FC MetzMetz beat Sedan 2-0, odds of winning the cup up 1.7% to 13.4% | Chance of winning the title:
| 13.4 | % | Change: | 1.7 | | | being promoted: | 38.1 | % | | 5.3 | | | being demoted: | 1.0 | % | | -1.18 | | | | Average finish: | 5.72 | | | 0.84 | | |
Record: 20 points, 6 - 2 - 1 6 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Metz: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on Metz is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 10/3 | Impact | | | Metz | 2 | | Sedan | 0 | | | 3.8 | | (0.92) | | | Strasbourg | 5 | | Nîmes | 0 | | | -0.8 | | (-0.03) | | | Boulogne | 2 | | Châteauroux | 1 | | | -0.6 | | (-0.03) | | | AC Ajaccio | 1 | | Lens | 2 | | | -0.3 | | | | | Worst | -4.83 |
(-0.87)
| 6.61 | | (3.76) | (1.00) | 5.16 | Best | | |
Week of 10/10 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Châteauroux | -3.5 |
(-0.72)
| Metz | 4.1 |
(0.82)
| -1.2 |
(-0.14)
| | 3:30 PM Fri | | | Angers | 0.7 | | Strasbourg | -1.0 | | 0.2 | | | 3:30 PM Fri | | | Lens | -0.7 |
(-0.03)
| Guingamp | 0.6 |
(0.02)
| 0.2 |
(0.02)
| | 3:30 PM Mon | | | Vannes | 0.3 | | Boulogne | -0.6 | | 0.3 | | | 3:30 PM Fri | | | Clermont Foot | 0.2 |
(0.02)
| Tours | -0.2 |
(-0.03)
| 0.1 |
(0.03)
| | 3:00 PM Fri | | | Troyes | 0.1 | | AC Ajaccio | -0.3 | | 0.1 | | | 3:00 PM Fri | | | Brest | |
(0.01)
| Montpellier | |
(-0.03)
| |
(0.02)
| | 3:00 PM Fri | | | Nîmes | |
(0.02)
| Amiens | |
(-0.02)
| |
(0.03)
| | 3:00 PM Fri | | | | -6.55 |
(-0.91)
| 0.00 | | (0.00) | (0.99) | 6.37 | | |
What IfChances based on how well Metz finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | | 29 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 25 | - | 2 | - | 2 | .885 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2 | | 24 | - | 3 | - | 2 | .862 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 24 | - | 2 | - | 3 | .851 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 8 | | 24 | - | 1 | - | 4 | .839 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 13 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 3 | .828 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 10 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 4 | .816 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 22 | | 23 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .805 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 71 | | 23 | - | 0 | - | 6 | .793 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 117 | | 22 | - | 2 | - | 5 | .782 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 243 | | 22 | - | 1 | - | 6 | .770 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 357 | | 22 | - | 0 | - | 7 | .759 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 677 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .747 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,080 | | 21 | - | 1 | - | 7 | .736 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,868 | | 21 | - | 0 | - | 8 | .724 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 3,007 | | 20 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .713 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4,763 | | 20 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .701 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 7,158 | | 20 | - | 0 | - | 9 | .690 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 10,685 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .678 | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 15,877 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .667 | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 22,867 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .655 | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 32,073 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .644 | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 44,760 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .632 | 100.0 | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 60,102 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 11 | .621 | 100.0 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 80,379 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .609 | 100.0 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 103,864 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .598 | 100.0 | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 132,831 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .586 | 99.9 | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 165,731 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .575 | 99.7 | 63 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 203,234 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .563 | 99.3 | 54 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 245,258 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .552 | 98.6 | 44 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 289,112 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .540 | 96.8 | 34 | 44 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 336,153 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .529 | 93.6 | 25 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 381,675 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .517 | 87.9 | 17 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 426,910 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .506 | 78.9 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 467,141 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .494 | 66.3 | 5 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 501,998 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .483 | 50.7 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 529,244 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .471 | 33.9 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 547,914 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .460 | 19.3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 557,379 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .448 | 8.9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 556,721 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .437 | 3.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 543,147 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .425 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 520,289 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .414 | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 488,918 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .402 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 449,624 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .391 | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 405,694 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .379 | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 359,443 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .368 | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 310,938 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .356 | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 263,249 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .345 | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 218,880 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .333 | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 177,252 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .322 | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0.5 | | 141,258 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 20 | .310 | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | | 109,750 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .299 | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 | | 82,420 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 20 | .287 | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 18.5 | | 61,552 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 21 | .276 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 34.5 | | 44,232 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 20 | .264 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 33 | 17 | 3 | 53.1 | | 31,105 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 21 | .253 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 69.6 | | 21,512 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 22 | .241 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 36 | 15 | 83.2 | | 14,181 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 21 | .230 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 42 | 24 | 91.6 | | 9,270 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 22 | .218 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 43 | 35 | 95.8 | | 5,790 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 23 | .207 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 46 | 98.4 | | 3,582 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 22 | .195 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 59 | 99.2 | | 2,087 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 23 | .184 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 26 | 70 | 99.9 | | 1,160 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 22 | .172 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 25 | 73 | Yes | | 659 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 23 | .161 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | 84 | Yes | | 354 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 24 | .149 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 88 | Yes | | 172 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 23 | .138 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | Yes | | 93 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 22 | .126 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | | 54 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 25 | .115 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | | 22 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 24 | .103 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 7 | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 21 | .092 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 29 | .000 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 38.1% | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.0% | | 10,000,000 |
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