SM CaenCaen lost to Marseille 1-2, odds of winning the cup down 1.8% to 3.6% Record: 11 points, 3 - 2 - 3 4 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on SM Caen: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on SM Caen is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 10/4 | Impact | | | Marseille | 2 | | Caen | 1 | | | -1.8 | | (-0.96) | | | Rennes | 3 | | Lyon | 0 | | | 0.2 | | | | | Grenoble | 0 | | FC Nantes | 1 | | | | | (-0.00) | | | Worst | -2.22 |
(-1.00)
| -1.78 | | (-0.98) | (1.15) | 2.49 | Best | | |
Week of 10/18 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Caen | 1.6 |
(1.11)
| Grenoble | -1.3 |
(-0.97)
| -0.5 |
(-0.22)
| | 2:00 PM Sat | | | Lyon | -0.2 | | Lille | 0.1 | | 0.1 | | | 2:00 PM Sat | | | FC Nantes | |
(-0.00)
| Saint-Étienne | |
(-0.01)
| |
(0.04)
| | 2:00 PM Sat | | | | -1.54 |
(-1.00)
| 0.12 | | (1.18) | (1.17) | 1.76 | | |
What IfChances based on how well SM Caen finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | 30 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 25 | - | 2 | - | 3 | .856 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 24 | - | 4 | - | 2 | .844 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 8 | | 25 | - | 0 | - | 5 | .833 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 6 | | 24 | - | 2 | - | 4 | .822 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 11 | | 24 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .811 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 30 | | 24 | - | 0 | - | 6 | .800 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 64 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 5 | .789 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 106 | | 23 | - | 1 | - | 6 | .778 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 222 | | 23 | - | 0 | - | 7 | .767 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 372 | | 22 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .756 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 627 | | 22 | - | 1 | - | 7 | .744 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 22 | - | 0 | - | 8 | .733 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,693 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .722 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2,631 | | 21 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .711 | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4,116 | | 21 | - | 0 | - | 9 | .700 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 6,337 | | 20 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .689 | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 9,480 | | 20 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .678 | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 14,017 | | 20 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .667 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 20,010 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .656 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 28,399 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .644 | 73 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 39,372 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 11 | .633 | 65 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 53,225 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .622 | 55 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 70,808 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .611 | 44 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 91,771 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .600 | 33 | 43 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 118,294 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .589 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 148,550 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .578 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 182,367 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .567 | 8 | 28 | 35 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 220,414 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .556 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 263,441 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .544 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 307,775 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .533 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 352,346 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .522 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 396,315 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .511 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 437,770 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 475,859 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .489 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 506,949 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .478 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 530,307 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .467 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 544,193 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .456 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 550,385 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .444 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 542,655 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .433 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 526,769 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .422 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 501,649 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .411 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | | 469,492 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .400 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | | 430,312 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .389 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 | | 387,800 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .378 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 16.7 | | 340,463 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .367 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 32.6 | | 294,747 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .356 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 50.9 | | 249,504 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .344 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 26 | 7 | 68.2 | | 206,758 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 20 | .333 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 35 | 13 | 81.6 | | 166,207 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .322 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 41 | 22 | 90.5 | | 133,245 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 20 | .311 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 33 | 95.7 | | 103,620 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 21 | .300 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 44 | 98.1 | | 78,669 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 20 | .289 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 55 | 99.3 | | 58,283 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 21 | .278 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 66 | 99.7 | | 41,889 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 22 | .267 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 99.9 | | 29,663 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 21 | .256 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 100.0 | | 20,503 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 22 | .244 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 87 | Yes | | 13,839 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 23 | .233 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | | 8,758 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 22 | .222 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | | 5,614 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 23 | .211 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | | 3,565 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 24 | .200 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | | 2,063 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 23 | .189 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | | 1,240 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 24 | .178 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | | 692 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 23 | .167 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | | 374 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 24 | .156 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | | 187 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 25 | .144 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 91 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 24 | .133 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 44 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 25 | .122 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 22 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 24 | .111 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 5 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 23 | .100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 5 | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 22 | .089 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 25 | .056 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 30 | .000 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10.8% | | 10,000,000 |
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