How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
PSG 4 Nantes 1 -3.1
+0.6
Strasbourg 2 Rennes 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Amiens vs Monaco-4.8-2.5+3.0
-6.5-2.6+3.6
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.3-0.1+0.2
Lyonnais vs Montpellier-0.5+0.3+0.5
-1.1+0.6+1.1
Bordeaux vs Marseille+0.2+0.1-0.2
+1.7+0.8-1.7
Lille vs Saint-Étienne+0.2+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Nice vs Lyonnais+0.5+0.3-0.4
+1.5+0.6-1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Marseille vs Guingamp-0.2+0.1+0.2
-1.6+0.9+2.1
Rennes vs Nantes+0.4+0.2-0.6
Montpellier vs Lille-0.3+0.1+0.2
Saint-Étienne vs Strasbourg-0.2+0.1+0.2
Caen vs Bordeaux*+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Monaco finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Ligue 2Count
99-106YesYes100No1,102*
9822-4-098.8%Yes991No81*
96-97YesYes100No550*
9521-4-199.5Yes991No746*
9421-3-299.1Yes991No1,284*
9320-5-198.9Yes991No2,492*
9220-4-298.1Yes982No4,215*
9120-3-397.2Yes973No6,905*
9019-5-295.7Yes964No11,456*
8919-4-393.3Yes937No17,744*
8818-6-290.9Yes9190No26,796*
8718-5-387.2Yes87130No39,393*
8618-4-483.3Yes83170No56,636*
8517-6-378.1Yes78220No77,661*
8417-5-472.6Yes73270No104,726*
8316-7-366.2100.0%663300No137,498*
8216-6-458.8100.0594010No176,318*
8116-5-551.7100.0524710No220,208*
8015-7-444.2100.0445420No266,681*
7915-6-536.8100.0375940No314,390*
7814-8-430.099.9306460No363,240*
7714-7-523.699.9246890No409,884*
7614-6-617.999.718691300No451,748*
7513-8-513.199.313691710No483,419*
7413-7-69.398.89672310No508,144*
7313-6-76.297.86632920No520,782*
7212-8-64.096.14573540No521,712*
7112-7-72.393.725041600No507,781*
7011-9-61.490.0142471000No485,857*
6911-8-70.785.1134501410No453,987*
6811-7-80.478.6026522010No414,695*
6710-9-70.270.50205127300No367,896*
6610-8-80.161.00134734500No320,155*
6510-7-90.050.40942419100No272,370*
649-9-80.039.405344514100No225,405*
639-8-90.028.903264721300No183,135*
628-10-80.019.101184628610No145,010*
618-9-9No11.7111393611200No111,669*
608-8-10No6.106314019400No84,065*
597-10-9No2.9032139278100No61,594*
587-9-10No1.10113333416300No44,209*
577-8-11No0.3062336258200No30,818*
566-10-10No0.00214313216510No20,619*
556-9-11NoNo172132251120No13,633*
546-8-12No0.0002112730217200No8,947*
535-10-11NoNo01515292816510No5,611*
525-9-12NoNo01818312513300No3,362*
515-8-13NoNo021022292311300No2,000*
504-10-12NoNo0312242920830No1,143*
494-9-13NoNo1412263018710No667*
484-8-14NoNo0081425321450No299*
473-10-13NoNo291628291331No185*
463-9-14NoNo2916342891No88*
453-8-15NoNo462239208No49*
443-7-16NoNo827352387.7%26*
432-9-15NoNo442211111111.19*
421-11-14NoNo1783No6*
412-7-17NoNo505050.02*
402-6-18NoNo6733Yes3*
280-0-26NoNo03466Yes1,054
Total:15.4%83.5%1543261131000000000000000.0%8,492,160

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship