TSV Bayer 04 LeverkusenLeverkusen beat Schalke 2-1, odds of winning the cup up 5.7% to 26.8% Record: 28 points, 9 - 1 - 3 16 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Bayer Leverkusen: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on Bayer Leverkusen is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 11/14 | Impact | | | Leverkusen | 2 | | Schalke | 1 | | | 6.7 | | (0.74) | | | Hoffenheim | 3 | | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | | | -1.1 | | | | | VfL Borussia | 2 | | Bayern München | 2 | | | 0.3 | | (0.02) | | | BVB | 4 | | Eintracht | 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | | | 0.1 | | (0.02) | | | Werder Bremen | 3 | | FC Köln | 1 | | | 0.1 | | | | | Hertha Berlin | 2 | | Hamburger SV | 1 | | | 0.1 | | (-0.00) | | | Worst | -8.89 | (-0.82) | 5.70 | | (0.73) | (0.91) | 9.51 | Best | | |
Week of 11/21 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Arminia Bielefeld | -5.9 |
(-0.52)
| Leverkusen | 7.2 |
(0.60)
| -1.8 |
(-0.10)
| | 9:30 AM Sat | | | FC Köln | 1.6 |
(0.02)
| Hoffenheim | -2.0 |
(-0.03)
| 0.8 |
(0.03)
| | 9:30 AM Sat | | | Bayern München | -1.2 |
(-0.06)
| Energie Cottbus | 1.0 |
(0.05)
| 0.3 |
(0.02)
| | 9:30 AM Sat | | | VfL Bochum | 0.8 |
(0.05)
| Hertha Berlin | -0.9 |
(-0.05)
| 0.4 |
(0.03)
| | 9:30 AM Sat | | | Karlsruher | 0.4 |
(0.04)
| BVB | -0.5 |
(-0.04)
| 0.2 |
(0.02)
| | 2:30 PM Fri | | | Hamburger SV | -0.4 |
(-0.02)
| Werder Bremen | 0.2 |
(0.00)
| 0.4 |
(0.03)
| | 11:00 AM Sun | | | Schalke | -0.3 |
(-0.04)
| VfL Borussia | 0.4 |
(0.03)
| 0.2 |
(0.02)
| | 9:30 AM Sat | | | VfL Wolfsburg | -0.1 | | VfB Stuttgart | 0.1 | | 0.3 | | | 9:30 AM Sat | | | | -11.32 | (-0.78) | 0.00 | | (0.00) | (0.85) | 11.94 | | |
What IfChances based on how well Bayer Leverkusen finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | 21 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 0 | .937 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 1 | .921 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 2 | .905 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 8 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 1 | .889 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 23 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 2 | .873 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 48 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 3 | .857 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 82 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 2 | .841 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 209 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 3 | .825 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 440 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 4 | .810 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 815 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 3 | .794 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,465 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 4 | .778 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2,640 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 5 | .762 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4,735 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 4 | .746 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 7,833 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .730 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 12,582 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 6 | .714 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 19,905 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 5 | .698 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 30,755 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 6 | .683 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 45,462 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 7 | .667 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 65,366 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .651 | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 91,143 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 7 | .635 | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 124,592 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 8 | .619 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 165,000 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .603 | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 212,956 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .587 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 267,599 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 9 | .571 | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 326,594 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .556 | 71 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 389,685 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .540 | 62 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 453,050 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .524 | 51 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 513,985 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .508 | 39 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 565,590 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .492 | 28 | 45 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 609,384 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 11 | .476 | 18 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 640,208 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .460 | 10 | 34 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 652,591 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .444 | 5 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 649,817 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .429 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 630,235 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .413 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 594,709 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .397 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 545,797 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .381 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 485,843 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .365 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 422,397 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .349 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 356,083 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .333 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 291,609 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .317 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 230,784 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .302 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 178,043 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .286 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 132,723 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .270 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 95,329 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .254 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 66,225 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .238 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0.3 | | 44,526 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .222 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | 1.8 | | 28,872 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .206 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 | | 17,883 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .190 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 18.0 | | 10,549 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .175 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 34.3 | | 5,879 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .159 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 54.0 | | 3,062 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .143 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 72.8 | | 1,607 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .127 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 18 | 85.8 | | 738 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .111 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 24 | 44 | 24 | 92.2 | | 333 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .095 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 15 | 50 | 32 | 97.7 | | 133 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .079 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 30 | 58 | Yes | | 50 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .063 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | 79 | Yes | | 14 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 18 | .048 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 18 | 73 | Yes | | 11 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .032 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 21 | .000 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | Total: | 27 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1% | | 10,000,000 |
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