Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleAufstiegChance will finish season at seed3.Liga
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Rattenball5918-5-52049.8%-4.482.2%-5.6503218001.7-0.10No2RB Leipzig
Freiburg56117-5-52932.3-2.868.2-8.232363110002.0-0.11No3SC Freiburg
Nuernberg5616-8-42517.9+7.249.2+14.118314920002.4+0.26No11 FC. Nuernberg
St. Pauli4613-7-850.0-0.00.4-0.200353291041000004.6-0.05No5FC St. Pauli
Bochum4411-11-6150.0-0.00.0-0.0001323417952100005.3-0.05No4VfL Bochum
Heidenheim4010-10-85No0.0005142218151184200007.2-0.070.0%61 FC. Heidenheim
Braunschweig3810-8-106No0.00026131617161495200008.3-0.080.0-0.09Eintracht Braunschweig
Fuerth37110-7-10-4No0.000271416161512963100008.4-0.080.0-0.07SpVgg Greuter Fuerth
KSC3810-8-10-4No0.000151116171614106310008.6+0.990.0-0.38Karlsruher SC
Union379-10-95NoNo149131517161283100009.0-0.080.0-0.0111 FC. Union Berlin
Lautern349-7-12-1NoNo0125710141918138310010.9+1.020.8-4.3121. FC Kaiserlautern
Sandhaufen3310-6-12-4NoNo0013571117211711520011.6-0.871.8+0.410SV Sandhausen
Arminia315-16-7-7NoNo0001246111622201251012.7+0.086.3-2.413Arminia Bielefeld
FSV297-8-13-17NoNo0000012510172121157114.0-0.6822.6+5.414FSV Frankfurt
Fortuna287-7-14-13NoNo00001137142025198114.5+0.1428.6-5.715Fortuna Düsseldorf
TSV 1860255-10-13-15NoNo0000002510182927915.8-0.4865.2+11.0161860 Muenchen
Paderborn245-9-14-22NoNo0000001361325401316.3+0.1276.7-3.617SC Paderborn 07
Duisburg193-10-15-23NoNo000025177617.7+0.0598.0-0.518MSV Duisburg

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 4/1
Rattenball 3 Bochum 1
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball+14.6
+11.1
+0.3
Freiburg-10.2
-3.4
Nuernberg-4.2
-6.9
St. Pauli-0.2
Bochum-0.6
-0.4
FSV 0 Nuernberg 3
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball-4.4
-5.7
Freiburg-3.1
-8.7
Nuernberg+7.5
+14.6
+0.3
St. Pauli-0.2
Lautern-0.5
Sandhaufen-0.2
Arminia-1.1
FSV+8.6
-0.7
Fortuna-2.3
TSV 1860-2.5
Paderborn-1.8
Duisburg-0.2
St. Pauli 0 Union 0
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball+0.2
Freiburg+0.2
Nuernberg+0.2
St. Pauli-0.6
-0.0
UnionNo
-0.2
Duisburg 0 Heidenheim 2
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Heidenheim+0.9
Lautern-0.2
Arminia-0.2
FSV-0.3
Fortuna-0.6
TSV 1860-0.6
Paderborn-0.5
Duisburg+2.5
-0.2
Braunschweig 2 Paderborn 1
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Braunschweig-0.4
+1.0
Lautern-1.0
Sandhaufen-0.4
Arminia-1.5
FSV-2.1
Fortuna-3.1
TSV 1860-2.7
Paderborn+11.7
-0.5
Duisburg-0.5
KSC 3 TSV 1860 1
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
KSC-0.3
+1.0
Lautern-1.1
Sandhaufen-0.4
Arminia-1.8
FSV-2.5
Fortuna-4.7
TSV 1860+13.7
-0.6
Paderborn-2.4
Duisburg-0.3
Lautern 2 Sandhaufen 0
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Lautern-3.9
+1.1
Sandhaufen+1.5
-1.0
Arminia+0.2
FSV+0.3
Fortuna+0.6
TSV 1860+0.7
Paderborn+0.5
Arminia 0 Fortuna 0
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Lautern-0.1
Arminia-0.7
-0.2
FSV-0.2
Fortuna+1.9
-0.2
TSV 1860-0.5
Paderborn-0.3
Fuerth vs FreiburgIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball57.652.240.0
85.983.078.0
1.61.61.8
Freiburg21.028.946.4
56.466.281.6
2.22.11.7
Nuernberg21.418.913.6
57.150.440.2
2.22.32.5
Heidenheim0.00.0No
7.47.27.1
Braunschweig0.0NoNo
8.58.38.2
Fuerth0.0NoNo
7.48.59.1
Week of 4/8
Fortuna vs RattenballIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:15 PM Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball36.746.565.7
73.281.292.1
1.91.71.4
Freiburg40.134.322.7
71.868.664.2
1.92.02.1
Nuernberg23.119.111.6
54.549.843.4
2.22.32.5
FSV25.422.320.0
14.214.013.9
Fortuna14.030.441.6
13.714.615.1
TSV 186070.364.660.7
16.015.815.7
Paderborn80.576.273.2
16.416.316.2
Freiburg vs St. PauliHomeDrawAway
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball40.052.257.6
78.083.085.8
1.81.61.6
Freiburg46.428.921.0
81.766.456.2
1.72.12.3
Nuernberg13.618.921.4
40.350.557.0
2.52.32.3
HeidenheimNo*0.00.0
7.27.27.3
BraunschweigNoNo0.0
FuerthNo*0.00.0
Nuernberg vs DuisburgHomeDrawAway
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Rattenball43.251.754.8
75.783.787.6
1.81.61.6
Freiburg27.833.535.7
58.869.976.1
2.12.01.9
Nuernberg29.014.89.5
65.446.035.7
2.12.42.6
HeidenheimNo0.00.0
BraunschweigNoNo0.0
FuerthNo0.00.0
TSV 1860 vs FuerthHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
FuerthNo0.00.0
9.28.57.4
FSV26.921.619.1
14.114.014.0
Fortuna34.027.324.2
14.614.414.4
TSV 186048.969.178.3
15.316.016.3
Paderborn79.876.074.1
16.416.216.2
Lautern vs KSCHomeDrawAway
1:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
KSC9.58.77.5
Lautern0.00.61.6
9.911.211.8
Heidenheim vs BraunschweigHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Heidenheim0.00.0No
No0.00.0
6.37.38.1
BraunschweigNoNo0.0
9.38.57.3
Bochum vs FSVHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
FSV33.124.010.8
14.714.213.3
Fortuna26.028.331.4
14.414.414.6
TSV 186061.864.869.0
15.815.815.9
Paderborn74.076.379.7
16.216.316.3
Paderborn vs UnionHomeDrawAway
6:30 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Union9.89.18.0
FSV26.121.619.9
14.114.014.0
Fortuna32.927.525.2
14.614.414.4
TSV 186068.464.462.8
16.015.815.7
Paderborn62.880.487.3
15.716.416.7
Sandhaufen vs ArminiaHomeDrawAway
1:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Aufstieg100.0*3.Liga100.0*Average seed
Sandhaufen0.11.53.8
10.511.812.5
Arminia11.46.11.3
13.612.911.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you LN for adding this league.