"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Monaco 2 Nice 2 No
-0.0
-0.1
+0.1
Marseille 2 Strasbourg 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Nice vs Saint-Étienne+0.0No-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.2-0.0+0.2
+0.6-0.2-0.7
PSG vs Dijon+0.0-0.0-0.1
Caen vs Marseille-0.1-0.0+0.0
Guingamp vs Lyonnais-0.1-0.0+0.0
Toulouse vs Nantes+0.1+0.0-0.1
Montpellier vs Toulouse-0.1+0.0+0.1
Amiens vs Guingamp+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Metz vs NiceNoNo+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.0
+0.3+0.0-0.1
-0.8-0.3+0.5
PSG vs Montpellier+0.0-0.0-0.1
Bordeaux vs Lyonnais-0.1-0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well Nice finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Ligue 2Count
8217-0-014.7%Yes15787No1,174
7916-0-1NoYes5050No2
7815-2-0NoYes6040No10
7715-1-1No83.3%542917No24
7614-3-0No79.24238192No48*
7514-2-1No62.82340343No145
7414-1-20.350.8010413811No325*
7313-3-1No42.99344215No728*
7213-2-2No29.542646240No1,595*
7112-4-1No18.62174735No3,021*
7012-3-2No12.411242451No5,775*
6912-2-3No7.007365610No10,597*
6811-4-2No3.804296520No17,924*
6711-3-3No1.602227340No30,238*
6610-5-2No0.701157770No47,597*
6510-4-3No0.30010781100No72,528*
6410-3-4No0.106761710No107,272*
639-5-3No0.0003712420No152,006*
629-4-4No0.0026331400No209,152*
619-3-5No0.0015438700No275,817*
608-5-4No0.000434412100No350,716*
598-4-5NoNo0324718200No432,062*
587-6-4NoNo0224727500No515,223*
577-5-5NoNo01442359100No588,502*
567-4-6NoNo08344116200No654,632*
556-6-5NoNo042442255000No700,579*
546-5-6NoNo114383411100No722,275*
536-4-7NoNo072939194000No718,223*
525-6-6NoNo031838309100No690,122*
515-5-7NoNo0193036194100No639,008*
505-4-8NoNo003183529112000No571,125*
494-6-7NoNo00182635227100No489,065*
484-5-8NoNo003143031175100No402,175*
474-4-9NoNo001518322813300No317,764*
463-6-8NoNo001822322410200No242,919*
453-5-9NoNo0021025312282000.0%174,637*
443-4-10NoNo00031327301961000.1121,192*
432-6-9NoNo014152930164100.679,555*
422-5-10NoNo001618312813302.949,601*
412-4-11NoNo00282233259109.829,267*
401-6-10NoNo02122834204023.416,181*
391-5-11NoNo01418363110041.98,262*
381-4-12NoNo019274121162.83,976*
371-3-13NoNo04174433279.21,770*
360-5-12NoNo193651490.8666*
350-4-13NoNo52364795.2230*
340-3-14NoNo22270698.463*
330-2-15NoNo67618Yes17
320-1-16NoNo100Yes1
310-0-17NoNo25147Yes1,174
Total:0.0%0.1%00011218191612854221100000.2%9,456,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship