RC LensLens beat AC Ajaccio 2-1, odds of winning the cup up 1.9% to 17% | Chance of winning the title:
| 17.0 | % | Change: | 1.9 | | | being promoted: | 44.1 | % | | 5.3 | | | being demoted: | 0.7 | % | | -0.82 | | | | Average finish: | 5.15 | | | 0.74 | | |
Record: 21 points, 7 - 0 - 2 8 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on RC Lens: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on RC Lens is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 10/3 | Impact | | | AC Ajaccio | 1 | | Lens | 2 | | | 4.8 | | (0.88) | | | Strasbourg | 5 | | Nîmes | 0 | | | -1.0 | | (-0.03) | | | Boulogne | 2 | | Châteauroux | 1 | | | -0.6 | | (-0.03) | | | Metz | 2 | | Sedan | 0 | | | -0.6 | | (-0.03) | | | Amiens | 0 | | Vannes | 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | | Worst | -6.31 |
(-0.89)
| 10.11 | | (4.29) | (0.99) | 6.93 | Best | | |
Week of 10/10 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Lens | 4.8 |
(0.76)
| Guingamp | -4.0 |
(-0.67)
| -1.4 |
(-0.14)
| | 3:30 PM Mon | | | Angers | 0.9 |
(0.01)
| Strasbourg | -1.2 |
(-0.03)
| 0.4 |
(0.02)
| | 3:30 PM Fri | | | Châteauroux | 0.6 |
(0.02)
| Metz | -0.7 |
(-0.04)
| 0.2 |
(0.02)
| | 3:30 PM Fri | | | Vannes | 0.4 | | Boulogne | -0.6 | | 0.3 | | | 3:30 PM Fri | | | Clermont Foot | 0.2 |
(0.02)
| Tours | -0.2 |
(-0.04)
| 0.2 |
(0.03)
| | 3:00 PM Fri | | | Troyes | 0.2 | | AC Ajaccio | -0.2 | | 0.1 | | | 3:00 PM Fri | | | Brest | 0.1 |
(0.02)
| Montpellier | -0.2 |
(-0.03)
| 0.1 |
(0.02)
| | 3:00 PM Fri | | | | -7.14 |
(-0.83)
| 0.00 | | (0.00) | (0.90) | 7.20 | | |
What IfChances based on how well RC Lens finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | | 29 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 25 | - | 2 | - | 2 | .885 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 3 | | 24 | - | 3 | - | 2 | .862 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 24 | - | 2 | - | 3 | .851 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4 | | 24 | - | 1 | - | 4 | .839 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 10 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 3 | .828 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 12 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 4 | .816 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 36 | | 23 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .805 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 61 | | 23 | - | 0 | - | 6 | .793 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 117 | | 22 | - | 2 | - | 5 | .782 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 204 | | 22 | - | 1 | - | 6 | .770 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 374 | | 22 | - | 0 | - | 7 | .759 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 635 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .747 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,132 | | 21 | - | 1 | - | 7 | .736 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,860 | | 21 | - | 0 | - | 8 | .724 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2,959 | | 20 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .713 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4,658 | | 20 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .701 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 7,117 | | 20 | - | 0 | - | 9 | .690 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 10,856 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .678 | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 15,803 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .667 | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 22,881 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .655 | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 32,315 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .644 | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 44,522 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .632 | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 59,835 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 11 | .621 | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 79,619 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .609 | 100.0 | 89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 103,958 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .598 | 100.0 | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 132,558 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .586 | 100.0 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 164,980 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .575 | 99.9 | 73 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 203,983 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .563 | 99.8 | 66 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 244,713 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .552 | 99.5 | 56 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 289,617 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .540 | 98.8 | 47 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 336,322 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .529 | 97.3 | 37 | 44 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 381,925 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .517 | 94.4 | 27 | 44 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 426,656 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .506 | 89.2 | 18 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 467,598 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .494 | 80.7 | 11 | 34 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 502,399 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .483 | 68.6 | 6 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 528,970 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .471 | 53.3 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 548,506 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .460 | 36.4 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 558,313 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .448 | 21.2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 555,804 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .437 | 9.9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 543,392 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .425 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 520,077 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .414 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 488,275 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .402 | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 449,576 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .391 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 406,294 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .379 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 357,863 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .368 | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 310,884 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .356 | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 263,636 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .345 | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 218,929 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .333 | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 177,863 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .322 | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 141,654 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 20 | .310 | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0.4 | | 109,316 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .299 | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.1 | | 82,913 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 20 | .287 | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7.1 | | 61,404 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 21 | .276 | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 17.6 | | 44,531 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 20 | .264 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 33.8 | | 31,228 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 21 | .253 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 52.2 | | 21,284 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 22 | .241 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 7 | 69.2 | | 14,174 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 21 | .230 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 37 | 14 | 82.8 | | 9,316 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 22 | .218 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 42 | 23 | 91.7 | | 5,794 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 23 | .207 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 45 | 35 | 96.5 | | 3,519 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 22 | .195 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 98.5 | | 2,163 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 23 | .184 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 34 | 60 | 99.5 | | 1,228 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 22 | .172 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 30 | 66 | 99.7 | | 711 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 23 | .161 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 22 | 75 | Yes | | 357 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 24 | .149 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 89 | Yes | | 162 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 23 | .138 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 87 | Yes | | 78 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 24 | .126 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | | 37 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 23 | .115 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 20 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 22 | .103 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 23 | .092 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 75 | Yes | | 4 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 25 | .069 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 29 | .000 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 44.1% | 17 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7% | | 10,000,000 |
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