How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG 4 Nantes 1 +0.0
Strasbourg 2 Rennes 1 +0.2
Dijon 3 Troyes 1 +0.1
Toulouse 0 Metz 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Lille vs Saint-Étienne-0.9-0.4+1.0
+1.5+0.1-1.3
-0.8-0.2+0.8
Amiens vs Monaco+0.3+0.1-0.2
+0.3*+0.0-0.1
Lyonnais vs Montpellier-0.3+0.1+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Bordeaux vs Marseille+0.2+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/25100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Saint-Étienne vs Strasbourg+1.0-0.4-0.9
-1.3+0.1+1.5
+0.8-0.2-0.8
Nice vs Lyonnais+0.4+0.1-0.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Marseille vs Guingamp-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Rennes vs Nantes+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Montpellier vs Lille-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Metz vs Amiens-0.2-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Saint-Étienne finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Ligue 2Count
9626-0-099.9%Yes1000No1,054
8521-4-1YesYes100No2
8421-3-260.0Yes6040No5*
8321-2-355.6Yes563311No9*
8220-4-241.2Yes4159No17*
8120-3-337.2Yes37602No43*
8019-5-246.7Yes47494No75*
7919-4-340.599.4%415441No158*
7819-3-426.599.0276481No309*
7718-5-322.699.82363150No563*
7618-4-415.598.31660232No954*
7517-6-311.596.51158273No1,645*
7417-5-48.094.48523450No2,766*
7317-4-55.390.75454190No4,533*
7216-6-43.185.3336461410No7,104*
7116-5-51.578.8130471920No10,882*
7015-7-40.770.3122472630No16,224*
6915-6-50.460.7015453460No24,217*
6815-5-60.250.4010404090No34,831*
6714-7-50.039.50633451510No48,906*
6614-6-60.029.60326482120No67,199*
6514-5-70.020.50219472930No90,139*
6413-7-60.013.40113443760No118,190*
6313-6-7No8.20837431110No150,554*
6212-8-6No4.404294717200No189,239*
6112-7-7No2.102214725400No231,035*
6012-6-8No0.9011343339100No276,672*
5911-8-7No0.40083639152000No325,335*
5811-7-8No0.10042641235100No371,674*
5711-6-9No0.00217373111200No414,940*
5610-8-8No0.00193036195100No454,499*
5510-7-9No0.0004203528112000No486,502*
5410-6-10NoNo02112833206100No508,793*
539-8-9NoNo005183128134000No518,331*
529-7-10NoNo002923322392000No518,275*
518-9-9NoNo0031327301861000No504,608*
508-8-10NoNo0016172927154100No482,842*
498-7-11NoNo00028202925123000No447,126*
487-9-10NoNo000310233022920000.0%406,809*
477-8-11NoNo00141326291971000.0359,450*
467-7-12NoNo00151628281651000.1311,677*
456-9-11NoNo00017192926133000.4261,790*
446-8-12NoNo00292331249201.9213,898*
436-7-13NoNo001313273119516.0170,863*
425-9-12NoNo0015183229132014.4133,018*
415-8-13NoNo000292635225027.5100,406*
405-7-14NoNo00417343411044.973,386*
394-9-13NoNo0019294020061.052,254*
384-8-14NoNo004204332175.935,550*
374-7-15NoNo02124044386.424,198*
363-9-14NoNo0063355593.415,360*
353-8-15NoNo032464996.99,606*
343-7-16NoNo0118681398.75,808*
333-6-17NoNo011701899.63,233*
322-8-16NoNo07652899.91,737*
312-7-17NoNo36631Yes979*
302-6-18NoNo26038Yes455*
291-8-17NoNo25642Yes224*
281-7-18NoNo4456Yes93*
271-6-19NoNo3565Yes37*
260-8-18NoNo3268Yes19*
251-4-21NoNo3367Yes3*
23-24NoNo100Yes3*
180-0-26NoNo0100Yes1,054
Total:0.0%2.0%0025101111109876544322102.5%8,492,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship