"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG 4 Nantes 1 -0.5
-3.5
+0.0
-0.3
Strasbourg 2 Rennes 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Amiens vs Monaco+0.8+0.3-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Lyonnais vs Montpellier-0.7+0.3+0.7
Bordeaux vs Marseille+0.6+0.3-0.6
Lille vs Saint-Étienne+0.1*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Rennes vs Nantes-0.1-0.0+0.1
-2.3-0.9+2.9
+0.3-0.0-0.3
-0.6-0.1+0.7
Nice vs Lyonnais+1.0+0.4-0.7
Marseille vs Guingamp-0.6+0.3+0.8
Montpellier vs Lille-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Saint-Étienne vs Strasbourg-0.1*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Nantes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Ligue 2Count
87-98YesYes100No1,062*
8620-3-282.4%Yes8218No17*
8520-2-370.6Yes7129No34*
8419-4-272.6Yes7327No73*
8319-3-369.8Yes70301No159*
8218-5-256.8Yes57422No296*
8118-4-351.2Yes51463No555*
8018-3-440.699.8%415450No994*
7917-5-333.199.7335880No1,756*
7817-4-426.199.42661131No2,807*
7716-6-319.998.620621710No4,746*
7616-5-413.697.614602420No7,383*
7516-4-59.795.710563040No11,671*
7415-6-46.792.87503770No17,910*
7315-5-54.088.944243111No26,405*
7214-7-42.283.323447161No37,792*
7114-6-51.275.5127482220No53,110*
7014-5-60.666.8120472940No73,903*
6913-7-50.256.7013433670No99,336*
6813-6-60.146.50938421100No128,807*
6713-5-70.036.30531471610No164,909*
6612-7-60.026.90324482310No205,834*
6512-6-70.018.902174831200No250,913*
6411-8-60.012.401124439500No299,691*
6311-7-70.07.50073746910No347,583*
6211-6-80.04.1004305015100No397,061*
6110-8-7No2.002225122300No439,745*
6010-7-8No0.9011448307100No478,253*
5910-6-9No0.30084137122000No506,019*
589-8-8No0.10043140204000No522,999*
579-7-9No0.0022039289200No529,721*
569-6-10No0.001113234174100No521,788*
558-8-9No0.000522352610200No502,478*
548-7-10NoNo02122932186100No471,878*
538-6-11NoNo016193127133000No433,323*
527-8-10NoNo002924312392000No386,301*
517-7-11NoNo0031326291971000No336,161*
506-9-10NoNo0015162827165100No285,517*
496-8-11NoNo0017192925134100No236,109*
486-7-12NoNo000292129241130000.0%190,099*
475-9-11NoNo00311242922920000.0148,137*
465-8-12NoNo00141326291971000.1112,472*
455-7-13NoNo0015162829165100.783,297*
445-6-14NoNo001719302712302.759,232*
434-8-13NoNo002102532227107.941,390*
424-7-14NoNo014153032163018.427,637*
414-6-15NoNo0172235277034.017,894*
403-8-14NoNo00313333614050.611,109*
393-7-15NoNo017254224167.06,703*
383-6-16NoNo03154238281.53,744*
372-8-15NoNo0193849389.52,148*
362-7-16NoNo043060695.71,129*
352-6-17NoNo218691198.0557*
341-8-16NoNo014671999.6258*
331-7-17NoNo87616Yes119*
321-6-18NoNo27919Yes48*
311-5-19NoNo5842Yes24*
300-7-18NoNo2575Yes4*
291-3-21NoNo6733Yes6*
230-0-25NoNo1090Yes1,054
Total:0.1%6.7%0151220161297543221110000.4%8,492,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship