How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 12/9 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Ligue 2 100.0* Average seed Amiens 1 Lyonnais 2 +1.8 +5.9 No +0.2 PSG 3 Lille 1 -1.2 -0.1 Monaco 3 Troyes 2 -0.2 -1.8 -0.1 Marseille 3 Saint-Étienne 0 -0.1 -2.6 -0.1 Nantes 1 Nice 2 +0.4 Angers 1 Montpellier 1 +0.3 Metz 1 Rennes 1 +0.2 Guingamp 4 Dijon 0 +0.1 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 12/16 100.0* Chance wins title 100.0* UEFA CL 100.0* Ligue 2 100.0* Average seed Lyonnais vs Marseille +2.5-0.8-2.2 +10.2-0.9-11.1 No-0.0+0.0 +0.3-0.0-0.3 Rennes vs PSG +2.3+0.9-1.3 -0.1+0.1*-0.0 Saint-Étienne vs Monaco +0.3+0.2-0.2 +3.7+1.7-2.0 +0.1+0.0-0.1 Montpellier vs Metz -0.2+0.2+0.3 Nantes vs Angers -0.2+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Lyonnais finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L wins title UEFA CL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Ligue 2 Count 98 21 - 0 - 0 99.9 % Yes 100 0 No 25,066 96 20 - 1 - 0 99.2 Yes 99 1 No 652 95 20 - 0 - 1 97.7 Yes 98 2 No 521 94 19 - 2 - 0 98.1 Yes 98 2 No 4,046 93 19 - 1 - 1 95.9 Yes 96 4 No 6,516 92 18 - 3 - 0 95.3 Yes 95 5 No 17,807 * 91 18 - 2 - 1 91.7 Yes 92 8 No 36,378 90 17 - 4 - 0 88.6 Yes 89 11 0 No 70,202 * 89 17 - 3 - 1 83.7 Yes 84 16 0 No 138,957 * 88 17 - 2 - 2 78.4 Yes 78 22 0 No 240,182 * 87 16 - 4 - 1 72.1 Yes 72 28 0 No 416,165 * 86 16 - 3 - 2 65.0 Yes 65 35 0 No 678,226 * 85 15 - 5 - 1 57.5 100.0 % 57 42 0 0 No 1,052,542 * 84 15 - 4 - 2 49.6 100.0 50 50 1 0 No 1,591,902 * 83 15 - 3 - 3 41.7 100.0 42 57 1 0 No 2,288,539 * 82 14 - 5 - 2 34.0 100.0 34 63 3 0 No 3,185,668 * 81 14 - 4 - 3 26.8 100.0 27 68 5 0 No 4,278,523 * 80 13 - 6 - 2 20.4 99.9 20 72 8 0 0 No 5,534,727 * 79 13 - 5 - 3 14.8 99.7 15 73 12 0 0 No 6,943,781 * 78 13 - 4 - 4 10.3 99.3 10 72 17 1 0 No 8,421,539 * 77 12 - 6 - 3 6.8 98.5 7 69 23 2 0 No 9,887,736 * 76 12 - 5 - 4 4.2 97.1 4 63 30 3 0 No 11,264,644 * 75 11 - 7 - 3 2.5 94.9 2 55 37 5 0 No 12,431,175 * 74 11 - 6 - 4 1.4 91.6 1 47 43 8 0 No 13,316,048 * 73 11 - 5 - 5 0.7 87.0 1 38 48 13 0 0 No 13,836,679 * 72 10 - 7 - 4 0.3 80.9 0 29 51 19 0 0 No 13,948,314 * 71 10 - 6 - 5 0.1 73.5 0 22 52 26 0 0 No 13,655,525 * 70 10 - 5 - 6 0.1 64.8 0 15 49 35 1 0 No 12,977,415 * 69 9 - 7 - 5 0.0 55.3 0 10 45 43 1 0 No 11,977,250 * 68 9 - 6 - 6 0.0 45.4 0 6 39 52 3 0 0 0 No 10,734,242 * 67 8 - 8 - 5 0.0 35.7 0 4 32 59 5 0 0 No 9,340,858 * 66 8 - 7 - 6 0.0 26.6 0 2 25 65 8 0 0 No 7,895,000 * 65 8 - 6 - 7 0.0 18.8 0 1 18 67 13 1 0 0 No 6,476,956 * 64 7 - 8 - 6 0.0 12.4 0 0 12 66 20 2 0 0 No 5,145,860 * 63 7 - 7 - 7 No 7.5 0 7 61 27 4 0 0 No 3,979,588 * 62 7 - 6 - 8 No 4.2 0 4 53 35 7 1 0 0 No 2,979,990 * 61 6 - 8 - 7 No 2.1 0 2 43 41 12 1 0 0 No 2,164,045 * 60 6 - 7 - 8 No 0.9 0 1 32 44 20 3 0 0 0 No 1,520,212 * 59 6 - 6 - 9 No 0.3 0 0 21 42 28 7 1 0 0 No 1,037,118 * 58 5 - 8 - 8 No 0.1 0 0 12 36 35 14 3 0 0 0 No 683,140 * 57 5 - 7 - 9 No 0.0 0 6 26 37 23 7 1 0 0 No 435,221 * 56 5 - 6 - 10 No 0.0 0 3 16 34 31 13 3 0 0 0 No 267,412 * 55 4 - 8 - 9 No 0.0 0 1 8 25 34 23 8 1 0 0 No 158,671 * 54 4 - 7 - 10 No No 0 3 14 30 31 16 5 1 0 0 No 90,282 * 53 4 - 6 - 11 No No 0 1 6 20 32 26 12 3 0 0 No 49,722 * 52 3 - 8 - 10 No No 0 2 10 24 31 23 9 2 0 0 No 26,475 * 51 3 - 7 - 11 No No 0 0 3 13 27 30 19 7 1 0 No 13,362 * 50 3 - 6 - 12 No No 0 1 4 15 28 28 17 5 1 0 No 6,267 * 49 2 - 8 - 11 No No 0 1 5 17 29 27 16 4 1 0 No 2,855 * 48 2 - 7 - 12 No No 0 2 7 18 30 26 14 2 0 No 1,213 * 47 2 - 6 - 13 No No 2 8 21 30 26 10 3 0 No 577 * 46 1 - 8 - 12 No No 1 9 27 38 15 8 2 No 182 * 45 1 - 7 - 13 No No 1 6 12 34 25 18 5 No 85 * 44 1 - 6 - 14 No No 4 29 29 33 4 4.2 % 24 * 43 1 - 5 - 15 No No 13 50 38 No 8 * 41 0 - 6 - 15 No No 50 50 Yes 2 35 0 - 0 - 21 No No 0 1 13 85 2 99.4 25,028 Total: 5.3 % 69.8 % 5 33 31 25 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 % 201,261,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship