"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Rennes 5 Montpellier 0 +13.7
+0.6
Lille 1 Lyonnais 0 -5.1
-0.1
Reims 1 Brest 0 -0.5
Nice 2 Monaco 1 +0.3
Saint-Étienne 1 Bordeaux 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Bordeaux vs Rennes-0.0-0.0+0.1
-11.1-2.5+13.1
-0.4-0.1+0.4
PSG vs Nice-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.6+0.3-0.8
Montpellier vs Marseille+0.8+0.3-1.0
Brest vs Lille+6.2+1.7-7.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Lyonnais vs Reims*+0.1+0.5-0.5
Monaco vs Saint-Étienne-0.5+0.2+0.4
Strasbourg vs Dijon-0.4+0.2+0.3
Amiens vs Angers+0.2*+0.0-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Rennes finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Ligue 2Count
8010-0-039.2%Yes39610No1,412
789-1-021.9Yes22772No2,325
779-0-114.4Yes14832No2,885
768-2-09.2Yes9874No8,630
758-1-15.0100.0%58870No21,083
747-3-02.6100.0386120No31,099*
737-2-11.299.9182170No69,259
727-1-20.599.7075250No84,417
6-4-00.599.8176240No27,009
716-3-10.299.4067321No130,610
7-0-30.199.3066331No34,154
706-2-20.098.50574110No266,713*
696-1-30.096.80465130No196,448
5-4-10.097.20475030No159,879
685-3-20.094.40365860No394,210
6-0-40.094.10365860No78,048*
675-2-3No90.02663100No481,066
4-5-1No90.6276490No130,658
664-4-2No84.41866150No409,032*
5-1-4No83.318661700No293,932
654-3-3No75.411642410No654,038
5-0-5No73.911632510No72,313
3-6-1No76.811652300No71,313
644-2-4No63.865834200No600,440
3-5-2No65.86593310No264,672*
633-4-3No52.1349444000No534,220
4-1-5No50.334745500No319,229*
623-3-4No37.31365210100No654,448
2-6-2No39.813951900No106,544
4-0-6No35.1134531110No60,954*
613-2-5No23.20235420300No479,925
2-5-3No25.70255518200No267,230*
602-4-4No13.401349307100No400,366
3-1-6No12.201248318100No220,599*
592-3-5No5.5063638174000No392,991
1-6-3No6.707383815300No71,620
3-0-7No4.905333919410No34,703*
582-2-6No1.60219372911200No241,398
1-5-4No2.0022238279200No133,527*
571-4-5No0.4092734217100No160,226
2-1-7No0.3072534239200No92,137*
561-3-6No0.002122831196100No131,149
0-6-4No0.00213283118610No30,961*
551-2-7No0.0003132730186100No68,813
0-5-5NoNo0416292916510No26,413
540-4-6NoNo014142829186100No47,668*
530-3-7NoNo01414273018510No21,495*
520-2-8NoNo00314283118510No8,687
510-1-9NoNo031226321961No2,351
500-0-10NoNo021329312040No1,421
Total:0.1%53.5%01439281052110000000No8,994,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship