4-0.7 Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 -0.5+0.4+0.3 -0.3+0.4*+0.0 Mainz 05 vs Hertha BSC +0.2+0.1-0.2 +0.5+0.3-0.6 Leipzig vs Eintracht Frank -0.1+0.1*+0.0 -0.2+0.3*+0.0 Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV -0.1+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Bayern München finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed 2. TP W - D - L wins title UEFA CL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Bundesliga Count 86 -99 Yes Yes 100 No 2,887 * 85 23 - 4 - 2 99.6 % Yes 100 0 No 242 * 83 -84 Yes Yes 100 No 1,460 * 82 22 - 4 - 3 99.9 Yes 100 0 No 1,750 * 81 21 - 6 - 2 99.9 Yes 100 0 No 3,076 * 80 21 - 5 - 3 100.0 Yes 100 0 No 4,958 * 79 21 - 4 - 4 99.8 Yes 100 0 No 8,188 * 78 20 - 6 - 3 99.8 Yes 100 0 No 12,709 * 77 20 - 5 - 4 99.6 Yes 100 0 No 19,747 * 76 20 - 4 - 5 99.4 Yes 99 1 No 29,581 * 75 19 - 6 - 4 99.0 Yes 99 1 0 No 42,789 * 74 19 - 5 - 5 98.4 Yes 98 2 0 No 61,982 * 73 18 - 7 - 4 97.4 Yes 97 3 0 No 86,978 * 72 18 - 6 - 5 96.3 Yes 96 4 0 No 119,197 * 71 18 - 5 - 6 94.6 Yes 95 5 0 No 158,419 * 70 17 - 7 - 5 92.3 Yes 92 8 0 0 No 208,163 * 69 17 - 6 - 6 88.9 Yes 89 11 0 0 No 266,296 * 68 16 - 8 - 5 84.6 100.0 % 85 15 1 0 0 No 333,565 * 67 16 - 7 - 6 79.3 100.0 79 20 1 0 0 No 409,395 * 66 16 - 6 - 7 72.7 100.0 73 25 2 0 0 No 493,817 * 65 15 - 8 - 6 64.8 100.0 65 31 4 0 0 No 580,807 * 64 15 - 7 - 7 55.8 100.0 56 37 7 0 0 No 670,897 * 63 15 - 6 - 8 46.2 100.0 46 42 11 1 0 0 No 760,906 * 62 14 - 8 - 7 36.3 99.9 36 45 16 2 0 0 No 845,169 * 61 14 - 7 - 8 26.6 99.6 27 45 23 5 0 0 0 No 916,904 * 60 13 - 9 - 7 18.2 98.9 18 42 30 8 1 0 0 No 977,885 * 59 13 - 8 - 8 11.4 97.2 11 36 36 14 3 0 0 No 1,022,260 * 58 13 - 7 - 9 6.3 93.6 6 28 38 22 6 1 0 0 No 1,047,314 * 57 12 - 9 - 8 3.0 86.9 3 19 36 29 11 2 0 0 0 No 1,052,095 * 56 12 - 8 - 9 1.3 76.1 1 11 30 34 18 5 1 0 0 No 1,037,376 * 55 12 - 7 - 10 0.4 60.9 0 5 21 34 27 10 2 0 0 No 998,104 * 54 11 - 9 - 9 0.1 43.3 0 2 12 29 32 18 5 1 0 0 No 946,331 * 53 11 - 8 - 10 0.0 26.1 0 1 6 20 33 27 12 3 0 0 0 No 879,620 * 52 11 - 7 - 11 0.0 13.1 0 0 2 11 26 32 21 7 1 0 0 No 799,409 * 51 10 - 9 - 10 0.0 5.2 0 0 1 5 17 30 29 15 4 0 0 0 No 713,501 * 50 10 - 8 - 11 No 1.5 0 0 1 8 22 32 24 10 2 0 0 0 No 622,286 * 49 10 - 7 - 12 No 0.3 0 0 0 3 12 27 31 19 6 1 0 0 No 531,287 * 48 9 - 9 - 11 No 0.0 0 0 1 5 17 30 28 14 4 0 0 0 No 445,055 * 47 9 - 8 - 12 No 0.0 0 0 1 8 22 32 25 10 2 0 0 No 365,987 * 46 9 - 7 - 13 No 0.0 0 0 0 3 12 26 31 20 7 1 0 0 No 292,003 * 45 8 - 9 - 12 No No 0 0 1 5 16 30 29 15 4 1 0 0 No 229,520 * 44 8 - 8 - 13 No No 0 0 1 7 21 32 26 11 2 0 0 0.0 % 177,156 * 43 7 - 10 - 12 No No 0 0 0 2 11 26 32 21 7 1 0 0 0.0 133,291 * 42 7 - 9 - 13 No No 0 1 4 16 30 30 15 4 0 0 0.2 97,799 * 41 7 - 8 - 14 No No 0 0 1 7 22 32 25 10 2 0 0 1.0 70,306 * 40 6 - 10 - 13 No No 0 0 3 12 27 32 19 5 1 0 3.3 48,587 * 39 6 - 9 - 14 No No 0 0 1 5 19 33 28 12 2 0 8.0 33,340 * 38 6 - 8 - 15 No No 0 2 10 26 34 22 6 0 16.9 22,607 * 37 5 - 10 - 14 No No 0 1 4 18 35 30 11 1 27.5 14,434 * 36 5 - 9 - 15 No No 0 0 1 10 28 36 21 4 42.1 9,234 * 35 5 - 8 - 16 No No 1 5 21 38 29 7 55.0 5,680 * 34 4 - 10 - 15 No No 0 2 12 34 39 13 68.7 3,382 * 33 4 - 9 - 16 No No 0 1 6 27 45 21 79.6 1,961 * 32 4 - 8 - 17 No No 0 4 20 46 30 85.7 1,116 * 31 4 - 7 - 18 No No 2 16 41 41 90.1 596 * 30 3 - 9 - 17 No No 0 1 9 37 53 94.4 339 * 29 3 - 8 - 18 No No 2 31 67 98.8 165 * 28 3 - 7 - 19 No No 1 28 71 98.8 85 * 27 2 - 9 - 18 No No 5 27 68 97.3 37 * 26 2 - 8 - 19 No No 31 69 Yes 13 * 25 1 - 10 - 18 No No 13 88 Yes 8 * 24 2 - 6 - 21 No No 50 50 Yes 2 * 12 -23 No No 100 Yes 2,575 * Total: 21.5 % 64.9 % 21 18 14 11 9 7 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 % 18,622,628

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship