"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco 3 Troyes 2 No
-0.0
+3.5
-0.5
Marseille 3 Saint-Étienne 0 -0.3
+0.0
Amiens 1 Lyonnais 2 -0.1
+0.0
Toulouse 2 Caen 0 +0.9
Guingamp 4 Dijon 0 +0.5
Nantes 1 Nice 2 +0.5
-0.1
PSG 3 Lille 1 -0.4
+0.0
Bordeaux 0 Strasbourg 3 +0.4
Angers 1 Montpellier 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Troyes vs Amiens+0.0NoNo
-8.3+0.8+6.7
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Saint-Étienne vs Monaco+1.3+0.2-0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Nantes vs Angers-1.0-0.2+1.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Dijon vs Lille-0.6-0.2+0.9
Strasbourg vs Toulouse-0.5-0.1+0.8
Caen vs Guingamp+0.4-0.0-0.2
Nice vs Bordeaux-0.2-0.1+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Troyes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Ligue 2Count
8121-0-040.3%100.0%405820No25,028
7619-1-1NoYes100No1
7518-3-0No66.76733No3*
7418-2-1No92.331628No13
7318-1-2No93.134597No29*
7217-3-1No63.82439324No94*
7117-2-2No65.81947304No187*
7016-4-1No52.8124135120No422*
6916-3-2No41.77354414No953*
6816-2-3No29.142548231No2,041*
6715-4-20.020.2021846331No4,287*
6615-3-3No13.2112444120No8,676*
6514-5-2No7.407375050No16,692*
6414-4-3No3.7043057900No30,923*
6314-3-4No1.80222611410No56,357*
6213-5-3No0.80114612220No97,550*
6113-4-4No0.30095630500No165,206*
6012-6-3No0.10054837910No269,559*
5912-5-4No0.002374215200No427,634*
5812-4-5No0.0012643245000No661,157*
5711-6-4No0.000174032102000No987,937*
5611-5-5No0.00093137184000No1,437,257*
5511-4-6NoNo0421362792000No2,031,074*
5410-6-5NoNo02123033185100No2,788,028*
5310-5-6NoNo005203327112000No3,722,063*
5210-4-7NoNo0021026322171000No4,826,879*
519-6-6NoNo0041630291641000No6,084,865*
509-5-7NoNo0017203126123000No7,463,337*
498-7-6NoNo00021024312292000No8,903,080*
488-6-7NoNo000313263019710000.0%10,317,964*
478-5-8NoNo0001516292916510000.011,618,352*
467-7-7NoNo000161930271330000.012,728,754*
457-6-8NoNo00028223124102000.213,541,233*
447-5-9NoNo0003112632206101.013,981,117*
436-7-8NoNo0001416303015303.714,019,796*
426-6-9NoNo0001721342691010.313,637,199*
416-5-10NoNo0002122935193022.112,857,218*
405-7-9NoNo000152037308038.211,749,814*
395-6-10NoNo000211323916055.710,387,576*
385-5-11NoNo0005234427071.58,895,723*
374-7-10NoNo002154340083.57,350,498*
364-6-11NoNo00183853091.35,857,746*
354-5-12NoNo00043065095.94,507,045*
343-7-11NoNo0022275198.23,329,524*
333-6-12NoNo0011583299.32,361,019*
323-5-13NoNo001087399.81,607,548*
312-7-12NoNo00690499.91,044,409*
302-6-13NoNo03907100.0644,989*
292-5-14NoNo028810100.0377,391*
281-7-13NoNo018514100.0209,646*
271-6-14NoNo08019Yes108,868*
261-5-15NoNo07426Yes52,873*
251-4-16NoNo06733Yes23,615*
240-6-15NoNo05941Yes9,790*
230-5-16NoNo5149Yes3,478*
220-4-17NoNo4258Yes1,175*
210-3-18NoNo3664Yes333*
200-2-19NoNo1684Yes55
190-1-20NoNo1783Yes12
180-0-21NoNo991Yes25,028
Total:0.0%0.0%000011234567891011111211023.4%201,261,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship