"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/17100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Bordeaux 0 Caen 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Monaco vs MetzNoNo+0.0
+0.7-0.3-3.8
-0.1+0.0+0.3
Metz vs Saint-Étienne+0.0NoNo
-2.6+0.4+1.4
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Toulouse vs Nantes+0.3*+0.0-0.2
Montpellier vs Toulouse-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Nice vs Saint-Étienne-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Lille vs Rennes+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Amiens vs Montpellier+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Rennes vs Angers-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Amiens vs Guingamp+0.2*+0.0-0.1
Nantes vs Bordeaux-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Strasbourg vs Dijon+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Troyes vs Lille*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Caen vs Marseille+0.1*+0.0-0.0
PSG vs Dijon-0.0*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/27100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Ligue 2100.0*Average seed
Metz vs Nice+0.0NoNo
-2.8+0.2+1.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Bordeaux vs Lyonnais+0.2+0.0-0.1
Saint-Étienne vs Caen+0.1-0.0-0.1
Lille vs Strasbourg+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Toulouse vs Troyes+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Angers vs Amiens+0.1-0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Metz finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920Ligue 2Count
6618-0-0No3.0%0329662No1,174
5613-5-0NoNo100No1
5514-1-3NoNo100No1
5413-3-2NoNo6733No3
5313-2-3NoNo727331320No15*
5212-4-2NoNo1030252510No20*
5112-3-3NoNo83346112No61*
5012-2-4NoNo21837301211No125*
4911-4-3NoNo493235174No248*
4811-3-4NoNo41934271420No482*
4710-5-3NoNo17233622911No971*
4610-4-4NoNo02112832206100No1,878*
4510-3-5NoNo00417302915410No3,527*
449-5-4NoNo016203127123000.0%6,358*
439-4-5NoNo019233124102000.310,881*
428-6-4NoNo002112432218101.518,543*
418-5-5NoNo003132730186106.729,827*
408-4-6NoNo0015163030153018.347,350*
397-6-5NoNo001721342710137.472,154*
387-5-6NoNo00211273521459.7107,066*
377-4-7NoNo00041735331178.7152,143*
366-6-6NoNo001828422190.8210,197*
356-5-7NoNo000318443596.8280,411*
346-4-8NoNo0110395099.1360,853*
335-6-7NoNo004316499.8248,847
6-3-9NoNo004316599.8200,842*
325-5-8NoNo0022276100.0328,349
4-8-6NoNo0022276100.0212,614*
315-4-9NoNo011486100.0320,488
4-7-7NoNo011585100.0307,847*
304-6-8NoNo00991100.0391,344
5-3-10NoNo00891100.0311,265*
294-5-9NoNo0595Yes574,807*
3-8-7NoNo00595100.0181,708
284-4-10NoNo0298Yes398,296
3-7-8NoNo0298Yes382,243*
273-6-9NoNo0199Yes431,417
4-3-11NoNo0199Yes344,134*
263-5-10NoNo0199Yes736,146*
253-4-11NoNo0100Yes354,817
2-7-9NoNo0100Yes312,199*
242-6-10NoNo0100Yes314,575
3-3-12NoNo0100Yes262,530*
232-5-11NoNo0100Yes297,718
1-8-9NoNo0100Yes175,625*
222-4-12NoNo0100Yes368,603*
211-6-11NoNo0100Yes268,662*
201-5-12NoNo0100Yes183,149*
191-4-13NoNo0100Yes115,998*
12-18NoNo100Yes128,448*
Total:No0.0%00000000000000113108497.2%9,456,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship