Montpellier HSCMontpellier beat Troyes 3-0, odds of winning the cup up 2.5% to 7.7% | Chance of winning the title:
| 7.7 | % | Change: | 2.5 | | | being promoted: | 26.9 | % | | 7.2 | | | being demoted: | 1.6 | % | | -1.29 | | | | Average finish: | 6.86 | | | 1.10 | | |
Record: 24 points, 7 - 3 - 4 12 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Montpellier: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on Montpellier is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 11/14 | Impact | | | Montpellier | 3 | | Troyes | 0 | | | 2.3 | | (1.04) | | | Bastia | 0 | | Lens | 1 | | | -0.5 | | | | | Boulogne | 2 | | Angers | 3 | | | 0.3 | | (-0.02) | | | Metz | 3 | | Strasbourg | 2 | | | 0.2 | | | | | Châteauroux | 1 | | Vannes | 0 | | | | | (0.01) | | | Dijon | 2 | | Nîmes | 1 | | | | | (-0.03) | | | Guingamp | 3 | | Tours | 1 | | | | | (0.01) | | | Stade Reims | 1 | | Clermont Foot | 1 | | | | | (0.02) | | | Sedan | 1 | | Brest | 0 | | | | | (0.01) | | | Worst | -3.41 | (-1.13) | 2.53 | | (1.10) | (1.26) | 3.48 | Best | | |
Week of 11/28 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Angers | -2.6 |
(-0.88)
| Montpellier | 3.2 |
(1.00)
| -0.8 |
(-0.17)
| | 2:00 PM Fri | | | Lens | -0.8 | | Sedan | 0.8 | | 0.3 | | | 2:00 PM Fri | | | Strasbourg | -0.5 |
(-0.04)
| Guingamp | 0.4 |
(0.01)
| 0.2 |
(0.02)
| | 2:00 PM Fri | | | Nîmes | 0.4 |
(0.05)
| Metz | -0.4 |
(-0.06)
| 0.1 |
(0.02)
| | 2:00 PM Fri | | | AC Ajaccio | 0.3 |
(0.00)
| Boulogne | -0.4 |
(-0.02)
| 0.1 |
(0.03)
| | 2:00 PM Fri | | | Vannes | |
(-0.02)
| Bastia | |
(0.02)
| |
(0.04)
| | 2:00 PM Fri | | | Brest | |
(-0.03)
| Châteauroux | |
(-0.00)
| |
(0.03)
| | 2:00 PM Fri | | | Troyes | |
(-0.03)
| Stade Reims | |
(0.03)
| |
(0.02)
| | 2:00 PM Fri | | | | -4.90 | (-1.08) | 0.00 | | (0.00) | (1.20) | 5.33 | | |
What IfChances based on how well Montpellier finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | | 24 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 22 | - | 1 | - | 1 | .931 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 1 | .903 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 0 | .889 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 1 | .875 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 9 | | 20 | - | 2 | - | 2 | .861 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 15 | | 20 | - | 1 | - | 3 | .847 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 42 | | 20 | - | 0 | - | 4 | .833 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 90 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 3 | .819 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 172 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 4 | .806 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 326 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 5 | .792 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 626 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 4 | .778 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,105 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .764 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,874 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 6 | .750 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 3,295 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 5 | .736 | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 5,607 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 6 | .722 | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 8,634 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 7 | .708 | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 13,600 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .694 | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 20,634 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 7 | .681 | Yes | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 30,284 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 8 | .667 | 100.0 | 87 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 43,684 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .653 | 100.0 | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 61,089 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .639 | 99.9 | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 84,268 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 9 | .625 | 99.8 | 66 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 112,647 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .611 | 99.6 | 57 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 146,478 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .597 | 98.8 | 46 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 187,577 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .583 | 97.3 | 36 | 45 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 233,560 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .569 | 94.2 | 26 | 45 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 285,106 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .556 | 88.4 | 17 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 339,501 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 11 | .542 | 79.1 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 395,313 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .528 | 65.5 | 5 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 451,042 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .514 | 48.8 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 502,226 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .500 | 31.4 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 544,203 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .486 | 16.5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 579,197 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .472 | 6.8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 604,034 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .458 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 612,047 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .444 | 0.4 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 608,884 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .431 | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 589,319 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .417 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 559,028 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .403 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 515,206 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .389 | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 466,479 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .375 | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 409,792 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .361 | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 352,064 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .347 | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 295,628 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .333 | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 240,957 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .319 | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | | 191,477 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .306 | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4.6 | | 147,163 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .292 | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 13.3 | | 110,248 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .278 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 27.9 | | 81,133 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .264 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 46.6 | | 57,137 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .250 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 65.0 | | 39,353 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .236 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 10 | 79.9 | | 25,956 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .222 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 90.2 | | 16,658 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .208 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 45 | 28 | 95.2 | | 10,147 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .194 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 45 | 38 | 98.3 | | 5,953 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .181 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 41 | 50 | 99.4 | | 3,414 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 20 | .167 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 34 | 61 | 99.8 | | 1,924 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .153 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 99.9 | | 934 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 20 | .139 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 20 | 79 | Yes | | 456 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 21 | .125 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 87 | Yes | | 235 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 20 | .111 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 90 | Yes | | 110 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 19 | .097 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 91 | Yes | | 35 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 22 | .083 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 94 | Yes | | 16 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 21 | .069 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 5 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 24 | .000 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 26.9% | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.6% | | 10,000,000 |
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